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Macy's (Macy's) E10

: $1.96 (As of Jan. 2024)
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E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Macy's's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was $-0.260. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is $1.96 for the trailing ten years ended in Jan. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Macy's's average E10 Growth Rate was -17.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was -0.30% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was -9.80% per year. During the past 10 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 8.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of Macy's was 72.30% per year. The lowest was -51.20% per year. And the median was 12.65% per year.

As of today (2024-04-19), Macy's's current stock price is $18.505. Macy's's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 was $1.96. Macy's's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 9.44.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Macy's was 55.62. The lowest was 1.39. And the median was 16.16.


Macy's E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for Macy's's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Macy's Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
E10
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.46 1.98 2.23 2.38 1.96

Macy's Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
E10 Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.38 2.39 2.31 2.28 1.96

Competitive Comparison

For the Department Stores subindustry, Macy's's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Macy's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Macy's's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Macy's's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Macy's E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Macy's's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Jan. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Jan. 2024)
=-0.26/129.4194*129.4194
=-0.260

Current CPI (Jan. 2024) = 129.4194.

Macy's Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201404 0.600 100.023 0.776
201407 0.800 100.520 1.030
201410 0.610 100.176 0.788
201501 2.210 98.604 2.901
201504 0.560 99.824 0.726
201507 0.640 100.691 0.823
201510 0.360 100.346 0.464
201601 1.730 99.957 2.240
201604 0.370 100.947 0.474
201607 0.030 101.524 0.038
201610 0.050 101.988 0.063
201701 1.540 102.456 1.945
201704 0.260 103.167 0.326
201707 0.360 103.278 0.451
201710 0.100 104.070 0.124
201801 4.310 104.578 5.334
201804 0.450 105.708 0.551
201807 0.530 106.324 0.645
201810 0.200 106.695 0.243
201901 2.380 106.200 2.900
201904 0.440 107.818 0.528
201907 0.280 108.250 0.335
201910 0.010 108.577 0.012
202001 1.090 108.841 1.296
202004 -11.530 108.173 -13.795
202007 -1.390 109.318 -1.646
202010 -0.290 109.861 -0.342
202101 0.500 110.364 0.586
202104 0.320 112.673 0.368
202107 1.080 115.183 1.213
202110 0.760 116.696 0.843
202201 2.440 118.619 2.662
202204 0.980 121.978 1.040
202207 0.990 125.002 1.025
202210 0.390 125.734 0.401
202301 1.830 126.223 1.876
202304 0.560 127.992 0.566
202307 -0.080 128.974 -0.080
202310 0.150 129.810 0.150
202401 -0.260 129.419 -0.260

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Macy's  (NYSE:M) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Macy's's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=18.505/1.96
=9.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Macy's was 55.62. The lowest was 1.39. And the median was 16.16.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Macy's E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Macy's's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Macy's (Macy's) Business Description

Address
151 West 34th Street, New York, NY, USA, 10001
Founded in 1858 and based in New York City, Macy's operates about 550 stores under the Macy's nameplate, nearly 60 stores under the Bloomingdale's (full-price and outlet) and Bloomie's nameplates, and 158 freestanding Bluemercury specialty beauty stores. Macy's also operates e-commerce sites and licenses two Bloomingdale's stores in the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait. Women's apparel, accessories, shoes, cosmetics, and fragrances composed 61% of Macy's 2022 sales.
Executives
Adrian V Mitchell officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Paul Griscom officer: Interim Principal Acctg. Offr. C/O MACY'S, INC., 145 PROGRESS PLACE, SPRINGDALE OH 45246
Danielle L. Kirgan officer: Chief Human Resources Officer C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Garcia C Elisa D officer: Chief Legal Officer 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Jeffrey Gennette officer: Chief Merchandising Officer C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Antony Spring officer: Chairman & CEO, Bloomingdale's C/O MACY'S, INC., 7 WEST SEVENTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Naveen K. Chopra director C/O 2160 GOLD STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95002
Emilie Arel director C/O CASPER SLEEP INC., 175 GREENWICH ST., THREE WORLD TRADE CENTER, FLOOR 39, NEW YORK NY 10007
Jill Granoff director LIZ CLAIBORNE, INC., 1441 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10018
Marie A Chandoha director C/O THE CHARLES SCHWAB CORPORATION, 211 MAIN STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Ashley Buchanan director C/O THE MICHAELS COMPANIES, INC., 8000 BENT BRANCH DRIVE, IRVING TX 75063
Tracey Zhen director C/O MACY'S, INC., 145 PROGRESS PLACE, SPRINGDALE OH 45246
John T. Harper officer: Chief Operations Officer C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Paul C Varga director 850 DIXIE HIGHWAY, LOUISVILLE KY 40210
Felicia Williams officer: EVP,Controller/Enterprise Risk C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001