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FelCor Lodging Trust (FelCor Lodging Trust) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 13.59% (As of Jun. 2017)


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What is FelCor Lodging Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. FelCor Lodging Trust's forward rate of return for was 13.59%.

The historical rank and industry rank for FelCor Lodging Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FCH's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the REITs industry.
Industry Median: 8.245
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


FelCor Lodging Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for FelCor Lodging Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

FelCor Lodging Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

FelCor Lodging Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -39.60 -44.21 -29.66 -10.71 9.48

FelCor Lodging Trust Quarterly Data
Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.89 6.13 9.48 13.22 13.59

Competitive Comparison of FelCor Lodging Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the REIT - Hotel & Motel subindustry, FelCor Lodging Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


FelCor Lodging Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, FelCor Lodging Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where FelCor Lodging Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



FelCor Lodging Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

FelCor Lodging Trust's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2017 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-0.18019048/7.21+0.1609
=13.59 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


FelCor Lodging Trust  (NYSE:FCH) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


FelCor Lodging Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of FelCor Lodging Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


FelCor Lodging Trust (FelCor Lodging Trust) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
FelCor Lodging Trust Inc. is a U.S.-based real estate investment trust that invests in upper-upscale, upscale, upper-midscale and independent hotel resort markets located in the U.S. and Canada. Through its subsidiary, FelCor Lodging Limited Partnership, or FelCor LP, the company holds ownership interests in the hotels in its portfolio. The firm operates through a single segment because of the similar economic characteristics of its hotels. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from its California properties. The firm's revenue streams include Room, Food and beverage, and Other operating departments revenue. Room comprises the majority of total revenue. FelCor's hotels operate under major brands, including Hilton, Marriott, Renaissance, Sheraton, Westin, and Holiday Inn.
Executives
Steven R Goldman director, officer: CEO 777 WESTCHESTER AVENUE, C/O STARWOOD HOTELS & RESORTS WORLDWIDE, WHITEPLAIN NY 10604
Patricia L Gibson director 545 E JOHN CARPENTER FREEWAY, SUITE 1300, IRVING TX 75062
Michael C. Hughes officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FWY., SUITE 1300, IRVING TX 75062
Christopher J Hartung director 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FWY., SUITE 1300, IRVING TX 75062
Glenn A Carlin director 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FWY., SUITE 1300, IRVING TX 75062
Mark D Rozells director 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FWY., SUITE 1300, IRVING TX 75062
Thomas C Hendrick officer: EVP, Chief Investment Officer 18716 WAINSBOROUGH LANE, DALLAS TX 75287
Troy A Pentecost officer: President, COO 545 EAST JOHN CARPENTER FREEWAY, SUITE 1300, IRVING TX 75062
Dana Hamilton director C/O ARCHSTONE-SMITH TRUST, 9200 E. PANORAMA CIRCLE, SUITE 400, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Robert F Cotter director C/O FELCOR LODGING TRUST INCORPORATED, 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FREEWAY, #1300, IRVING TX 75062
Lutz Robert H Jr director
Corcoran Thomas J Jr director, officer: Chairman 545 E JOHN CARPENTER, STE 1300, IRVING TX 75062
Jeffrey D Symes officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FWY., SUITE 1300, IRVING TX 75062
Ledsinger Charles A Jr director 545 E JOHN CARPENTER FRWY #1300, IRVING TX 75062
Jonathan H Yellen officer: EVP, GC & Secretary COMMONWEALTH HALL AT OLD PARKLAND, 3899 MAPLE AVENUE, SUITE 410, DALLAS TX 75219

FelCor Lodging Trust (FelCor Lodging Trust) Headlines

From GuruFocus

FelCor Lodging Trust Inc. (FCH) CFO Andrew J Welch buys 14,690 Shares

By GuruFocus Research GuruFocus Editor 03-11-2010

Weekly CFO Buys Highlight: FCH, ZOOM, BNVI, SNBC

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Weekly CFO Buys Highlight: FCH, TSTF, ZOOM, CONN

By jameskuang jameskuang 04-11-2011

FelCor Lodging Trust Inc. (FCH) Chairman Thomas J Jr Corcoran buys 8,505 Shares

By GuruFocus Research GuruFocus Editor 03-16-2010

FelCor Lodging Trust Inc. (FCH) CFO Andrew J Welch buys 6,279 Shares

By GuruFocus Research GuruFocus Editor 03-16-2010

FelCor Lodging Trust Inc. (FCH) CEO Richard Allen Smith buys 18,941 Shares

By GuruFocus Research GuruFocus Editor 03-16-2010

FelCor Lodging Trust Inc. (FCH) Chairman Thomas J Jr Corcoran buys 37,224 Shares

By GuruFocus Research GuruFocus Editor 03-08-2010

FelCor Lodging Trust Inc. (FCH) CEO Richard Allen Smith buys 44,305 Shares

By GuruFocus Research GuruFocus Editor 03-11-2010

FelCor Lodging Trust Inc. (FCH) CFO Andrew J Welch buys 9,631 Shares

By GuruFocus Research GuruFocus Editor 03-19-2010