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T. Rowe Price Group (T. Rowe Price Group) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $108.80 (As of Dec23)


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What is T. Rowe Price Group Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, T. Rowe Price Group's earnings power value is $108.80. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -2.08

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


T. Rowe Price Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for T. Rowe Price Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

T. Rowe Price Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

T. Rowe Price Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 72.48 86.78 100.69 109.58 108.80

T. Rowe Price Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 109.58 109.37 109.77 110.96 108.80

Competitive Comparison of T. Rowe Price Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Asset Management subindustry, T. Rowe Price Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


T. Rowe Price Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, T. Rowe Price Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where T. Rowe Price Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



T. Rowe Price Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

T. Rowe Price Group's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 6,489
DDA 343
Operating Margin % 40.93
SGA * 25% 245
Tax Rate % 23.87
Maintenance Capex 215
Cash and Cash Equivalents 2,067
Short-Term Debt 0
Long-Term Debt 309
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 224

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 40.93%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $6,489 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 40.93%, Average Adjusted SGA = 245,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 6,489 * 40.93% +245 = $2900.6233262 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 23.87%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $2900.6233262 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 2900.6233262 * ( 1 - 23.87% ) = $2208.2590413527 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 343 * 0.5 * 23.87% = $40.8789057 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 2208.2590413527 + 40.8789057 = $2249.1379470527 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
T. Rowe Price Group's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $215 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. T. Rowe Price Group's current cash and cash equivalent = $2,067 Mil.
T. Rowe Price Group's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 309 + 0 = $308.5 Mil.
T. Rowe Price Group's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 224 Mil.

T. Rowe Price Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 2249.1379470527 - 215)/ 9%+2,067-308.5 )/224
=108.80

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 108.80052836349-111.06 )/108.80052836349
= -2.08%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


T. Rowe Price Group  (NAS:TROW) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


T. Rowe Price Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of T. Rowe Price Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


T. Rowe Price Group (T. Rowe Price Group) Business Description

Address
100 East Pratt Street, Baltimore, MD, USA, 21202
T. Rowe Price provides asset-management services for individual and institutional investors. It offers a broad range of no-load U.S. and international stock, hybrid, bond, and money market funds. At the end of October 2023, the firm had $1.312 trillion in managed assets, composed of equity (51%), balanced (33%), fixed-income and money market (13%), and alternatives (3%) offerings. Approximately two thirds of the company's managed assets are held in retirement-based accounts, which provides T. Rowe Price with a somewhat stickier client base than most of its peers. The firm also manages private accounts, provides retirement planning advice, and offers discount brokerage and trust services. The company is primarily a U.S.-based asset manager, deriving just over 9% of its AUM from overseas.
Executives
Higginbotham Robert C.t. officer: Vice President 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Thomson Andrew Justin Mackenzie officer: Vice President 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
William P Donnelly director C/O INGERSOLL RAND INC., 525 HARBOUR PLACE DRIVE, SUITE 600, DAVIDSON NC 28036
Andrew C. Mccormick officer: Vice President 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Cynthia F Smith director 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Jessica M Hiebler officer: Principal Accounting Officer 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
William J Stromberg officer: Vice President 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Kimberly H Johnson officer: COO and VP C/O FANNIE MAE, 1100 15TH STREET, NW, WASHINGTON DC 20005
Joshua B Nelson officer: Vice President 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Glenn R August director, officer: Vice President C/O OHA - 1114 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 27TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Eileen P Rominger director 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Sebastien Page officer: Vice President 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Jennifer B Dardis other: CFO and VP 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Mary K Bush director 3509 WOODBINE STREET, CHEVY CHASE MD 20815
W. Sharps Robert officer: Vice President 100 E. PRATT STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202