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Express, Inc. (NYSE:EXPR)
Shiller P/E Ratio
14.68 (As of Today)

As of today, Express, Inc.'s current share price is $20.26. Express, Inc.'s E10 for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2015 was $1.38. Express, Inc.'s Shiller P/E Ratio for today is 14.68.

EXPR' s 10-Year Shiller P/E Ratio Range
Min: 9.36   Max: 14.78
Current: 14.64

9.36
14.78

During the past 8 years, Express, Inc.'s highest Shiller P/E Ratio was 14.78. The lowest was 9.36. And the median was 11.95.

EXPR's Shiller P/E Ratiois ranked higher than
65% of the 475 Companies
in the Global Apparel Stores industry.

( Industry Median: 20.36 vs. EXPR: 14.64 )

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Express, Inc.'s adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2015 was $0.151. Since most companies do not have as long as 10 years history, here we use 6 years to calculate. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 6 years together and divide 6 will get our E10, which is $1.38 for the trailing six years ended in Apr. 2015.


Definition

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Express, Inc.'s Shiller P/E Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller P/E Ratio=Share Price/E10
=20.26/1.38
=14.68

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Express, Inc.'s E10 for the fiscal year that ended in Jan15 is calculated as:

For example, Express, Inc.'s adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2015 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnigns per Share/CPI of Apr. 2015*CPI of Current
=0.15/236.599*238.662
=0.151

Since most companies do not have as long as 10 years history, GuruFocus uses 6 years to do the calculation.

Current CPI = 238.662.

Express, Inc. Quarterly Data

201304201307201310201401201404201407201410201501201504201507
per share eps 0.3800.2000.2300.5660.0600.0800.1700.4930.1500.000
CPI 232.531233.596233.546233.916237.072238.250237.433233.707236.599238.654
Adj_EPS 0.3900.2040.2350.5770.0600.0800.1710.5030.1510.000
201010201101201104201107201110201201201204201207201210201301
per share eps 0.3000.5460.3900.1400.3700.6780.4700.1800.2000.749
CPI 218.711220.223224.906225.922226.421226.665230.085229.104231.317230.280
Adj_EPS 0.3270.5920.4140.1480.3900.7140.4880.1880.2060.776
200910201001201004201007
per share eps 0.3700.6250.3900.250
CPI 216.177216.687218.009218.011
Adj_EPS 0.4080.6880.4270.274

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 6 will get our E10.


Explanation

Compared with the regular P/E ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller P/E smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller P/E should give similar results to regular P/E.

Compared with the P/S ratio, the Shiller P/E makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

The Shiller P/E assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company’s business model does not work in the future compared with the past, the Shiller P/E and P/S ratio will give false valuations.


Related Terms

P/E Ratio, P/B Ratio, P/S Ratio, Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow ratio, E10


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Express, Inc. Annual Data

Jan08Jan09Jan10Jan11Jan12Jan13Jan14Jan15
ShillerPE 0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.009.68

Express, Inc. Quarterly Data

Apr13Jul13Oct13Jan14Apr14Jul14Oct14Jan15Apr15Jul15
ShillerPE 0.000.000.000.000.0011.2711.209.6811.780.00
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