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Providence & Worcester Railroad Co (Providence & Worcester Railroad Co) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 5.69% (As of Jun. 2016)


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What is Providence & Worcester Railroad Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Providence & Worcester Railroad Co's forward rate of return for was 5.69%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Providence & Worcester Railroad Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

PWX's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Transportation industry.
Industry Median: 12.025
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Providence & Worcester Railroad Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Providence & Worcester Railroad Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Providence & Worcester Railroad Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Providence & Worcester Railroad Co Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.69 21.64 30.26 27.44 14.10

Providence & Worcester Railroad Co Quarterly Data
Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.98 17.53 14.10 10.61 5.69

Competitive Comparison of Providence & Worcester Railroad Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Railroads subindustry, Providence & Worcester Railroad Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Providence & Worcester Railroad Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Providence & Worcester Railroad Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Providence & Worcester Railroad Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Providence & Worcester Railroad Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Providence & Worcester Railroad Co's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2016 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.07485714/16.3+0.0523
=5.69 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Providence & Worcester Railroad Co  (NAS:PWX) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Providence & Worcester Railroad Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Providence & Worcester Railroad Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Providence & Worcester Railroad Co (Providence & Worcester Railroad Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Providence & Worcester Railroad Co commenced its operations in 1973. The Company is a short-line freight railroad as defined by the American Association of Railroads operating in Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut and New York. The Company is the only interstate freight carrier serving the State of Rhode Island. The Company services the international double-stack intermodal terminal facility in New England in Worcester, Massachusetts, a strategic location for regional transportation and distribution enterprises. The Company transports commodities for its customers, including automobiles, construction aggregates, iron and steel products, chemicals and plastics, lumber, scrap metals, plastic resins, cement, coal, construction and demolition debris, and processed foods and edible foodstuffs, such as corn syrup and vegetable oils. Its customers include Exxon Mobil Corporation, Ford Motor Company, Frito-Lay, Inc., Global LLP, GDF SUEZ Energy North America, International Paper Company, Lehigh Cement, Cargill, Inc., Northeast Utilities, Nucor Steel, Rawson Materials, Renewable Products Marketing Group, Subaru of New England, Tilcon Connecticut, Inc. and Toray Plastics, Inc. The Company competes with other carriers in the siting of new rail-oriented businesses in the region. The Company also competes with other modes of transportation, particularly long-haul trucking companies, for the transportation of commodities, and ocean-going vessels for the transportation of containers. The Company is subject to governmental regulation by the STB, the FRA, the Transportation Security Administration and other federal, state and local regulatory authorities with respect to certain rates and railroad operations, as well as a variety of health, safety, labor, environmental and other matters.
Executives
Daniel T Noreck officer: Treasurer and CFO 75 HAMMOND STREET, WORCESTER MA 01610
P Scott Conti director, officer: President and COO 75 HAMMOND STREET, WORCESTER MA 01610
Robert H Eder director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 5 STEEPLE STREET, #303, PROVIDENCE RI 02903
Linda Eder 10 percent owner 100 DEXTER ROAD, EAST PROVIDENCE RI 02914
Craig M Scott director 75 HAMMOND STREET, WORCESTER MA 01610
Stephen J Carlotti 10 percent owner 1500 FLEET CENTER, PROVIDENCE RI 02903
Merrill W Sherman director 131 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116

Providence & Worcester Railroad Co (Providence & Worcester Railroad Co) Headlines