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GuruFocus has detected 2 Warning Signs with Travelzoo Inc $TZOO.
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Travelzoo Inc (NAS:TZOO)
Shiller PE Ratio
18.80 (As of Today)

As of today, Travelzoo Inc's current share price is $9.40. Travelzoo Inc's E10 for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2016 was $0.50. Travelzoo Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is 18.80.

TZOO' s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 13.06   Max: 324.9
Current: 19.76

13.06
324.9

During the past 13 years, Travelzoo Inc's highest Shiller P/E Ratio was 324.90. The lowest was 13.06. And the median was 37.26.

TZOO's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked higher than
86% of the 28 Companies
in the Global Internet Content & Information industry.

( Industry Median: 49.82 vs. TZOO: 19.76 )

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Travelzoo Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2016 was $0.120. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is $0.50 for the trailing ten years ended in Sep. 2016.


Definition

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Travelzoo Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller P/E Ratio=Share Price/E10
=9.40/0.50
=18.80

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

Travelzoo Inc's E10 for the fiscal year that ended in Dec15 is calculated as:

For example, Travelzoo Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2016 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnigns per Share/CPI of Sep. 2016 (Change)*Current CPI (Sep. 2016)
=0.12/241.428*241.428
=0.120

Current CPI (Sep. 2016) = 241.428.

Travelzoo Inc Quarterly Data

201409201412201503201506201509201512201603201606201609201612
per share eps 0.120-0.0100.0500.0600.6000.0300.1400.1400.1200.070
CPI 238.031234.812236.119238.638237.945236.525238.132241.018241.428241.432
Adj_EPS 0.122-0.0100.0510.0610.6090.0310.1420.1400.1200.070
201203201206201209201212201303201306201309201312201403201406
per share eps 0.2300.4500.2200.2400.3600.340-1.2400.1100.3100.540
CPI 229.392229.478231.407229.601232.773233.504234.149233.049236.293238.343
Adj_EPS 0.2420.4730.2300.2520.3730.352-1.2790.1140.3170.547
200909200912201003201006201009201012201103201106201109201112
per share eps -0.0200.3300.1500.2000.2200.230-0.8500.3000.3600.390
CPI 215.969215.949217.631217.965218.439219.179223.467225.722226.889225.672
Adj_EPS -0.0220.3690.1660.2220.2430.253-0.9180.3210.3830.417
200703200706200709200712200803200806200809200812200903200906
per share eps 0.2500.1700.1400.010-0.070-0.080-0.110-0.0100.020-0.010
CPI 205.352208.352208.490210.036213.528218.815218.783210.228212.709215.693
Adj_EPS 0.2940.1970.1620.011-0.079-0.088-0.121-0.0110.023-0.011

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.


Explanation

Compared with the regular P/E ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller P/E smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller P/E should give similar results to regular P/E.

Compared with the P/S ratio, the Shiller P/E makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

The Shiller P/E assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company’s business model does not work in the future compared with the past, the Shiller P/E and P/S ratio will give false valuations.


Related Terms

P/E Ratio, P/B Ratio, P/S Ratio, Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow ratio, E10


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

Travelzoo Inc Annual Data

Dec07Dec08Dec09Dec10Dec11Dec12Dec13Dec14Dec15Dec16
ShillerPE 0.000.000.000.0062.5437.2946.4124.4515.4919.74

Travelzoo Inc Quarterly Data

Sep14Dec14Mar15Jun15Sep15Dec15Mar16Jun16Sep16Dec16
ShillerPE 28.7024.4518.7522.1014.9115.4915.2915.3425.5819.74
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