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Henderson Land Development Co (Henderson Land Development Co) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: -16.01% (As of Dec. 2022)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Henderson Land Development Co's forward rate of return for was -16.01%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Henderson Land Development Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

HLDVF' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -16.35   Med: -1.44   Max: 15.23
Current: -15.43

During the past 13 years, Henderson Land Development Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 15.23. The lowest was -16.35. And the median was -1.44.

HLDVF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
78.22% of 1267 companies
in the Real Estate industry
Industry Median: 4.66 vs HLDVF: -15.43

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Henderson Land Development Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Henderson Land Development Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Henderson Land Development Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.04 -7.18 -11.99 -16.01 -

Henderson Land Development Co Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -11.99 - -16.01 - -

Competitive Comparison

For the Real Estate - Diversified subindustry, Henderson Land Development Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Henderson Land Development Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Henderson Land Development Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Henderson Land Development Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Henderson Land Development Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Henderson Land Development Co's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2022 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.13/2.98+-0.1657
=-12.21 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Henderson Land Development Co  (OTCPK:HLDVF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Henderson Land Development Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Henderson Land Development Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Henderson Land Development Co (Henderson Land Development Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
8 Finance Street, 72nd -76th Floor, Two International Finance Centre, Central, Hong Kong, HKG
Henderson Land Development is a leading property developer in Hong Kong with a focus on urban redevelopment and farmland conversion. The company was founded in 1976, listed in 1981. Founder Lee Shau Kee is the controlling shareholder, and a series of disposals in December 2017 reduced his stake to below 72.8%. The share disposals were the first since 1993, lessening the possibility of a privatization. Lee stepped down in May 2019, succeeded by his two sons as joint chairmen and managing directors. Henderson Land also controls four listed entities directly, including a 33.4% stake in Hong Kong Ferry, a 69% stake in Henderson Investment, a 41.5% stake in Hong Kong and China Gas, and a 50.1% stake in Miramar Hotel & Investment.

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