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PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: -25.15% (As of Dec. 2023)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust's forward rate of return for was -25.15%.

The historical rank and industry rank for PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

PMT' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -149.82   Med: -48.48   Max: -8.75
Current: -27.62

During the past 13 years, PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust's highest Forward Rate of Return was -8.75. The lowest was -149.82. And the median was -48.48.

PMT's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
94.95% of 554 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 8.34 vs PMT: -27.62

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -49.17 -49.32 -65.59 -72.88 -25.15

PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -72.88 -90.03 -53.10 -40.99 -25.15

Competitive Comparison

For the REIT - Mortgage subindustry, PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=-2.91371429/14.95+-0.0566
=-25.15 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust  (NYSE:PMT) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3043 Townsgate Road, Westlake Village, CA, USA, 91361
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust is a specialty finance company that invests primarily in residential mortgage loans and mortgage-related assets. The company's operations include activities such as production and servicing of financial securities based on residential loans and pooling and reselling of high-credit-quality mortgages. The company operates through four segments: correspondent production, credit-sensitive strategies, interest-rate-sensitive strategies, and corporate activities. The correspondent production segment, which generates income via purchasing, pooling, and reselling of loans or mortgage-backed securities accounts for roughly half of the company's income.
Executives
Scott W. Carnahan director 3820 VISTA AZUL, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92672
Catherine A. Lynch director 55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Donna M Corley director 8200 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Doug Jones officer: Chief Correspondent Lending Of C/O PENNYMAC, 6101 CONDOR DRIVE, UPPER LEVEL, MOORPARK CA 93021
William Herbert Chang officer: Chief Investment Officer PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES, INC., 3043 TOWNSGATE ROAD, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361
Stacey D. Stewart director 5920 WALHONDING ROAD, BETHESDA MD 20816
Marianne Sullivan director C/O PENNYMAC, 3043 TOWNSGATE ROAD, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361
David Spector officer: President and COO, other: Trustee C/O PENNYMAC, 6101 CONDOR DRIVE, UPPER LEVEL, MOORPARK CA 93021
James Follette officer: Chief Mortgage Fulfillment Ofr PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES, INC., 3043 TOWNSGATE ROAD, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361
Renee Schultz director C/O PENNYMAC, 3043 TOWNSGATE ROAD, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361
Derek Stark officer: Chief Legal Officer 4500 PARK GRANADA, CALABASAS CA 91302
Frank P Willey director 1701 VILLAGE CENTER CIRCLE, LAS VEGAS NV 18934
Randall D. Hadley director 23821 FAIRGREENS EAST, LAGUNA NIGUEL CA 92677
Nancy Mcallister, director 30 CAMP WOODBINE ROAD, PORT JEFFERSON NY 11777
Preston Paul Dufauchard, Jr. director 11230 ELVESSA STREET, OAKLAND CA 94605