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Alcoa (AA) E10

: $-1.75 (As of Dec. 2023)
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E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Alcoa's adjusted earnings per share data for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2023 was $-3.650. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is $-1.75 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

As of today (2024-04-15), Alcoa's current stock price is $ 36.57. Alcoa's E10 for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2023 was $-1.75. Alcoa's Shiller PE Ratio of today is .


Alcoa E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alcoa's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alcoa Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - -3.37 -1.75

Alcoa Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
E10 Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.37 - - - -1.75

Competitive Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alcoa's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alcoa Shiller PE Ratio Distribution

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alcoa's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alcoa's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Alcoa E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Alcoa's adjusted earnings per share data for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=-3.65/129.4194*129.4194
=-3.650

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

Alcoa Annual Data

per_share_eps CPI Adj_EPS
201412 -1.404 99.070 -1.834
201512 -4.731 99.792 -6.136
201612 -2.190 101.863 -2.782
201712 1.490 104.011 1.854
201812 1.330 105.998 1.624
201912 -6.070 108.420 -7.246
202012 -0.910 109.897 -1.072
202112 2.260 117.630 2.487
202212 -0.680 125.222 -0.703
202312 -3.650 129.419 -3.650

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Alcoa  (NYSE:AA) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Alcoa E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Alcoa's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Alcoa (AA) Business Description

Address
201 Isabella Street, Suite 500, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15212-5858
Alcoa Corp is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and the manufacture of primary aluminum. It is the world's largest bauxite miner and alumina refiner by production volume, and its profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain. The company segments include Bauxite; Alumina and Aluminum. It generates maximum revenue from the Aluminum segment. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.
Executives
Renee Henry officer: SVP & Controller 201 ISABELLA STREET, STE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
Nicol Gagstetter officer: EVP & Chief Ext. Aff. Officer 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
Andrew Hastings officer: EVP & Gen. Counsel 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
De Oliveira Marques Roberto director C/O MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL, INC., THREE PARKWAY NORTH, DEERFIELD IL 60048
Roy Christopher Harvey director, officer: President, CEO & Director 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
Renato Bacchi officer: EVP & Chief Strategy Officer 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
Harden Sonya Elam officer: EVP & Chief Ext. Aff. Officer 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
William F Oplinger officer: Executive VP & CFO 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
Jeffrey D. Heeter officer: EVP, Gen. Counsel & Secretary C/O ALCOA CORPORATION, 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
Tammi A Jones officer: EVP & CHRO 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
Jackson Prince Roberts director 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
John D Slaven officer: EVP & Chief Strategy Officer 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212-5858
Kelly R. Thomas officer: EVP & Chief Commercial Officer 25825 SCIENCE PARK DRIVE, SUITE 400, BEACHWOOD OH 44122
Molly S. Beerman officer: Vice President and Controller 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212
Benjamin D Kahrs officer: EVP, Chief Innovation Officer 201 ISABELLA STREET, SUITE 500, PITTSBURGH PA 15212