GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Public Storage (NYSE:PSA) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

Public Storage (Public Storage) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 23.68% (As of Dec. 2023)
View and export this data going back to 1984. Start your Free Trial

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Public Storage's forward rate of return for was 23.68%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Public Storage's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

PSA' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 5.96   Med: 11.29   Max: 25.38
Current: 24.41

During the past 13 years, Public Storage's highest Forward Rate of Return was 25.38. The lowest was 5.96. And the median was 11.29.

PSA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
88.99% of 554 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 8.34 vs PSA: 24.41

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Public Storage Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Public Storage's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Public Storage Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.15 8.08 6.88 19.46 23.68

Public Storage Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.46 22.39 24.30 24.87 23.68

Competitive Comparison

For the REIT - Industrial subindustry, Public Storage's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Public Storage Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Public Storage's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Public Storage's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Public Storage Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Public Storage's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=12.92761905/305+0.1944
=23.68 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Public Storage  (NYSE:PSA) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Public Storage Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Public Storage's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Public Storage (Public Storage) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Public Storage (NYSE:PSA) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Address
701 Western Avenue, Glendale, CA, USA, 91201-2349
Public Storage is the largest owner of self-storage facilities in the U.S. with more than 2,880 self-storage facilities in 40 states and approximately 200 million square feet of rentable space. Through equity interests, it also has exposure to the European self-storage market through Shurgard Self Storage. The company also has a merchandise business, a third-party property management business, and an insurance business that offers products to cover losses for the goods in self-storage facilities.
Executives
Nathaniel A. Vitan officer: Chief Legal Officer 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201-2349
John Reyes director 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201
Havner Ronald L Jr director 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201
Avedick Baruyr Poladian director 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201
David Lee officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O PUBLIC STORAGE, 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201
Russell Joseph D Jr officer: President & CEO PUBLIC STORAGE, 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201
Tamara Hughes Gustavson director, 10 percent owner 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201-2349
Heisz Leslie Stone director C/O PUBLIC STORAGE, 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201
Ronald P Spogli director 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201
Kristy Pipes director C/O PS BUSINESS PARKS, INC., 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201
Shroff Michelle Millstone director C/O PARTY CITY HOLDCO INC., 80 GRASSLANDS ROAD, ELMSFORD NY 10523
Rebecca L Owen director 1750 H STREET, SUITE 500, COLUMBIA EQUITY TRUST, INC., WASHINGTON DC 20006
Paul S Williams director C/O MAJOR, LINDSEY & AFRICA, 1 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1750, CHICAGO IL 60606
Tariq M Shaukat director ONE CAESARS PALACE DRIVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89109
David J Neithercut director C/O EQUITY RESIDENTIAL, TWO NORTH RIVERSIDE PLAZA, SUITE 400, CHICAGO IL 60606