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New York Community Bancorp (New York Community Bancorp) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 10.70% (As of Dec. 2023)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. New York Community Bancorp's forward rate of return for was 10.70%.

The historical rank and industry rank for New York Community Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

NYCB' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 5.35   Med: 10.24   Max: 38.17
Current: 34.75

During the past 13 years, New York Community Bancorp's highest Forward Rate of Return was 38.17. The lowest was 5.35. And the median was 10.24.

NYCB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
79.94% of 1301 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 17.93 vs NYCB: 34.75

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


New York Community Bancorp Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for New York Community Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

New York Community Bancorp Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.76 11.80 12.85 13.47 10.70

New York Community Bancorp Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.47 22.26 6.99 8.89 10.70

Competitive Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, New York Community Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


New York Community Bancorp Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, New York Community Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where New York Community Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



New York Community Bancorp Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

New York Community Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=1.07980952/10.23+0.0014
=10.70 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


New York Community Bancorp  (NYSE:NYCB) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


New York Community Bancorp Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of New York Community Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


New York Community Bancorp (New York Community Bancorp) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
102 Duffy Avenue, Hicksville, New York, NY, USA, 11801
New York Community Bancorp Inc is the bank holding company. It is a New York State-chartered savings bank that operates through eight local divisions: Queens County Savings Bank, Roslyn Savings Bank, Richmond County Savings Bank, Roosevelt Savings Bank, and Atlantic Bank in New York; Garden State Community Bank in New Jersey; Ohio Savings Bank in Ohio, and AmTrust Bank in Florida and Arizona. The bank compete for depositors in diverse markets with a comprehensive menu of products and services, and access to multiple service channels, including online banking, mobile banking, and banking by phone. It is also a producer of multi-family loans in New York City.
Executives
Eric Howell officer: SEVP/Pres Comm & Private Bking 102 DUFFY AVENUE, HICKSVILLE NY 11801
Julie Signorille officer: SEVP & COO 102 DUFFY AVENUE, HICKSVILLE NY 11801
Nicholas Christopher Munson officer: EVP & Chief Risk Officer C/O NEW YORK COMMUNITY BANCORP, INC., 102 DUFFY AVENUE, HICKSVILLE NY 11801
Bryan Marx officer: EVP & Princ Accounting Officer 5151 CORPORATE DRIVE, TROY MI 48098
Lee Matthew Smith officer: SEVP & President of Mortgage C/O FLAGSTAR BANCORP INC., 5151 CORPORATE DRIVE, TROY MI 48098
John Thomas Adams officer: SEVP Dir. Multi-Family Lending C/O NEW YORK COMMUNITY BANCORP, INC., 102 DUFFY AVENUE, HICKSVILLE NY 11801
Reginald E Davis officer: Sr EVP & President of Banking 5151 CORPORATE DRIVE, TROY MI 48098
Ronald A. Rosenfeld director NEW YORK COMMUNITY BANCORP INC, 102 DUFFY AVENUE, HICKSVILLE NY 11801
Marshall Lux director 5 BREWSTER STREET #2105, GLEN COVE NY 11542
Jennifer R Whip director 621 PUGH ROAD, WAYNE PA 19087
Alessandro Dinello director, other: Non-Executive Chairman 5300 DEER RIDGE ROAD, JACKSON MI 49201
Peter Schoels director GLOBAL AERO LOGISTICS INC., 101 WORLD DRIVE, PEACHTREE CITY GA 30269
Toan Huynh director 5151 CORPORATE DRIVE, TROY MI 48098
David L Treadwell director 222 S 15TH STREET, SUITE 600 N, OMAHA NE 68102
Hanif Dahya director NEW YORK COOMUNITY BANCORP INC, 102 DUFFY AVENUE, HICKSVILLE NY 11801