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WGL Holdings (WGL Holdings) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-107.96 (As of Mar18)


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What is WGL Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar18, WGL Holdings's earnings power value is $-107.96. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


WGL Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for WGL Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

WGL Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

WGL Holdings Annual Data
Trend Sep08 Sep09 Sep10 Sep11 Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -36.25 -51.05 -68.12 -86.64 -105.76

WGL Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -95.43 -96.06 -105.76 -109.60 -107.96

Competitive Comparison of WGL Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, WGL Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


WGL Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, WGL Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where WGL Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



WGL Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

WGL Holdings's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 2,514
DDA 130
Operating Margin % 8.35
SGA * 25% 0
Tax Rate % 38.67
Maintenance Capex 443
Cash and Cash Equivalents 46
Short-Term Debt 525
Long-Term Debt 1,879
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 52

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 8.35%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $2,514 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 8.35%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 2,514 * 8.35% +0 = $209.90161112 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 38.67%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $209.90161112 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 209.90161112 * ( 1 - 38.67% ) = $128.74315318045 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 130 * 0.5 * 38.67% = $25.190672815 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 128.74315318045 + 25.190672815 = $153.93382599545 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
WGL Holdings's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $443 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. WGL Holdings's current cash and cash equivalent = $46 Mil.
WGL Holdings's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,879 + 525 = $2404.137 Mil.
WGL Holdings's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 52 Mil.

WGL Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar18 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 153.93382599545 - 443)/ 9%+46-2404.137 )/52
=-107.96

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -107.95817558743-88.74 )/-107.95817558743
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


WGL Holdings  (NYSE:WGL) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


WGL Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of WGL Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


WGL Holdings (WGL Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
WGL Holdings' primary operating segment, Washington Gas Light, is a regulated gas distribution utility. This segment serves about 1.1 million customers in Maryland, Virginia, and the Washington, D.C., metro area. The nonregulated energy marketing segment buys and resells natural gas and electricity in competitive markets, in addition to designing, building, and operating energy systems including solar installations. WGL is signed on to some sizable midstream pipeline projects and angles to expand this business around its utility footprint.
Executives
Karen Hardwick officer: Senior Vice President and GC 1000 MAINE AVENUE, SW, WASHINGTON DC 20024
Dorothy Ramsey officer: Vice President 1000 MAINE AVENUE, SW, WASHINGTON DC 20024
Linda R Gooden director LOCKHEED MARTIN CORPORATION, 6801 ROCKLEDGE DRIVE, BETHESDA MD 20817
Leslie T Thornton officer: Senior VP, GC and Corp. Sec. 3921 COURTLAND CIRCLE, ALEXANDRIA VA 22305
David M Harris director 101 CONSTITUTION AVENUE, NW, WASHINGTON DC 20080
Debra L Lee director C/O BLACK ENTERTAINMENT, 1 BET PLZ. 1900W PLACE N.W., WASHINGTON DC 20018
Terry D Mccallister director, officer: Chairman and CEO 1100 H ST NW, WASHINGTON DC 20080
James F Lafond director 4401 GULF SHORE BLVD NORTH, UNIT 103, NAPLES FL 34103
Clancy George Patrick Jr director 1100 H ST NW, WASHINGTON DC 20080
Stephen C Beasley director THE WILLIAMS COMPANIES, ONCE WILLIAMS CENTER, SUITE 4700, TULSA OK 77002
Diane J Hoskins director 101 CONSTITUTION AVENUE, NW, WASHINGTON DC 20080
Karen Hastie Williams director GANNETT CO INC, 7950 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22107
Degraffenreidt James H Jr other: Former Chairman and CEO 1100 H ST NW, WASHINGTON DC 20080
Philip A Odeen director N/A, N/A OH 45202

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