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Usana Health Sciences (Usana Health Sciences) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $132.33 (As of Dec23)


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What is Usana Health Sciences Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Usana Health Sciences's earnings power value is $132.33. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 67.4

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Usana Health Sciences Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Usana Health Sciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Usana Health Sciences Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Usana Health Sciences Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 109.76 123.08 133.68 142.31 132.33

Usana Health Sciences Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 142.31 140.76 137.47 134.10 132.33

Competitive Comparison of Usana Health Sciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Usana Health Sciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Usana Health Sciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Usana Health Sciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Usana Health Sciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Usana Health Sciences Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Usana Health Sciences's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,060.3
DDA 21.9
Operating Margin % 12.85
SGA * 25% 181.1
Tax Rate % 34.09
Maintenance Capex 12.7
Cash and Cash Equivalents 330.4
Short-Term Debt 8.1
Long-Term Debt 0.0
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 19.3

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 12.85%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,060.3 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 12.85%, Average Adjusted SGA = 181.1,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,060.3 * 12.85% +181.1 = $317.431869426 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 34.09%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $317.431869426 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 317.431869426 * ( 1 - 34.09% ) = $209.23045525411 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 21.9 * 0.5 * 34.09% = $3.732948961 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 209.23045525411 + 3.732948961 = $212.96340421511 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Usana Health Sciences's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $12.7 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Usana Health Sciences's current cash and cash equivalent = $330.4 Mil.
Usana Health Sciences's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.0 + 8.1 = $8.064 Mil.
Usana Health Sciences's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 19.3 Mil.

Usana Health Sciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 212.96340421511 - 12.7)/ 9%+330.4-8.064 )/19.3
=132.33

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 132.32959589486-43.14 )/132.32959589486
= 67.4%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Usana Health Sciences  (NYSE:USNA) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Usana Health Sciences Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Usana Health Sciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Usana Health Sciences (Usana Health Sciences) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3838 West Parkway Boulevard, Salt Lake City, UT, USA, 84120
Usana Health Sciences Inc is a U.S.-based company that is principally engaged in developing, manufacturing, and selling science-based nutritional and personal-care products. The company operates through direct selling. It owns a number of product lines, such as Essentials, which contains core vitamin and mineral supplements; Optimizers, which includes targeted supplements for individuals' health and nutritional needs; Foods, which consists of low-glycemic meal replacement shakes, snack bars, and other related products; and Sense Beautiful Science, which contains personal-care products related to skin and hair. The company conducts business worldwide, including Asia-Pacific, the Americas, and Europe.
Executives
John Turman Fleming director 3838 WEST PARKWAY BLVD., SALT LAKE CITY UT 84120
Gilbert A Fuller officer: CFO and Executive V.P. 55 WANDERWOOD WAY, SANDY UT 84092
Frederic J Winssinger director 2944 N 44TH STREET, SUITE 250, PHOENIX AZ 85018
David Mulham Mulham officer: Chief Field Development Office 3838 WEST PARKWAY BLVD, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84120
Paul A. Jones officer: CFO 3838 WEST PARKWAY BLVD., SALT LAKE CITY UT 84120
Xia Ding director 3838 WEST PARKWAY BLVD., SALT LAKE CITY UT 84120
Daniel A. Macuga officer: Chief Communications Officer 3838 WEST PARKWAY BLVD., SALT LAKE CITY UT 84120
Jim Brown officer: Chief Production Officer 3838 WEST PARKWAY BLVD., SALT LAKE CITY UT 84120
Brent Neidig officer: CO & Man. Dir. of China 3838 WEST PARKWAY BLVD., WEST VALLEY CITY UT 84120
J Scott Nixon director 757 EAST SOUTH TEMPLE, SUITE 150, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84102
Kevin Guest officer: E.V.P. of Marketing 3838 WEST PARKWAY BLVD, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84120
Joshua Foukas officer: Chief Legal Officer 3838 WEST PARKWAY BLVD., SALT LAKE CITY X1 84120
G Doug Iiekking officer: VP of Finance C/O USANA HEALTH SCIENCES INC, 3838 W PARKWAY BLVD, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84120
Walter Noot officer: Chief Information Officer 3838 WEST PARKWAY BLVD, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84120
Robert A Sinnott officer: Chief Scientific Officer 400 55 WATER STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6B1A1