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As of today, Express, Inc.'s current share price is $16.47. Express, Inc.'s E10 for the quarter that ended in Oct. 2014 was $1.32. Express, Inc.'s Shiller P/E Ratio for today is 12.48.
During the past 8 years, Express, Inc.'s highest Shiller P/E Ratio was 12.57. The lowest was 10.02. And the median was 11.35.
E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.
Express, Inc.'s adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Oct. 2014 was $0.167. Since most companies do not have as long as 10 years history, here we use 6 years to calculate. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 6 years together and divide 6 will get our E10, which is $1.32 for the trailing six years ended in Oct. 2014.
For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.
The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.
Express, Inc.'s Shiller P/E Ratio for today is calculated as
|Shiller P/E Ratio||=||Share Price||/||E10|
Express, Inc.'s E10 for the fiscal year that ended in Jan14 is calculated as:
For example, Express, Inc.'s adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Oct. 2014 was:
|Adj_EPS||=||Earnigns per Share||/||CPI of Oct. 2014||*||CPI of Current|
Since most companies do not have as long as 10 years history, GuruFocus uses 6 years to do the calculation.
Current CPI = 233.808.
Express, Inc. Quarterly Data
|per share eps||0.200||0.749||0.380||0.200||0.230||0.566||0.060||0.080||0.170||0.490|
|per share eps||0.390||0.250||0.300||0.546||0.390||0.140||0.370||0.678||0.470||0.180|
|per share eps||0.100||-0.090||0.370||0.625|
Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 6 will get our E10.
Compared with the regular P/E ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller P/E smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.
If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller P/E should give similar results to regular P/E.
Compared with the P/S ratio, the Shiller P/E makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.
The Shiller P/E assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a companys business model does not work in the future compared with the past, the Shiller P/E and P/S ratio will give false valuations.
Express, Inc. Annual Data
Express, Inc. Quarterly Data