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SkyWest (SkyWest) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: -18.65% (As of Dec. 2023)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. SkyWest's forward rate of return for was -18.65%.

The historical rank and industry rank for SkyWest's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

SKYW' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -25.94   Med: -17.36   Max: 14.78
Current: -19.82

During the past 13 years, SkyWest's highest Forward Rate of Return was 14.78. The lowest was -25.94. And the median was -17.36.

SKYW's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
88.87% of 728 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 12.025 vs SKYW: -19.82

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


SkyWest Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for SkyWest's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

SkyWest Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - -20.39 -18.65

SkyWest Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -20.39 -21.09 -20.56 -20.57 -18.65

Competitive Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, SkyWest's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SkyWest Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, SkyWest's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SkyWest's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



SkyWest Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

SkyWest's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=2.27657143/52.2+-0.2301
=-18.65 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


SkyWest  (NAS:SKYW) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


SkyWest Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of SkyWest's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


SkyWest (SkyWest) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Transportation » SkyWest Inc (NAS:SKYW) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
444 South River Road, St. George, UT, USA, 84790
SkyWest Inc offers commercial air services in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and the Caribbean. Additionally, it leases aircraft to capable users to help generate revenue. Generally, SkyWest provides regional flights, and utilizes its smaller, lower-cost aircraft to carry passengers that booked tickets through major airlines. It partners with major global carriers to fly and operate aircraft for a fee. SkyWest may use the major carriers' brand and ground support to coordinate marketing and easily transport passengers. The company has two reportable segments: SkyWest Airlines and SkyWest Leasing.
Executives
James L Welch director 5550 SW MACADAM AVENUE, SUITE 200, PORTLAND OR 97239
Robert J Simmons officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O SKYWEST, INC., 444 SOUTH RIVER ROAD, SAINT GEORGE UT 84790
Jerry C Atkin director, officer: Chairman, President and CEO 684 S OAKRIDGE DRIVE, PINE VALLEY UT 84781
Wade J Steel officer: Executive Vice President 1847 VIEW POINT CIRCLE, SANTA CLARA UT 84765
Russell A Childs officer: Pres. & COO of SkyWest Airline 444 SOUTH RIVER ROAD, ST GEORGE UT 84790
Henry J Eyring director
Eric Woodward officer: Chief Accounting Officer 444 SOUTH RIVER ROAD, ST. GEORGE UT 84790
Smita Conjeevaram director 70 HERETOLD ROAD, BRONXVILLE NY 17708
Greg Wooley officer: Exec VP Operations C/O SKYWEST INC., 444 S. RIVER RD, ST. GEORGE UT 84790
W Steve Albrecht director 3901 NO FIRST ST, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Michael S Thompson officer: Chief Operating Officer, other: Skwest Airlines 2311 S COYOTE LOOP, WASHINGTON UT 84780
Terry Vais officer: Chief Commercial Officer 251 HIGHWOODS PKWY, NEWNAN GA 30265
Andrew C Roberts director C/O SKYWEST, INC., 444 S RIVER ROAD, ST. GEORGE UT 84790
Meredith R. Siegfried director C/O SKYWEST, INC., 444 S RIVER ROAD, ST. GEORGE UT 84790
Alexandria Panot Marren officer: COO of ExpressJet Airlines 444 S. RIVER ROAD, ST. GEORGE UT 84790