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ResMed (ResMed) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $51.64 (As of Dec23)


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What is ResMed Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, ResMed's earnings power value is $51.64. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -255.88

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


ResMed Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for ResMed's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ResMed Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

ResMed Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.61 33.25 37.80 41.97 46.70

ResMed Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 40.90 44.07 46.70 48.99 51.64

Competitive Comparison of ResMed's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Medical Instruments & Supplies subindustry, ResMed's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ResMed's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, ResMed's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ResMed's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



ResMed Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

ResMed's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 3,517
DDA 191
Operating Margin % 27.41
SGA * 25% 187
Tax Rate % 24.40
Maintenance Capex 102
Cash and Cash Equivalents 210
Short-Term Debt 34
Long-Term Debt 1,357
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 148

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 27.41%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $3,517 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 27.41%, Average Adjusted SGA = 187,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 3,517 * 27.41% +187 = $1151.22899048 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 24.40%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $1151.22899048 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 1151.22899048 * ( 1 - 24.40% ) = $870.32911680288 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 191 * 0.5 * 24.40% = $23.3129312 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 870.32911680288 + 23.3129312 = $893.64204800288 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
ResMed's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $102 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. ResMed's current cash and cash equivalent = $210 Mil.
ResMed's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,357 + 34 = $1391.373 Mil.
ResMed's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 148 Mil.

ResMed's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 893.64204800288 - 102)/ 9%+210-1391.373 )/148
=51.64

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 51.640411626049-183.78 )/51.640411626049
= -255.88%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


ResMed  (NYSE:RMD) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


ResMed Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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ResMed (ResMed) Business Description

Address
9001 Spectrum Center Boulevard, San Diego, CA, USA, 92123
ResMed is one of the largest respiratory care device companies globally, primarily developing and supplying flow generators, masks and accessories for the treatment of sleep apnea. Increasing diagnosis of sleep apnea combined with ageing populations and increasing prevalence of obesity is resulting in a structurally growing market. The company earns roughly two thirds of its revenue in the Americas and the balance across other regions dominated by Europe, Japan and Australia. Recent developments and acquisitions have focused on digital health as ResMed is aiming to differentiate itself through the provision of clinical data for use by the patient, medical care advisor and payer in the out-of-hospital setting.
Executives
Brett Sandercock officer: Chief Financial Officer 17 GUINEVIERE COURT, CASTLE HILL, NEW SOUTH WALES C3 2154
Michael J. Farrell officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O REMED INC, 9001 SPECTRUM CTR. BLVD., SAN DIEGO, CA 92123
Michael J Rider officer: Global General Counsel 9001 SPECTRUM CENTER BLVD, SAN DIEGO CA 92123
Robert Andrew Douglas officer: President and COO 21 ATTUNGA ROAD, NEWPORT, NEW SOUTH WALES C3 2106
Kaushik Ghoshal officer: President, SaaS Business 9001 SPECTRUM CENTER BLVD, SAN DIEGO CA 92123
David Pendarvis officer: Chief Administration Officer REDMED INC, 14040 DANLELSON ST, POWAY CA 92064
Karen Drexler director C/O DIADEXUS, INC., 343 OYSTER POINT BOULEVARD, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Justin Leong officer: President, Asia and LATAM C/O RESMED INC, 9001 SPECTRUM CENTER BLVD, SAN DIEGO CA 92123
Desney Tan director 9001 SPECTRUM CENTER BLVD, SAN DIEGO CA 92123
John Hernandez director 9001 SPECTRUM CENTER BLVD., SAN DIEGO CA 92123
Lucile Blaise officer: President, Sleep & RC Business RESMED INC., 9001 SPECTRUM CENTER BLVD., SAN DIEGO CA 92123
Peter C Farrell director RESMED INC, 14040 DANIELSON STREET, POWAY CA 92064-6857
James Hollingshead officer: President, Sleep Business C/O RESMED INC., 9001 SPECTRUM CENTER BOULEVARD, SAN DIEGO CA 92123
Carol Burt director C/O WELLCARE HEALTH PLANS, INC., 8725 HENDERSON ROAD, TAMPA FL 33634
Resmed Inc director 9001 SPECTRUM CENTER BLVD., SAN DIEGO CA 92123

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