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AeroVironment Inc (NAS:AVAV)
Shiller P/E Ratio
33.16 (As of Today)

As of today, AeroVironment Inc's current share price is $26.53. AeroVironment Inc's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2015 was $0.80. AeroVironment Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is 33.16.

AVAV' s 10-Year Shiller P/E Ratio Range
Min: 9.54   Max: 40.05
Current: 33.21

9.54
40.05

During the past 12 years, AeroVironment Inc's highest Shiller P/E Ratio was 40.05. The lowest was 9.54. And the median was 20.59.

AVAV's Shiller P/E Ratiois ranked higher than
78% of the 341 Companies
in the Global Aerospace & Defense industry.

( Industry Median: 29.35 vs. AVAV: 33.21 )

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

AeroVironment Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2015 was $0.100. Since most companies do not have as long as 10 years history, here we use 6 years to calculate. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 6 years together and divide 6 will get our E10, which is $0.80 for the trailing six years ended in Jan. 2015.


Definition

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

AeroVironment Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller P/E Ratio=Share Price/E10
=26.53/0.80
=33.16

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

AeroVironment Inc's E10 for the fiscal year that ended in Apr14 is calculated as:

For example, AeroVironment Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2015 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnigns per Share/CPI of Jan. 2015*CPI of Current
=0.1/234.143*233.808
=0.100

Since most companies do not have as long as 10 years history, GuruFocus uses 6 years to do the calculation.

Current CPI = 233.808.

AeroVironment Inc Quarterly Data

201210201301201304201307201310201401201404201407201410201501
per share eps 0.3900.170-0.036-0.3200.0700.4900.355-0.160-0.1300.100
CPI 231.317230.280232.531233.596233.546233.916237.072238.250237.433234.143
Adj_EPS 0.3940.173-0.036-0.3200.0700.4900.350-0.157-0.1280.100
201004201007201010201101201104201107201110201201201204201207
per share eps 0.706-0.1600.0100.5200.7950.0100.3000.2600.793-0.060
CPI 218.009218.011218.711220.223224.906225.922226.421226.665230.085229.104
Adj_EPS 0.757-0.1720.0110.5520.8260.0100.3100.2680.806-0.061
200904200907200910201001
per share eps 0.274-0.1700.1000.300
CPI 213.240215.351216.177216.687
Adj_EPS 0.300-0.1850.1080.324

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 6 will get our E10.


Explanation

Compared with the regular P/E ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller P/E smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller P/E should give similar results to regular P/E.

Compared with the P/S ratio, the Shiller P/E makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

The Shiller P/E assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company’s business model does not work in the future compared with the past, the Shiller P/E and P/S ratio will give false valuations.


Related Terms

P/E Ratio, P/B Ratio, P/S Ratio, Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow ratio, E10


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

AeroVironment Inc Annual Data

Apr05Apr06Apr07Apr08Apr09Apr10Apr11Apr12Apr13Apr14
ShillerPE 0.000.000.000.000.000.0016.1118.7818.3234.06

AeroVironment Inc Quarterly Data

Oct12Jan13Apr13Jul13Oct13Jan14Apr14Jul14Oct14Jan15
ShillerPE 18.4519.6818.3223.0628.6230.5234.0633.6737.3332.03
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