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Connecticut Water Service (Connecticut Water Service) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -1.39% (As of Jun. 2019)


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What is Connecticut Water Service Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Connecticut Water Service's forward rate of return for was -1.39%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Connecticut Water Service's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

CTWS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Utilities - Regulated industry.
Industry Median: 6.38
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Connecticut Water Service Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Connecticut Water Service's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Connecticut Water Service Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Connecticut Water Service Annual Data
Trend Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.47 6.02 4.23 3.62 0.31

Connecticut Water Service Quarterly Data
Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.42 1.28 0.31 -0.84 -1.39

Competitive Comparison of Connecticut Water Service's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Utilities - Regulated Water subindustry, Connecticut Water Service's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Connecticut Water Service's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Connecticut Water Service's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Connecticut Water Service's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Connecticut Water Service Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Connecticut Water Service's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2019 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-1.78838095/69.72+0.0118
=-1.39 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Connecticut Water Service  (NAS:CTWS) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Connecticut Water Service Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Connecticut Water Service's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Connecticut Water Service (Connecticut Water Service) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
93 West Main Street, Clinton, CT, USA, 06413
Connecticut Water Service Inc is a water utility that operates in the northeastern region of the United States, specifically Connecticut and Maine. The company has various subsidiaries and divisions, including water operations, which supplies public drinking water; real estate transactions, which sells real estate holdings; and service rentals, which sells contracted water and wastewater services. The major customers of the firm are residential, commercial, fire protection, public authority, and industrial entities. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from its water operations segment and residential customers.
Executives
Ellen C Wolf director C/O AMERICAN WATER WORKS CO INC, 1025 LAUREL OAK RD P O BOX 1770, VOORHEES NJ 08043
Maureen P Westbrook officer: VP, Customer & Reg Affairs 93 WEST MAIN ST, CLINTON CT 06413
A Kristen Johnson officer: V.P. Human Resources C/O CONNECTICUT WATER SERVICE, INC., 93 WEST MAIN STREET, CLINTON CT 06413
Mary Ann Hanley director 93 WEST MAIN STREET, CLINTON CT 06413
Carol P Wallace director 93 WEST MAIN STREET, CLINTON CT 06413
Hunt Heather director 93 WEST MAIN STREET, CLINTON CT 06413
David C Benoit officer: President & CEO 93 WEST MAIN ST, CLINTON CT 06413
Eric W Thornburg director, officer: President/CEO/Chairman 13165 TEN OAK COURT, SARATOGA CA 95070
Judith Kelly officer: Div. Pres. Maine Water C/O NORTHEAST BANK, 500 CANAL STREET, LEWISTON ME 04240