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PotlatchDeltic (PotlatchDeltic) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 20.14% (As of Dec. 2023)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. PotlatchDeltic's forward rate of return for was 20.14%.

The historical rank and industry rank for PotlatchDeltic's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

PCH' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -9.35   Med: 8.69   Max: 29.04
Current: 21.4

During the past 13 years, PotlatchDeltic's highest Forward Rate of Return was 29.04. The lowest was -9.35. And the median was 8.69.

PCH's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
83.21% of 554 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 8.315 vs PCH: 21.40

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


PotlatchDeltic Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for PotlatchDeltic's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PotlatchDeltic Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.82 12.76 24.28 28.21 20.14

PotlatchDeltic Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.21 27.19 26.64 24.14 20.14

Competitive Comparison

For the REIT - Specialty subindustry, PotlatchDeltic's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PotlatchDeltic Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, PotlatchDeltic's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PotlatchDeltic's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



PotlatchDeltic Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

PotlatchDeltic's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=3.20780952/49.1+0.1361
=20.14 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


PotlatchDeltic  (NAS:PCH) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


PotlatchDeltic Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of PotlatchDeltic's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


PotlatchDeltic (PotlatchDeltic) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » PotlatchDeltic Corp (NAS:PCH) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
601 West 1st Avenue, Suite 1600, Spokane, WA, USA, 99201
PotlatchDeltic Corp is a REIT that owns and manages forestland in Alabama, Arkansas, Idaho, Minnesota, and Mississippi. Potlach operates in three segments. The timberlands segment covers the planting and harvesting of trees, as well as the construction and maintenance of roads. The wood products segment manufactures and distributes lumber, plywood, and other wood products. The real estate segment covers the sales generated from company-owned timberlands, as well as commercial and residential properties. The timberlands and the wood product segments combined drive the majority of the company's revenue.
Executives
Glen F Smith officer: Chief Accounting Officer 601 W. FIRST AVENUE, SUITE 1600, SPOKANE WA 99201
Michael J Covey director, officer: CHAIRMAN, PRESIDENT & CEO C/O POTLATCH CORPORATION, 601 W FIRST AVENUE, SUITE 1600, SPOKANE WA 99201
Jerald W Richards officer: VP, Chief Financial Officer C/O POTLATCHDELTIC CORPORATION, 601 W. FIRST AVENUE, SUITE 1600, SPOKANE WA 99201
Robert L. Schwartz officer: VP, Human Resources 601 W. FIRST AVENUE, SUITE 1600, SPOKANE WA 99201
Wayne Wasechek officer: Controller C/O POTLATCHDELTIC CORPORATION, 601 WEST FIRST AVE SUITE 1600, SPOKANE WA 99201
Michele Lynn Tyler officer: VP, GC Corp Sec 601 W FIRST AVE, SUITE 1600, SPOKANE WA 99201
William R Dereu officer: VICE PRESIDENT C/O POTLATCHDELTIC CORPORATION, 601 W. FIRST AVENUE, SUITE 1600, SPOKANE WA 99201
Eric J Cremers officer: VICE PRESIDENT C/O POTLATCH CORPORATION, 601 W. FIRST AVENUE, SUITE 1600, SPOKANE WA 99201
Darin Robert Ball officer: VP of Resource 601 WEST FIRST AVENUE, SUITE 1600, SPOKANE WA 99201
James M Decosmo director 5 CONCOURSE PARKWAY, SUITE 2650, ATLANTA GA 30328
Anna E. Torma officer: VP,Public Affairs/ESG Officer 601 W. FIRST AVENUE, SUITE 1600, SPOKANE WA 99201
Anne L. Alonzo director 601 WEST FIRST AVENUE, SUITE 1600, SPOKANE WA 99201
Ashlee Townsend Cribb officer: VP, Wood Products 600 W. FIRST AVENUE, SUITE 1600, SPOKANE WA 99201
Thomas J. Temple officer: Vice President C/O POTLATCH CORPORATION, 601 W. FIRST AVENUE, SUITE 1600, SPOKANE WA 99201
Larry Peiros director 1221BROADWAY, OAKLAND CA 94612