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A O Smith Corp (NYSE:AOS)
Shiller P/E Ratio
30.18 (As of Today)

As of today, A O Smith Corp's current share price is $64.88. A O Smith Corp's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2015 was $2.15. A O Smith Corp's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is 30.18.

AOS' s 10-Year Shiller P/E Ratio Range
Min: 10.33   Max: 38.93
Current: 30.12

10.33
38.93

During the past 13 years, A O Smith Corp's highest Shiller P/E Ratio was 38.93. The lowest was 10.33. And the median was 20.60.

AOS's Shiller P/E Ratiois ranked lower than
68% of the 842 Companies
in the Global Diversified Industrials industry.

( Industry Median: 21.02 vs. AOS: 30.12 )

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

A O Smith Corp's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2015 was $0.790. Since most companies do not have as long as 10 years history, here we use 6 years to calculate. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 6 years together and divide 6 will get our E10, which is $2.15 for the trailing six years ended in Jun. 2015.


Definition

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

A O Smith Corp's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller P/E Ratio=Share Price/E10
=64.88/2.15
=30.18

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

A O Smith Corp's E10 for the fiscal year that ended in Dec14 is calculated as:

For example, A O Smith Corp's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2015 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnigns per Share/CPI of Jun. 2015*CPI of Current
=0.79/238.638*238.662
=0.790

Since most companies do not have as long as 10 years history, GuruFocus uses 6 years to do the calculation.

Current CPI = 238.662.

A O Smith Corp Quarterly Data

201303201306201309201312201403201406201409201412201503201506
per share eps 0.4200.4500.5000.4610.5100.6300.5600.5900.6500.790
CPI 232.773233.504234.149233.049236.293238.343238.031234.812236.119238.638
Adj_EPS 0.4310.4600.5100.4720.5150.6310.5610.6000.6570.790
201009201012201103201106201109201112201203201206201209201212
per share eps 0.3450.3470.4400.5401.9550.3450.5100.3800.4000.422
CPI 218.439219.179223.467225.722226.889225.672229.392229.478231.407229.601
Adj_EPS 0.3770.3780.4700.5712.0560.3650.5310.3950.4130.439
200909200912201003201006
per share eps 0.3800.2840.3350.180
CPI 215.969215.949217.631217.965
Adj_EPS 0.4200.3140.3670.197

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 6 will get our E10.


Explanation

Compared with the regular P/E ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller P/E smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller P/E should give similar results to regular P/E.

Compared with the P/S ratio, the Shiller P/E makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

The Shiller P/E assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company’s business model does not work in the future compared with the past, the Shiller P/E and P/S ratio will give false valuations.


Related Terms

P/E Ratio, P/B Ratio, P/S Ratio, Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow ratio, E10


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

A O Smith Corp Annual Data

Dec05Dec06Dec07Dec08Dec09Dec10Dec11Dec12Dec13Dec14
ShillerPE 23.8222.3816.7413.7018.1520.3214.2320.1531.2929.04

A O Smith Corp Quarterly Data

Mar13Jun13Sep13Dec13Mar14Jun14Sep14Dec14Mar15Jun15
ShillerPE 22.8322.0226.8831.2925.8326.8924.9529.0431.9933.43
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