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First Industrial Realty Trust (First Industrial Realty Trust) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 11.96% (As of Dec. 2023)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. First Industrial Realty Trust's forward rate of return for was 11.96%.

The historical rank and industry rank for First Industrial Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FR' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -27.73   Med: 8.11   Max: 19.07
Current: 12.15

During the past 13 years, First Industrial Realty Trust's highest Forward Rate of Return was 19.07. The lowest was -27.73. And the median was 8.11.

FR's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
64.44% of 554 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 8.145 vs FR: 12.15

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


First Industrial Realty Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for First Industrial Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

First Industrial Realty Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.11 8.10 7.10 8.05 11.96

First Industrial Realty Trust Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.05 8.79 10.37 11.76 11.96

Competitive Comparison

For the REIT - Industrial subindustry, First Industrial Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Industrial Realty Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, First Industrial Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Industrial Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



First Industrial Realty Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

First Industrial Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=2.24095238/52.67+0.0771
=11.96 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


First Industrial Realty Trust  (NYSE:FR) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


First Industrial Realty Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of First Industrial Realty Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


First Industrial Realty Trust (First Industrial Realty Trust) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One North Wacker Drive, Suite 4200, Chicago, IL, USA, 60606
First Industrial Realty Trust is a real estate investment trust which which owns, manages, acquires, sells, develops and redevelops industrial real estate. First Industrial's real estate portfolio is primarily comprised of light industrial properties, which are split between industrial and office space, and bulk warehouse properties generally located in business parks near transportation hubs. While light industrial buildings represent the largest share of First Industrial's holdings, bulk warehouses make up most of its portfolio's square footage. The company derives the vast majority of its revenue from rental income tied to medium-term leases. First Industrial's customers include manufacturing, retail, wholesale trade, distribution, and professional services companies.
Executives
Scott A Musil officer: Sen VP, Treas, Controller ONE NORTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4200, CHICAGO IL 60606
Johannson L Yap officer: Chief Investment Officer ONE NORTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4200, CHICAGO IL 60606
Rice Jennifer Matthews officer: General Counsel 555 EAST LANCASTER AVE, SUITE 100, RADNOR PA 19087
Peter Schultz officer: SVP - Portfolio Management ONE NORTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4200, CHICAGO IL 60606
Marcus L. Smith director 555 17TH STREET, SUITE 3700, DCT INDUSTRIAL TRUST INC., DENVER CO 80202
John Rau director MIAMI CORPORATION, 410 N. MICHIGAN AVENUE, ROOM 590, CHICAGO IL 60611
Teresa Bryce Bazemore director CHIMERA INVESTMENT CORPORATION, 520 MADISON AVE, 32ND FL, NEW YORK NY 10022
Bruce W Duncan director, officer: PRESIDENT AND CEO ONE NORTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4200, CHICAGO IL 60606
Hackett H Patrick Jr director ONE NORTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4200, CHICAGO IL 60606
Denise Olsen director ONE NORTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4200, CHICAGO IL 60606
David Harker officer: Exec. Director - Investments ONE NORTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4200, CHICAGO IL 60606
Peter E. Baccile director, officer: President 311 SOUTH WACKER DR., SUITE 3900, CHICAGO IL 60605
Matthew Dominski director ONE NORTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4200, CHICAGO IL 60606
Leonard Peter Sharpe director ONE NORTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4200, CHICAGO IL 60606
Jay H Shidler director THE SHIDLER GROUP, 810 RICHARDS STREET SUITE 1000, HONOLULU HI 96813