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Peoples Financial Services (Peoples Financial Services) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 13.05% (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Peoples Financial Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Peoples Financial Services's forward rate of return for was 13.05%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Peoples Financial Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

PFIS' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 5.19   Med: 10.6   Max: 16.98
Current: 15.32

During the past 13 years, Peoples Financial Services's highest Forward Rate of Return was 16.98. The lowest was 5.19. And the median was 10.60.

PFIS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
59.23% of 1300 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 17.925 vs PFIS: 15.32

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Peoples Financial Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Peoples Financial Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Peoples Financial Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Peoples Financial Services Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.11 15.77 14.36 13.62 13.05

Peoples Financial Services Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.62 14.86 14.59 15.18 13.05

Competitive Comparison of Peoples Financial Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Peoples Financial Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Peoples Financial Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Peoples Financial Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Peoples Financial Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Peoples Financial Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Peoples Financial Services's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=4.46266667/48.7+0.0389
=13.05 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Peoples Financial Services  (NAS:PFIS) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Peoples Financial Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Peoples Financial Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Peoples Financial Services (Peoples Financial Services) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
150 North Washington Avenue, Scranton, PA, USA, 18503
Peoples Financial Services Corp is a bank holding company operating through its subsidiaries. The bank provides a full range of financial services. Its products and services include checking accounts, business accounts, savings accounts, loan products, money market accounts, mortgages, chip-enabled debit cards, credit card processing, and visa master card and advisory services. Its loan portfolio includes Commercial loans, which consist of commercial, commercial real estate, municipal, and other related tax-free loans; and retail loans, which include residential real estate and other consumer loans. The company mainly operates in the United States in Pennsylvania.
Executives
Elisa Z Ramirez director 1225 17TH STREET, SUITE 2600, DENVER CO 80202
Wright Joseph T Jr director P.O. BOX A, HALLSTEAD PA 18822
Aubrey William E Ii director PO BOX 158, LAPLUME PA 18440
Locken Richard S Jr director 50 MAIN STREET, HALLSTEAD PA 18822
Ronald G Kukuchka director PO BOX A, HALLSTEAD PA 18822
Jeffrey A Drobins officer: EVP, Chief Lending Officer C/O PEOPLES SECURITY BANK & TRUST CO., 150 N WASHINGTON AVE, SCRANTON PA 18503
Thomas P Tulaney officer: Chief Lending Officer 102 E. DRINKER STREET, DUNMORE PA 18512
Sandra Bodnyk director NATIONAL PENN BANCSHARES, INC, 645 HAMILTON STREET, ALLENTOWN PA 18101
Susan L Hubble officer: EVP, Chief Information Officer C/O PEOPLES SECURITY BANK & TRUST CO., 150 N WASHINGTON AVE, SCRANTON PA 18503
Debra E Dissinger officer: Executive Vice President C/O PEOPLES SECURITY BANK & TRUST CO., 150 N WASHINGTON AVE, SCRANTON PA 18503
Joseph Ferretti officer: Vice President C/O PEOPLES FINANCIAL SERVICES CORP, 50 MAIN STREET, HALLSTEAD PA 18822
Anderson John R Iii officer: SVP,Int Prin Accting Officer 150 N WASHINGTON AVE, PENN SECURITY BANK & TRUST CO, SCRANTON PA 18503
Stover George H Jr director 50 MAIN STREET, HALLSTEAD PA 18822
Craig W Best director, officer: President & CEO C/O PEOPLES SECURITY BANK & TRUST CO., 150 N WASHINGTON AVE, SCRANTON PA 18503
Cesare Joseph G Md director 120 OLD ORCHARD RD, CLARKS GREEN PA 18411