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Nelnet (Nelnet) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 21.90% (As of Dec. 2023)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Nelnet's forward rate of return for was 21.90%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nelnet's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

NNI' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 14.16   Med: 24.64   Max: 43.76
Current: 21.2

During the past 13 years, Nelnet's highest Forward Rate of Return was 43.76. The lowest was 14.16. And the median was 24.64.

NNI's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
80.38% of 367 companies
in the Credit Services industry
Industry Median: 4.95 vs NNI: 21.20

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Nelnet Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Nelnet's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Nelnet Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.46 15.16 14.78 19.82 21.90

Nelnet Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.82 20.26 20.21 21.96 21.90

Competitive Comparison

For the Credit Services subindustry, Nelnet's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nelnet Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, Nelnet's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nelnet's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Nelnet Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Nelnet's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=9.47428571/88.22+0.1116
=21.90 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Nelnet  (NYSE:NNI) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Nelnet Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Nelnet's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Nelnet (Nelnet) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
121 South 13th Street, Suite 100, Lincoln, NE, USA, 68508
Nelnet Inc is a United States based company engaged in these five segments; Loan Servicing and Systems focuses on student and consumer loan origination services and servicing, loan origination and servicing-related technology solutions, and outsourcing business services, Education Technology, Services, and Payment Processing provides education services, payment technology, and community management solutions for K-12 schools, institutions, churches, and businesses, Asset Generation and Management Includes the acquisition and management of student and other loan assets, Nelnet Bank focuses on the private education and unsecured consumer loan markets, and Communications provides fiber optic service for internet, telephone, and television services.
Executives
William J Munn officer: Secy, Chief Legal Off, Gen Cou 121 S. 13TH STREET, SUITE 100, LINCOLN NE 68508
Van Deun Jona M director 121 SOUTH 13TH STREET, SUITE 100, LINCOLN NE 68508
Dan D Muhleisen 10 percent owner 6321 DOECREEK CIRCLE, LINCOLN NE 68516
Preeta D Bansal director 121 SOUTH 13TH STREET, SUITE 100, LINCOLN NE 68508
David S Graff director 121 SOUTH 13TH STREET, SUITE 100, LINCOLN NE 68508
Kimberly Kay Rath director 121 SOUTH 13TH STREET, SUITE 100, LINCOLN NE 68508
Kathleen Anne Farrell director 121 SOUTH 13TH STREET, SUITE 100, LINCOLN NE 68508
Matthew W Dunlap director, officer: Chief Business Develop. Off. 121 SOUTH 13TH STREET, SUITE 100, LINCOLN NE 68508
Magnolia Capital Fund, Lp other: See remarks 1601 DODGE STREET, SUITE 3300, OMAHA NE 68102
Magnolia Group, Llc other: See remarks 1601 DODGE STREET, SUITE 3300, OMAHA NE 68102
Adam K Peterson director, other: See below 1601 DODGE STREET, SUITE 3300, OMAHA NE 68102
Shelby J Butterfield 10 percent owner 121 SOUTH 13TH STREET, SUITE 100, LINCOLN NE 68508
Michael S Dunlap director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman, Co-Chief Ex. Officer 121 SOUTH 13TH STREET, SUITE 100, LINCOLN NE 68508
Joann M Martin director 6221 ANDREW COURT, LINCOLN NE 68512
Angie Mulheisen 10 percent owner 3643 S 48TH STREET P O BOX 82535, LINCOLN NE 68501-2535