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PHX Minerals (PHX Minerals) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 0.00% (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is PHX Minerals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. PHX Minerals's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for PHX Minerals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

PHX' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -20.77   Med: -5.65   Max: 23.59
Current: 6.48

During the past 13 years, PHX Minerals's highest Forward Rate of Return was 23.59. The lowest was -20.77. And the median was -5.65.

PHX's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
60% of 590 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 12.085 vs PHX: 6.48

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


PHX Minerals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for PHX Minerals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PHX Minerals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

PHX Minerals Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
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PHX Minerals Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
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Competitive Comparison of PHX Minerals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, PHX Minerals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PHX Minerals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, PHX Minerals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PHX Minerals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



PHX Minerals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

PHX Minerals's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.57752381/3.22+-0.0988
=8.06 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


PHX Minerals  (NYSE:PHX) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


PHX Minerals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of PHX Minerals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


PHX Minerals (PHX Minerals) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » PHX Minerals Inc (NYSE:PHX) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1320 South University Drive, Suite 720, Fort Worth, TX, USA, 76107
PHX Minerals, previously Panhandle Oil & Gas, is an oil and natural gas mineral company that has employed a strategy to shift the core of its business away from drilling and toward perpetual mineral and natural gas ownership. The company owns substantial mineral acreage, principally in Oklahoma, North Dakota, Texas, New Mexico, and Arkansas, but still maintains legacy interests in natural gas and oil properties that have retired operations. The sale of natural gas, natural gas liquids, and oil continues to be the primary source of the company's revenue.
Executives
Edenbrook Capital, Llc 10 percent owner 116 RADIO CIRCLE, SUITE 202, MT. KISCO NY 10549
Chad True officer: Principal Accounting Officer 2113 NW 59TH PLACE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73112
Raphael D'amico officer: VP - Business Development 5400 NORTH GRAND BOULEVARD, SUITE 300, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73112
Chad L Stephens director 100 THROCKMORTON, SUITE 1200, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Srp Capital Advisors, Llc 10 percent owner 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD., SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75219
Steven L Packebush director 3503 NW 63RD STREET, SUITE 500, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73116-2238
Peter B Delaney director P.O. BOX 321, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73101
Christopher T. Fraser director 9555 WEST SAM HOUSTON PARKWAY SOUTH, SUITE 600, HOUSTON TX 77099
Glen A Brown director P.O. BOX 268836, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73126
William T Fennebresque 10 percent owner 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75219
Srpo-ii Manager, Lp 10 percent owner 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75219
Cwep-srpoii Investments, Llc other: See Explanation of Responses 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75219
Palmetto Investment Partners, Llc other: See Explanation of Responses 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75219
Palmetto Investment Partners Ii, Llc 10 percent owner 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75219
Ryan A Turner 10 percent owner 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75219