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Abercrombie & Fitch Co (Abercrombie & Fitch Co) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 23.31% (As of Jan. 2024)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Abercrombie & Fitch Co's forward rate of return for was 23.31%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Abercrombie & Fitch Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ANF' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -11.14   Med: 5.76   Max: 27.64
Current: 23.05

During the past 13 years, Abercrombie & Fitch Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 27.64. The lowest was -11.14. And the median was 5.76.

ANF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
73.04% of 738 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 14.665 vs ANF: 23.05

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Abercrombie & Fitch Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Abercrombie & Fitch Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.19 -0.81 16.78 16.05 23.31

Abercrombie & Fitch Co Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.05 15.55 18.60 22.66 23.31

Competitive Comparison

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Abercrombie & Fitch Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Abercrombie & Fitch Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Abercrombie & Fitch Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Abercrombie & Fitch Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Abercrombie & Fitch Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Abercrombie & Fitch Co's Forward Rate of Return of Jan. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=3.36819048/101.9+0.2
=23.31 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Abercrombie & Fitch Co  (NYSE:ANF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Abercrombie & Fitch Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Abercrombie & Fitch Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Abercrombie & Fitch Co (Abercrombie & Fitch Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6301 Fitch Path, New Albany, OH, USA, 43054
Abercrombie & Fitch Co is a specialty retailer that sells casual clothing, personal-care products, and accessories for men, women, and children. It sells direct to consumer through its stores and websites, which include the Abercrombie & Fitch, Abercrombie kids, and Hollister brands. Most stores are in the United States, but the company does have many stores in Canada, Europe, and Asia. All stores are leased. Abercrombie ships to well over 100 countries via its websites. The company sources its merchandise from dozens of vendors that are primarily located in Asia and Central America. Abercrombie has two distribution centers in Ohio to support its North American operations. It uses third-party distributors for sales in Europe and Asia.
Executives
Scott D. Lipesky officer: SVP and CFO 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Kristin A. Scott officer: Brand President-Hollister Co. 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Jay Rust officer: EVP Human Resources 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Samir Desai officer: EVP;Chief Digital&Tech Officer 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Sarah M. Gallagher director 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Kenneth B. Robinson director 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Gregory J Henchel officer: SVP, Gen Cnsl & Secy C/O HSN, INC., 1 HSN DRIVE, ST. PETERSBURG FL 33729
Fran Horowitz-bonadies officer: President of Hollister brand 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Terry Lee Burman director CLARENDON HOUSE, 2 CHURCH STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM11
Helen Vaid director 600 WEST CHICAGO AVE., STE 400, CHICAGO IL 60654
Kerrii B Anderson director WENDY'S INTERNATIONAL, INC, 4288 WEST DUBLIN-GRANVILLE RD., DUBLIN OH 43017
Suzanne M Coulter director 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Charles R Perrin director C/O AVON PRODUCS INC, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105-0196
Holly May officer: SVP, Chief HR Officer 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
James A Goldman director