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Forbes Energy Services (Forbes Energy Services) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 0.00% (As of Mar. 2020)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Forbes Energy Services's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Forbes Energy Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FLSS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Oil & Gas industry.
Industry Median: 12.145
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Forbes Energy Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Forbes Energy Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Forbes Energy Services Annual Data
Trend Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -99.32 - - - -

Forbes Energy Services Quarterly Data
Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services subindustry, Forbes Energy Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Forbes Energy Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Forbes Energy Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Forbes Energy Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Forbes Energy Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Forbes Energy Services's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2020 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-0.29942857/0.09+-0.1494
=-347.64 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Forbes Energy Services  (OTCPK:FLSS) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Forbes Energy Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Forbes Energy Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Forbes Energy Services (Forbes Energy Services) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3000 South Business Highway 281, Alice, TX, USA, 78332
Forbes Energy Services Ltd operates as an oilfield services contractor that provides a wide range of well site services to oil and natural gas drilling and producing companies to help develop and enhance the production of oil and natural gas. The company operates in three business segments namely Well Servicing which is the key revenue driver, Coiled Tubing, and Fluid Logistics. These services include fluid hauling, fluid disposal, well maintenance, completion services, workovers and recompletions, plugging and abandonment, and tubing testing. Geographically, it operates in South, East, Central, and West Texas.
Executives
Ascribe Associates Iii, Llc 10 percent owner, other: See Remarks 299 PARK AVENUE 34TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10171
Solace General Partner, Llc 10 percent owner, other: See Remarks 11111 SANTA MONICA BLVD, SUITE 1275 LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Solace Forbes Holdings, Llc 10 percent owner, other: See Remarks 11111 SANTA MONICA BLVD, SUITE 1275 LOS ANGELES CA 90025
American Securities Llc 10 percent owner, other: See Remarks 590 MADISON AVENUE, 38TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Ascribe Opportunities Fund Iii(b), L.p. 10 percent owner, other: See Remarks C/O ASOF ASSOCIATES III, LLC 299 PARK AVENUE, 34TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10171-8000
Ascribe Opportunities Fund Iii, L.p. 10 percent owner, other: See Remarks C/O ASOF ASSOCIATES III, LLC 299 PARK AVENUE, 34TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10171-8000
Solace Capital Special Situations Fund, L.p. 10 percent owner, other: See Remarks 11111 SANTA MONICA BOULEVARD SUITE 1275 LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Ascribe Capital Llc 10 percent owner, other: See Remarks 590 MADISON AVENUE 38TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10022
Ascribe Iii Investments Llc 10 percent owner, other: See Remarks 299 PARK AVENUE 34TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10171
Solace Capital Partners, L.p. 10 percent owner, other: See Remarks 11111 SANTA MONICA BLVD, SUITE 1275 LOS ANGELES CA 90025
L Melvin Cooper officer: Senior Vice President & CFO 2930 W. SAM HOUSTON PARKWAY N, SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77043
Steve Macek officer: EVP, COO 3000 SOUTH BUSINESS HIGHWAY 281 ALICE TX 78332
John E. Crisp director, officer: President & CEO 3000 SOUTH BUSINESS HIGHWAY 281 ALICE TX 78332
Joe Michetti officer: President & Co-COO of FES LLC 18001 HIGHWAY 105 WEST, SUITE 102 MONTGOMERY TX 77356
David B Rosenwasser director 3000 SOUTH BUSINESS HIGHWAY 281 ALICE TX 78332

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