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Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc (NAS:ULTA)
Shiller P/E Ratio
51.23 (As of Today)

As of today, Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc's current share price is $88.22. Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2014 was $1.72. Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is 51.23.

ULTA' s 10-Year Shiller P/E Ratio Range
Min: 48.58   Max: 121.49
Current: 51.23

48.58
121.49

During the past 12 years, Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc's highest Shiller P/E Ratio was 121.49. The lowest was 48.58. And the median was 87.69.

ULTA's Shiller P/E Ratiois ranked lower than
72% of the 541 Companies
in the Global Specialty Retail industry.

( Industry Median: 20.92 vs. ULTA: 51.23 )

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2014 was $1.107. Since most companies do not have as long as 10 years history, here we use 6 years to calculate. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 6 years together and divide 6 will get our E10, which is $1.72 for the trailing six years ended in Jan. 2014.


Definition

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc's Shiller P/E Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller P/E Ratio=Share Price/E10
=88.22/1.72
=51.29

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc's E10 for the fiscal year that ended in Jan14 is calculated as:

For example, Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2014 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnigns per Share/CPI of Jan. 2014*CPI of Current
=1.095/233.916*236.511
=1.107

Since most companies do not have as long as 10 years history, here we use 6 years to calculate:

Current CPI = 236.511.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc Quarterly Data

201110201201201204201207201210201301201304201307201310201401
per share eps 0.4200.7250.5400.5400.5900.9970.6500.7000.7001.095
CPI 226.421226.665230.085229.104231.317230.280232.531233.596233.546233.916
Adj_EPS 0.4390.7560.5550.5570.6031.0240.6610.7090.7091.107
200904200907200910201001201004201007201010201101201104201107
per share eps 0.0800.1000.1400.3390.2300.2200.2300.4780.3700.380
CPI 213.240215.351216.177216.687218.009218.011218.711220.223224.906225.922
Adj_EPS 0.0890.1100.1530.3700.2500.2390.2490.5130.3890.398
200804200807200810200901
per share eps 0.0700.0600.0900.209
CPI 214.823219.964216.573211.143
Adj_EPS 0.0770.0650.0980.234

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 6 will get our E10.


Explanation

Compared with the regular P/E ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller P/E smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller P/E should give similar results to regular P/E.

Compared with the P/S ratio, the Shiller P/E makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

The Shiller P/E assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company’s business model does not work in the future compared with the past, the Shiller P/E and P/S ratio will give false valuations.


Related Terms

P/E Ratio, P/B Ratio, P/S Ratio, Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow ratio, E10


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc Annual Data

Jan05Jan06Jan07Jan08Jan09Jan10Jan11Jan12Jan13Jan14
ShillerPE 0.000.000.000.000.000.0075.3598.7083.8549.77

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances Inc Quarterly Data

Oct11Jan12Apr12Jul12Oct12Jan13Apr13Jul13Oct13Jan14
ShillerPE 102.9298.70102.8191.9390.2883.8568.8470.5283.7749.77
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