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Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc (NAS:ULTA)
Shiller P/E Ratio
108.91 (As of Today)

As of today, Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's current share price is $254.85. Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jul. 2016 was $2.34. Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is 108.91.

ULTA' s Shiller P/E Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 73.2   Max: 117.33
Current: 109.13

73.2
117.33

During the past 13 years, Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's highest Shiller P/E Ratio was 117.33. The lowest was 73.20. And the median was 92.98.

ULTA's Shiller P/E Ratio is ranked lower than
95% of the 238 Companies
in the Global Specialty Retail industry.

( Industry Median: 20.79 vs. ULTA: 109.13 )

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jul. 2016 was $1.430. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is $2.34 for the trailing ten years ended in Jul. 2016.


Definition

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller P/E Ratio=Share Price/E10
=254.85/2.34
=108.91

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's E10 for the fiscal year that ended in Jan16 is calculated as:

For example, Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jul. 2016 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnigns per Share/CPI of Jul. 2016 (Change)*Current CPI (Jul. 2016)
=1.43/240.647*240.647
=1.430

Current CPI (Jul. 2016) = 240.647.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc Quarterly Data

201404201407201410201501201504201507201510201601201604201607
per share eps 0.7700.9400.9101.3501.0401.1501.1101.6801.4501.430
CPI 237.072238.250237.433233.707236.599238.654237.838236.916239.261240.647
Adj_EPS 0.7820.9490.9221.3901.0581.1601.1231.7061.4581.430
201110201201201204201207201210201301201304201307201310201401
per share eps 0.4200.7300.5400.5400.5901.0000.6500.7000.7001.100
CPI 226.421226.665230.085229.104231.317230.280232.531233.596233.546233.916
Adj_EPS 0.4460.7750.5650.5670.6141.0450.6730.7210.7211.132
200904200907200910201001201004201007201010201101201104201107
per share eps 0.0800.1000.1400.3400.2300.2200.2300.4900.3700.380
CPI 213.240215.351216.177216.687218.009218.011218.711220.223224.906225.922
Adj_EPS 0.0900.1120.1560.3780.2540.2430.2530.5350.3960.405
200610200701200704200707200710200801200804200807200810200901
per share eps 0.0500.2100.070-0.0800.0500.4300.0700.0600.0900.210
CPI 201.800202.416206.686208.299208.936211.080214.823219.964216.573211.143
Adj_EPS 0.0600.2500.082-0.0920.0580.4900.0780.0660.1000.239

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.


Explanation

Compared with the regular P/E ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller P/E smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller P/E should give similar results to regular P/E.

Compared with the P/S ratio, the Shiller P/E makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

The Shiller P/E assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company’s business model does not work in the future compared with the past, the Shiller P/E and P/S ratio will give false valuations.


Related Terms

P/E Ratio, P/B Ratio, P/S Ratio, Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow ratio, E10


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc Annual Data

Jan07Jan08Jan09Jan10Jan11Jan12Jan13Jan14Jan15Jan16
ShillerPE 0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0084.6088.40

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc Quarterly Data

Apr14Jul14Oct14Jan15Apr15Jul15Oct15Jan16Apr16Jul16
ShillerPE 0.000.00105.1484.6090.5492.7491.9888.4094.34111.85
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