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Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc (NAS:ULTA)
Shiller P/E Ratio
88.73 (As of Today)

As of today, Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc's current share price is $159.71. Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc's E10 for the quarter that ended in Oct. 2015 was $1.80. Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is 88.73.

ULTA' s Shiller P/E Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 81.59   Max: 102.21
Current: 88.77

81.59
102.21

During the past 13 years, Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc's highest Shiller P/E Ratio was 102.21. The lowest was 81.59. And the median was 94.47.

ULTA's Shiller P/E Ratio is ranked lower than
94% of the 235 Companies
in the Global Specialty Retail industry.

( Industry Median: 18.88 vs. ULTA: 88.77 )

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Oct. 2015 was $1.110. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is $1.80 for the trailing ten years ended in Oct. 2015.


Definition

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller P/E Ratio=Share Price/E10
=159.71/1.80
=88.73

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc's E10 for the fiscal year that ended in Jan15 is calculated as:

For example, Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Oct. 2015 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnigns per Share/CPI of Oct. 2015 (Change)*Current CPI (Oct. 2015)
=1.11/237.838*237.838
=1.110

Current CPI (Oct. 2015) = 237.838.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc Quarterly Data

201307201310201401201404201407201410201501201504201507201510
per share eps 0.7000.7001.0950.7700.9400.9101.3501.0401.1501.110
CPI 233.596233.546233.916237.072238.250237.433233.707236.599238.654237.838
Adj_EPS 0.7130.7131.1130.7720.9380.9121.3741.0451.1461.110
201101201104201107201110201201201204201207201210201301201304
per share eps 0.4780.3700.3800.4200.7250.5400.5400.5900.9970.650
CPI 220.223224.906225.922226.421226.665230.085229.104231.317230.280232.531
Adj_EPS 0.5160.3910.4000.4410.7610.5580.5610.6071.0300.665
200807200810200901200904200907200910201001201004201007201010
per share eps 0.0600.0900.2090.0800.1000.1400.3390.2300.2200.230
CPI 219.964216.573211.143213.240215.351216.177216.687218.009218.011218.711
Adj_EPS 0.0650.0990.2350.0890.1100.1540.3720.2510.2400.250
200601200604200607200610200701200704200707200710200801200804
per share eps 0.0160.0600.1300.0500.0570.070-0.1500.0500.0750.070
CPI 198.300201.500203.500201.800202.416206.686208.299208.936211.080214.823
Adj_EPS 0.0190.0710.1520.0590.0670.081-0.1710.0570.0850.077

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.


Explanation

Compared with the regular P/E ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller P/E smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller P/E should give similar results to regular P/E.

Compared with the P/S ratio, the Shiller P/E makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

The Shiller P/E assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company’s business model does not work in the future compared with the past, the Shiller P/E and P/S ratio will give false valuations.


Related Terms

P/E Ratio, P/B Ratio, P/S Ratio, Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow ratio, E10


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc Annual Data

Jan06Jan07Jan08Jan09Jan10Jan11Jan12Jan13Jan14Jan15
ShillerPE 0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0088.83

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc Quarterly Data

Jul13Oct13Jan14Apr14Jul14Oct14Jan15Apr15Jul15Oct15
ShillerPE 0.000.000.000.000.0085.5188.8394.7896.8196.69
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