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Allegiant Travel Co LLC (NAS:ALGT)
Piotroski F-Score
7 (As of Today)

Good Sign:

Piotroski F-Score of 7 is 7, indicating very healthy situation.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Allegiant Travel Co LLC has an F-score of 7. It is a good or high score, which usually indicates a very healthy situation.

ALGT' s 10-Year Piotroski F-Score Range
Min: 4   Max: 9
Current: 7

4
9

During the past 13 years, the highest Piotroski F-Score of Allegiant Travel Co LLC was 9. The lowest was 4. And the median was 6.


Definition

How is the Piotroski F-Score calculated?

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

This Year (Sep14) TTM:Last Year (Sep13) TTM:
Net Income was 17.475 + 34.222 + 33.499 + 14.172 = $99 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 46.456 + 107.365 + 39.843 + 47.946 = $242 Mil.
Revenue was 238.471 + 302.524 + 290.541 + 265.029 = $1,097 Mil.
Gross Profit was 112.069 + 150.742 + 144.462 + 126.539 = $534 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of this year (Sep13)
to the end of this year (Sep14) was
(843.869 + 930.191 + 904.242 + 1317.329 + 1269.904) / 5 = $1053.107 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of this year (Sep13) was $844 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $554 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $440 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $326 Mil.
Net Income was 14.766 + 31.932 + 25.76 + 17.106 = $90 Mil.

Revenue was 222.838 + 272.959 + 255.846 + 228.874 = $981 Mil.
Gross Profit was 91.516 + 126.995 + 118.224 + 102.255 = $439 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of last year (Sep12)
to the end of last year (Sep13) was
(821.081 + 798.194 + 859.253 + 862.552 + 843.869) / 5 = $836.9898 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of last year (Sep12) was $821 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $166 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $359 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $228 Mil.

Profitability

Question 1. Return on Assets (ROA)

Net income before extraordinary items for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Allegiant Travel Co LLC's current net income (TTM) was 99. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 2. Cash Flow Return on Assets (CFROA)

Net cash flow from operating activities (operating cash flow) divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Allegiant Travel Co LLC's current cash flow from operations (TTM) was 242. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 3. Change in Return on Assets

Compare this year’s return on assets (1) to last year’s return on assets.

Score 1 if it’s higher, 0 if it’s lower.

ROA (This Year)=Net Income (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Sep13)
=99.368/843.869
=0.11775287

ROA (Last Year)=Net Income (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Sep12)
=89.564/821.081
=0.10908059

Allegiant Travel Co LLC's return on assets of this year was 0.11775287. Allegiant Travel Co LLC's return on assets of last year was 0.10908059. ==> This year is higher. ==> Score 1.

Question 4. Quality of Earnings (Accrual)

Compare Cash flow return on assets (2) to return on assets (1)

Score 1 if CFROA > ROA, 0 if CFROA <= ROA.

Allegiant Travel Co LLC's current net income (TTM) was 99. Allegiant Travel Co LLC's current cash flow from operations (TTM) was 242. ==> 242 > 99 ==> CFROA > ROA ==> Score 1.

Funding

Question 5. Change in Gearing or Leverage

Compare this year’s gearing (long-term debt divided by average total assets) to last year’s gearing.

Score 0 if this year's gearing is higher, 1 otherwise.

Gearing (This Year: Sep14)=Long-Term Debt/Average Total Assets from Sep13 to Sep14
=554.421/1053.107
=0.52646217

Gearing (Last Year: Sep13)=Long-Term Debt/Average Total Assets from Sep12 to Sep13
=166.121/836.9898
=0.19847434

Allegiant Travel Co LLC's gearing of this year was 0.52646217. Allegiant Travel Co LLC's gearing of last year was 0.19847434. ==> Last year is lower than this year ==> Score 0.

Question 6. Change in Working Capital (Liquidity)

Compare this year’s current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) to last year’s current ratio.

