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Ventas (Ventas) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: -0.45% (As of Dec. 2023)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Ventas's forward rate of return for was -0.45%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ventas's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

VTR' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.17   Med: 8.93   Max: 15.14
Current: 0.18

During the past 13 years, Ventas's highest Forward Rate of Return was 15.14. The lowest was -6.17. And the median was 8.93.

VTR's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
70.94% of 554 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 8.34 vs VTR: 0.18

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Ventas Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ventas's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ventas Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.73 4.54 -1.94 -5.49 -0.45

Ventas Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -5.49 -4.74 -3.81 -1.75 -0.45

Competitive Comparison

For the REIT - Healthcare Facilities subindustry, Ventas's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ventas Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Ventas's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ventas's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Ventas Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Ventas's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.85980952/49.84+-0.0418
=-0.45 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ventas  (NYSE:VTR) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Ventas Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ventas's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ventas (Ventas) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Ventas Inc (NYSE:VTR) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
353 North Clark Street, Suite 3300, Chicago, IL, USA, 60654
Ventas owns a diversified healthcare portfolio of nearly 1,400 in-place properties spread across the senior housing, medical office, hospital, life science, and skilled nursing/post-acute care. The portfolio includes over 40 properties in Canada and the United Kingdom as the company looks for additional investment opportunities in countries with mature healthcare systems that operate similarly to the United States. The firm also owns mortgages and other loans, contributing about 3% of net operating income.
Executives
Walter C Rakowich director 14100 E 35TH PL, AURORA CO 80011
Debra A Cafaro director, officer: Chairman, President and CEO 353 N. CLARK STREET, SUITE 3300, CHICAGO IL 60654
Sumit Roy director 600 LA TERRAZA BOULEVARD, ESCONDIDO CA 92025
Michael J Embler director C/O NMI HOLDINGS, INC., 2100 POWELL STREET, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Robert D. Reed director 47 DONALD DRIVE, ORINDA CA 94563
James D Shelton director 3901 TURTLE CREEK BLVD. #12, DALLAS TX 75219
Richard I Gilchrist director 5950 SHERRY LANE, SUITE 700, DALLAS TX 75225
Robert F Probst officer: EVP, CFO and Acting CAO 353 N. CLARK STREET, SUITE 3300, CHICAGO IL 60654
Gregory R Liebbe officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer 500 N. HURSTBOURNE PARKWAY, SUITE 200, LOUISVILLE KY 40222
Maurice S Smith director 353 N. CLARK STREET, SUITE 3300, CHICAGO IL 60654
Marguerite M Nader director 2S601 AVENUE LA TOURS, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Carey S. Roberts officer: EVP and GC C/O VENTAS, INC., 353 N. CLARK STREET, SUITE 3300, CHICAGO IL 60654
James Justin Hutchens officer: EVP Sr Housing North America C/O VENTAS, INC., 353 N. CLARK STREET, SUITE 3300, CHICAGO IL 60654
John D. Cobb officer: SVP & Chief Investment Officer 353 N. CLARK STREET, SUITE 3300, CHICAGO IL 60654
Sean P. Nolan director C/O INTERMUNE, INC., 3280 BAYSHORE BLVD., BRISBANE CA 94005

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