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Blyth Inc (NYSE:BTH)
Shiller P/E Ratio
7.02 (As of Today)

As of today, Blyth Inc's current share price is $8.78. Blyth Inc's E10 for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2014 was $1.25. Blyth Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is 7.02.

BTH' s 10-Year Shiller P/E Ratio Range
Min: 6.17   Max: 191.05
Current: 7.1

6.17
191.05

During the past 13 years, Blyth Inc's highest Shiller P/E Ratio was 191.05. The lowest was 6.17. And the median was 20.86.

BTH's Shiller P/E Ratiois ranked higher than
98% of the 1814 Companies
in the Global Household & Personal Products industry.

( Industry Median: 53.11 vs. BTH: 7.10 )

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Blyth Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2014 was $6.500. Since most companies do not have as long as 10 years history, here we use 6 years to calculate. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 6 years together and divide 6 will get our E10, which is $1.25 for the trailing six years ended in Sep. 2014.


Definition

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Blyth Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller P/E Ratio=Share Price/E10
=8.78/1.25
=7.02

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Blyth Inc's E10 for the fiscal year that ended in Dec13 is calculated as:

For example, Blyth Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2014 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnigns per Share/CPI of Sep. 2014*CPI of Current
=6.57/238.031*235.51
=6.500

Since most companies do not have as long as 10 years history, GuruFocus uses 6 years to do the calculation.

Current CPI = 235.51.

Blyth Inc Quarterly Data

201206201209201212201303201306201309201312201403201406201409
per share eps 0.4600.040-0.3650.160-0.200-0.5300.261-0.200-0.3006.570
CPI 229.478231.407229.601232.773233.504234.149233.049236.293238.343238.031
Adj_EPS 0.4720.041-0.3740.162-0.202-0.5330.264-0.199-0.2966.500
200910201001201004201007201010201101201104201107201110201203
per share eps -0.0551.7720.2550.0450.1551.066-0.175-0.1850.0500.430
CPI 216.177216.687218.009218.011218.711220.223224.906225.922226.421229.392
Adj_EPS -0.0601.9260.2750.0490.1671.140-0.183-0.1930.0520.441
200810200901200904200907
per share eps -1.8600.7430.135-0.870
CPI 216.573211.143213.240215.351
Adj_EPS -2.0230.8290.149-0.951

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 6 will get our E10.


Explanation

Compared with the regular P/E ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller P/E smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller P/E should give similar results to regular P/E.

Compared with the P/S ratio, the Shiller P/E makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

The Shiller P/E assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company’s business model does not work in the future compared with the past, the Shiller P/E and P/S ratio will give false valuations.


Related Terms

P/E Ratio, P/B Ratio, P/S Ratio, Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow ratio, E10


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Blyth Inc Annual Data

Jan04Jan05Jan06Jan07Jan08Jan09Jan10Jan11Dec12Dec13
ShillerPE 18.4216.2112.4319.2324.977.9848.534.0326.6361.67

Blyth Inc Quarterly Data

Jun12Sep12Dec12Mar13Jun13Sep13Dec13Mar14Jun14Sep14
ShillerPE 97.0038.2626.6337.6844.3970.4561.6742.8742.566.48
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