Score 1 if this year'’s current ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Current Ratio (This Year: Sep14)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=440.313/325.961
=1.35081497

Current Ratio (Last Year: Sep13)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=358.773/227.925
=1.57408358

Allegiant Travel Co LLC's current ratio of this year was 1.35081497. Allegiant Travel Co LLC's current ratio of last year was 1.57408358. ==> Last year's current ratio is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 7. Change in Shares in Issue

Compare the number of shares in issue this year, to the number in issue last year.

Score 0 if there is larger number of shares in issue this year, 1 otherwise.

Allegiant Travel Co LLC's number of shares in issue this year was 17.7. Allegiant Travel Co LLC's number of shares in issue last year was 18.8. ==> There is smaller number of shares in issue this year, or the same. ==> Score 1.

Efficiency

Question 8. Change in Gross Margin

Compare this year’s gross margin (gross profit divided by sales) to last year’s.

Score 1 if this year’s gross margin is higher, 0 if it’s lower.

Gross Margin (This Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=533.812/1096.565
=0.48680379

Gross Margin (Last Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=438.99/980.517
=0.44771279

Allegiant Travel Co LLC's gross margin of this year was 0.48680379. Allegiant Travel Co LLC's gross margin of last year was 0.44771279. ==> This year's gross margin is higher. ==> Score 1.

Question 9. Change in asset turnover

Compare this year’s asset turnover (total sales for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year) to last year’s asset turnover ratio.

Score 1 if this year’s asset turnover ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Asset Turnover (This Year)=Revenue (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Sep13)
=1096.565/843.869
=1.29944932

Asset Turnover (Last Year)=Revenue (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Sep12)
=980.517/821.081
=1.19417816

Allegiant Travel Co LLC's asset turnover of this year was 1.29944932. Allegiant Travel Co LLC's asset turnover of last year was 1.19417816. ==> This year's asset turnover is higher. ==> Score 1.

Evaluation

Piotroski F-Score= Que. 1+ Que. 2+ Que. 3+Que. 4+Que. 5+Que. 6+Que. 7+Que. 8+Que. 9
=1+1+1+1+0+0+1+1+1
=7

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Allegiant Travel Co LLC has an F-score of 7. It is a good or high score, which usually indicates a very healthy situation.


Explanation

The developer of the system is Joseph D. Piotroski is relatively unknown accounting professor who shuns publicity and rarely gives interviews.

He graduated from the University of Illinois with a B.S. in accounting in 1989, received an M.B.A. from Indiana University in 1994. Five years later, in 1999, after earning a Ph.D. in accounting from the University of Michigan, he became an associate professor of accounting at the University of Chicago.

In 2000, he wrote a research paper called "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers" (pdf).

He wanted to see if he can develop a system (using a simple nine-point scoring system) that can increase the returns of a strategy of investing in low price to book (referred to in the paper as high book to market) value companies.

What he found was something that exceeded his most optimistic expectations.

Buying only those companies that scored highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996 led to an average out-performance over the market of 13.4%.

Even more impressive were the results of a strategy of investing in the highest F-Score companies (8 or 9) and shorting companies with the lowest F-Score (0 or 1).

Over the same period from 1976 to 1996 (20 years) this strategy led to an average yearly return of 23%, substantially outperforming the average S&P 500 index return of 15.83% over the same period.


Related Terms

Net Income, Cash Flow from Operations, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Assets, Long-Term Debt, Total Current Assets, Total Current Liabilities


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Allegiant Travel Co LLC Annual Data

Dec05Dec06Dec07Dec08Dec09Dec10Dec11Dec12Dec13Dec14
Question 1 11111111
Question 2 11111111
Question 3 01010011
Question 4 11111111
Question 5 11111010
Question 6 10010100
Question 7 00111101
Question 8 01010011
Question 9 00111100
F-score 56696666

Allegiant Travel Co LLC Quarterly Data

Sep12Dec12Mar13Jun13Sep13Dec13Mar14Jun14Sep14Dec14
Question 1 111111111
Question 2 111111111
Question 3 111111011
Question 4 111111111
Question 5 111100000
Question 6 101000010
Question 7 000111111
Question 8 111111111
Question 9 001000111
F-score 7687666870
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