In ranking the predictability, companies with more consistent revenue and earnings growth are ranked high with predictability.
Peter Lynch categorized companies according to their revenue growth:
Slow Grower: Inflation < 10-Year Revenue Growth Rate < 10%:
Stalwart: 10% < 10-Year Revenue Growth Rate < 20%:
Fast Grower: 10-Year Revenue Growth Rate > 20%:
His favorite companies are stalwart, those growing between 10-20% a year.
Companies in cyclical industries may see their revenue fluctuate wildly in good years and bad years.
Revenue can be manipulated by changing the way how revenue is booked. Companies may book sales before the payment is received, or before the revenue is fully earned. These will be added to balance sheet items such as account payable or account receivables.
Cost of Goods Sold
, Operating Income
, Pre-Tax Income
, Net Income