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Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc (NAS:ULTA)
Shiller P/E Ratio
121.72 (As of Today)

As of today, Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's current share price is $260.48. Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's E10 for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2016 was $2.14. Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is 121.72.

ULTA' s Shiller P/E Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 75.04   Max: 121.74
Current: 121.74

75.04
121.74

During the past 13 years, Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's highest Shiller P/E Ratio was 121.74. The lowest was 75.04. And the median was 95.97.

ULTA's Shiller P/E Ratio is ranked lower than
94% of the 241 Companies
in the Global Specialty Retail industry.

( Industry Median: 19.87 vs. ULTA: 121.74 )

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2016 was $1.450. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is $2.14 for the trailing ten years ended in Apr. 2016.


Definition

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller P/E Ratio=Share Price/E10
=260.48/2.14
=121.72

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's E10 for the fiscal year that ended in Jan16 is calculated as:

For example, Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2016 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnigns per Share/CPI of Apr. 2016 (Change)*Current CPI (Apr. 2016)
=1.45/239.261*239.261
=1.450

Current CPI (Apr. 2016) = 239.261.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc Quarterly Data

201401201404201407201410201501201504201507201510201601201604
per share eps 1.0950.7700.9400.9101.3501.0401.1501.1101.6861.450
CPI 233.916237.072238.250237.433233.707236.599238.654237.838236.916239.261
Adj_EPS 1.1200.7770.9440.9171.3821.0521.1531.1171.7031.450
201107201110201201201204201207201210201301201304201307201310
per share eps 0.3800.4200.7250.5400.5400.5900.9970.6500.7000.700
CPI 225.922226.421226.665230.085229.104231.317230.280232.531233.596233.546
Adj_EPS 0.4020.4440.7650.5620.5640.6101.0360.6690.7170.717
200901200904200907200910201001201004201007201010201101201104
per share eps 0.2090.0800.1000.1400.3390.2300.2200.2300.4780.370
CPI 211.143213.240215.351216.177216.687218.009218.011218.711220.223224.906
Adj_EPS 0.2370.0900.1110.1550.3740.2520.2410.2520.5190.394
200607200610200701200704200707200710200801200804200807200810
per share eps 0.1300.0500.0570.070-0.1500.0500.0750.0700.0600.090
CPI 203.500201.800202.416206.686208.299208.936211.080214.823219.964216.573
Adj_EPS 0.1530.0590.0670.081-0.1720.0570.0850.0780.0650.099

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.


Explanation

Compared with the regular P/E ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller P/E smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller P/E should give similar results to regular P/E.

Compared with the P/S ratio, the Shiller P/E makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

The Shiller P/E assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company’s business model does not work in the future compared with the past, the Shiller P/E and P/S ratio will give false valuations.


Related Terms

P/E Ratio, P/B Ratio, P/S Ratio, Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow ratio, E10


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc Annual Data

Jan07Jan08Jan09Jan10Jan11Jan12Jan13Jan14Jan15Jan16
ShillerPE 0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0088.7190.48

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc Quarterly Data

Jan14Apr14Jul14Oct14Jan15Apr15Jul15Oct15Jan16Apr16
ShillerPE 0.000.000.00112.3488.7194.6896.7295.7190.4897.32
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