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As of today, Guess? Inc's current share price is $20.33. Guess? Inc's E10 for the quarter that ended in Oct. 2014 was $2.37. Guess? Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is 8.58.
During the past 13 years, Guess? Inc's highest Shiller P/E Ratio was 114.98. The lowest was 8.57. And the median was 23.61.
E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.
Guess? Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Oct. 2014 was $0.238. Since most companies do not have as long as 10 years history, here we use 6 years to calculate. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 6 years together and divide 6 will get our E10, which is $2.37 for the trailing six years ended in Oct. 2014.
For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.
The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.
Guess? Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is calculated as
|Shiller P/E Ratio||=||Share Price||/||E10|
Guess? Inc's E10 for the fiscal year that ended in Jan14 is calculated as:
For example, Guess? Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Oct. 2014 was:
|Adj_EPS||=||Earnigns per Share||/||CPI of Oct. 2014||*||CPI of Current|
Since most companies do not have as long as 10 years history, GuruFocus uses 6 years to do the calculation.
Current CPI = 235.51.
Guess? Inc Quarterly Data
|per share eps||0.490||0.430||0.857||0.120||0.470||0.400||0.824||-0.030||0.260||0.240|
|per share eps||0.940||0.540||0.720||0.750||1.124||0.460||0.650||0.710||1.054||0.300|
|per share eps||0.518||0.350||0.640||0.690|
Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 6 will get our E10.
Compared with the regular P/E ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller P/E smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.
If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller P/E should give similar results to regular P/E.
Compared with the P/S ratio, the Shiller P/E makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.
The Shiller P/E assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a companys business model does not work in the future compared with the past, the Shiller P/E and P/S ratio will give false valuations.
Guess? Inc Annual Data
Guess? Inc Quarterly Data