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McDonald's (McDonald's) E10

: $8.50 (As of Dec. 2023)
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E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

McDonald's's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $2.800. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is $8.50 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, McDonald's's average E10 Growth Rate was 8.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 10.00% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 8.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 7.80% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of McDonald's was 15.70% per year. The lowest was 3.80% per year. And the median was 9.50% per year.

As of today (2024-04-19), McDonald's's current stock price is $271.70. McDonald's's E10 for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $8.50. McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 31.96.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of McDonald's was 37.83. The lowest was 20.93. And the median was 30.44.


McDonald's E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for McDonald's's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

McDonald's Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.20 6.38 7.20 7.81 8.50

McDonald's Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
E10 Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.81 8.03 8.25 8.44 8.50

Competitive Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


McDonald's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



McDonald's E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, McDonald's's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=2.8/129.4194*129.4194
=2.800

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

McDonald's Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201403 1.210 99.695 1.571
201406 1.400 100.560 1.802
201409 1.090 100.428 1.405
201412 1.130 99.070 1.476
201503 0.840 99.621 1.091
201506 1.260 100.684 1.620
201509 1.400 100.392 1.805
201512 1.310 99.792 1.699
201603 1.250 100.470 1.610
201606 1.250 101.688 1.591
201609 1.500 101.861 1.906
201612 1.440 101.863 1.830
201703 1.470 102.862 1.850
201706 1.700 103.349 2.129
201709 2.320 104.136 2.883
201712 0.870 104.011 1.083
201803 1.720 105.290 2.114
201806 1.900 106.317 2.313
201809 2.100 106.507 2.552
201812 1.820 105.998 2.222
201903 1.720 107.251 2.076
201906 1.970 108.070 2.359
201909 2.110 108.329 2.521
201912 2.080 108.420 2.483
202003 1.470 108.902 1.747
202006 0.650 108.767 0.773
202009 2.350 109.815 2.770
202012 1.840 109.897 2.167
202103 2.050 111.754 2.374
202106 2.950 114.631 3.331
202109 2.860 115.734 3.198
202112 2.180 117.630 2.398
202203 1.480 121.301 1.579
202206 1.600 125.017 1.656
202209 2.680 125.227 2.770
202212 2.590 125.222 2.677
202303 2.450 127.348 2.490
202306 3.150 128.729 3.167
202309 3.170 129.860 3.159
202312 2.800 129.419 2.800

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


McDonald's  (NYSE:MCD) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

McDonald's's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=271.70/8.5
=31.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of McDonald's was 37.83. The lowest was 20.93. And the median was 30.44.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


McDonald's E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of McDonald's's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


McDonald's (McDonald's) Business Description

Address
110 North Carpenter Street, Chicago, IL, USA, 60607
McDonald's is the largest restaurant owner-operator in the world, with 2022 system sales of $116 billion across more than 40,000 stores and 115 markets. McDonald's pioneered the franchise model, building its footprint through partnerships with independent restaurant franchisees and master franchise partners around the globe. The firm earns roughly 60% of its revenue from franchise royalty fees and lease payments, with most of the remainder coming from company-operated stores across its three core segments: the United States, internationally operated markets, and international developmental/licensed markets.
Executives
Heidi B Capozzi officer: EVP - Chief People Officer C/O THE BOEING COMPANY, 100 RIVERSIDE PLAZA, CHICAGO IL 60606-1596
Joseph M. Erlinger officer: President, McDonald's USA MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Marion K. Gross officer: EVP-Chief Supply Chain Officer MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Christopher J Kempczinski director, officer: President and CEO THREE LAKES DRIVE, NORTHFIELD IL 60093
Brian S Rice officer: EVP-Global Chief Info. Officer 7000 CARDINAL PLACE, DUBLIN OH 43017
Edith Morgan Flatley officer: EVP - Global CMO MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Ian Frederick Borden officer: EVP & CFO MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Enrique Jr Hernandez director, other: Non-Exec Chairman of the Board INTER-CON SECURITY SYSTEMS, INC., 210 SOUTH DELACEY AVENUE, PASADENA CA 91105
Desiree Ralls-morrison officer: EVP, Chief Legal Off. and Sec. C/O BOSTON SCIENTIFIC CORPORATION, 300 BOSTON SCIENTIFIC WAY, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
Manuel Jm Steijaert officer: EVP - Chief Customer Officer 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Jo Sempels officer: President, IDL MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Catherine A. Hoovel officer: SVP - Corporate Controller MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Catherine M. Engelbert director 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Rogers John W Jr director ARIEL CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC., 200 EAST RANDOLPH DRIVE, SUITE 2900, CHICAGO IL 60601
Jennifer L Taubert director JOHNSON & JOHNSON, ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933