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Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc (NAS:ULTA)
Shiller P/E Ratio
103.95 (As of Today)

As of today, Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's current share price is $205.82. Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2016 was $1.98. Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is 103.95.

ULTA' s Shiller P/E Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 75.79   Max: 121.26
Current: 104.13

75.79
121.26

During the past 13 years, Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's highest Shiller P/E Ratio was 121.26. The lowest was 75.79. And the median was 95.85.

ULTA's Shiller P/E Ratio is ranked lower than
95% of the 231 Companies
in the Global Specialty Retail industry.

( Industry Median: 21.19 vs. ULTA: 104.13 )

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2016 was $1.690. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is $1.98 for the trailing ten years ended in Jan. 2016.


Definition

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller P/E Ratio=Share Price/E10
=205.82/1.98
=103.95

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's E10 for the fiscal year that ended in Jan16 is calculated as:

For example, Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2016 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnigns per Share/CPI of Jan. 2016 (Change)*Current CPI (Jan. 2016)
=1.69/236.916*236.916
=1.690

Current CPI (Jan. 2016) = 236.916.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc Quarterly Data

201310201401201404201407201410201501201504201507201510201601
per share eps 0.7001.0950.7700.9400.9101.3501.0401.1501.1101.690
CPI 233.546233.916237.072238.250237.433233.707236.599238.654237.838236.916
Adj_EPS 0.7101.1090.7690.9350.9081.3691.0411.1421.1061.690
201104201107201110201201201204201207201210201301201304201307
per share eps 0.3700.3800.4200.7250.5400.5400.5900.9970.6500.700
CPI 224.906225.922226.421226.665230.085229.104231.317230.280232.531233.596
Adj_EPS 0.3900.3980.4390.7580.5560.5580.6041.0260.6620.710
200810200901200904200907200910201001201004201007201010201101
per share eps 0.0900.2090.0800.1000.1400.3390.2300.2200.2300.478
CPI 216.573211.143213.240215.351216.177216.687218.009218.011218.711220.223
Adj_EPS 0.0980.2350.0890.1100.1530.3710.2500.2390.2490.514
200604200607200610200701200704200707200710200801200804200807
per share eps 0.0600.1300.0500.0570.070-0.1500.0500.0750.0700.060
CPI 201.500203.500201.800202.416206.686208.299208.936211.080214.823219.964
Adj_EPS 0.0710.1510.0590.0670.080-0.1710.0570.0840.0770.065

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.


Explanation

Compared with the regular P/E ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller P/E smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller P/E should give similar results to regular P/E.

Compared with the P/S ratio, the Shiller P/E makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

The Shiller P/E assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company’s business model does not work in the future compared with the past, the Shiller P/E and P/S ratio will give false valuations.


Related Terms

P/E Ratio, P/B Ratio, P/S Ratio, Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow ratio, E10


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc Annual Data

Jan07Jan08Jan09Jan10Jan11Jan12Jan13Jan14Jan15Jan16
ShillerPE 0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0089.0691.64

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc Quarterly Data

Oct13Jan14Apr14Jul14Oct14Jan15Apr15Jul15Oct15Jan16
ShillerPE 0.000.000.000.00112.7789.0694.1496.1996.1291.64
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