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Cache (CACH) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -87.42% (As of Sep. 2014)


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What is Cache Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Cache's forward rate of return for was -87.42%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cache's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

CACH's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.
Industry Median: 14.46
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Cache Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cache's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cache Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Cache Annual Data
Trend Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.17 2.77 2.52 -7.52 -7.48

Cache Quarterly Data
Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -5.50 -7.48 -17.57 -42.11 -87.42

Competitive Comparison of Cache's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Cache's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cache's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Cache's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cache's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Cache Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Cache's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2014 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.23790476/0.84+-0.0998
=18.34 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cache  (OTCPK:CACH) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Cache Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cache's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cache (CACH) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
256 West 38th Street, New York, NY, USA, 10018
Cache Inc is a nationwide, mall and Web-based specialty retailer of lifestyle sportswear and dresses targeting style-conscious women. The company's merchandise offerings include evening wear, casual and daytime sportswear, which encompasses a range of tops, bottoms, dresses, and accessories, all of which are sold under its Cache brand. The company operates its stores, primarily situated in central locations in high traffic, upscale malls. Its main activity includes designing and marketing of three categories of merchandise: Sportswear, Dresses, and Accessories. Sportswear consists of related tops and bottoms, dresses range from shorter lengths for day-time, cocktail, as well as day-into-evening wear to special occasion long dresses.
Executives
Marxe Austin W & Greenhouse David M 10 percent owner C/O SPECIAL SITUATIONS FUNDS, 527 MADISON AVENUE, SUITE 2600, NEW YORK NY 10022
Thomas E Lynch 10 percent owner 382 GREENWICH AVE, SUITE ONE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Scott Scharfman 10 percent owner 382 GREENWICH AVE, SUITE ONE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Jay Margolis director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT, LP, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Michael F Price director, 10 percent owner C/O MFP INVESTORS LLC, 909 THIRD AVE, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Mfp Partners Lp 10 percent owner 909 THIRD AVENUE, 33RD FLOOR, New York NY 10022
Mfp Investors Llc 10 percent owner 909 THIRD AVE, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Charles Hinkaty director
Donna James officer: VP - Store Operations ONE MIRANOVA PLACE, SUITE 1040, COLUMBUS OH 43215

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