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ACNB (ACNB) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 12.82% (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is ACNB Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. ACNB's forward rate of return for was 12.82%.

The historical rank and industry rank for ACNB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ACNB' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 9.45   Med: 14.14   Max: 23.02
Current: 15.55

During the past 13 years, ACNB's highest Forward Rate of Return was 23.02. The lowest was 9.45. And the median was 14.14.

ACNB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
58.46% of 1300 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 17.94 vs ACNB: 15.55

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


ACNB Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for ACNB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ACNB Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

ACNB Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.66 21.11 21.10 16.10 12.82

ACNB Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.10 18.05 17.11 16.88 12.82

Competitive Comparison of ACNB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, ACNB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ACNB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, ACNB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ACNB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



ACNB Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

ACNB's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=3.98380952/44.76+0.0392
=12.82 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


ACNB  (NAS:ACNB) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


ACNB Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of ACNB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


ACNB (ACNB) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » ACNB Corp (NAS:ACNB) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
16 Lincoln Square, P.O. BOX 3129, Gettysburg, PA, USA, 17325
ACNB Corp provides banking, insurance, and financial services to businesses and consumers, through its wholly-owned subsidiaries, ACNB Bank and ACNB Insurance Services, Inc. The corporation has two reporting segments, the Bank and ACNB Insurance Services. ACNB Insurance Services is managed separately from the Banking segment, which includes the Bank and related financial services that the corporation offers through its banking subsidiary. ACNB Insurance Services, Inc. offers a broad range of property and casualty, life, and health insurance to both commercial and individual clients. The corporation's primary source of revenue is interest income on loans and investment securities and fee income on its products and services.
Executives
Frank Iii Elsner director 894 LAUREL WOODS LANE, HANOVER PA 17331
James Helt other: EVP/Banking Services ACNB Bank 360 THORNHILL DRIVE, HANOVER PA 17331
Scott L Kelley director 2068 ROSEWOOD LANE, YORK PA 17403
Alan J Stock director 245 ORCHARD DRIVE, HANOVER PA 17331
Andrew A Bradley other: ACNB Bank SVP 16 LINCOLN SQUARE, GETTYSBURG PA 17325
Brett D Fulk other: ACNB Bank EVP 34 MILLER ROAD, NEW RINGGOLD PA 17960
Kevin J Hayes officer: SVP/Secretary & CGO 16 LINCOLN SQUARE, GETTYSBURG PA 17325
Emily E Berwager other: ACNB Bank SVP 16 LINCOLN SQUARE, GETTYSBURG PA 17325
Mark E Blacksten other: ACNB Bank EVP 16 LINCOLN SQUARE, GETTYSBURG PA 17325
Thomas R Stone other: ACNB Bank EVP 2701 PRIMROSE LANE E, YORK PA 17402
Seibel Donald Arthur Jr director 1001 GREEN VALLEY ROAD, NEW WINDSOR MD 21776
James J Lott director 1230 IDAVILLE YORK SPRINGS ROAD, GARDNERS PA 17324
David L Sites director 220 DOUBLEDAY AVENUE, GETTYSBURG PA 17325
Lynda L Glass officer: EVP, Secretary & Treasurer 68 WEST MOUNTAIN TOP DRIVE, ORRTANNA PA 17353
Jason H Weber other: ACNB Bank EVP 1830 BOULDER DRIVE, DOWNINGTOWN PA 19335

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