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Sothebys (NYSE:BID)
Piotroski F-Score
3 (As of Today)

Warning Sign:

Piotroski F-Score of 3 is low, which usually implies poor business operation.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Sothebys has an F-score of 3. It is a bad or low score, which usually implies poor business operation.

BID' s 10-Year Piotroski F-Score Range
Min: 1   Max: 8
Current: 3

1
8

During the past 13 years, the highest Piotroski F-Score of Sothebys was 8. The lowest was 1. And the median was 4.


Definition

How is the Piotroski F-Score calculated?

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

This Year (Dec14) TTM:Last Year (Dec13) TTM:
Net Income was -6.114 + 77.632 + -27.726 + 74.003 = $117.8 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -268.132 + 204.573 + -186.254 + 294.078 = $44.3 Mil.
Revenue was 156.811 + 335.817 + 94.201 + 351.224 = $938.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was 121.162 + 294.658 + 77.566 + 281.366 = $774.8 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of this year (Dec13)
to the end of this year (Dec14) was
(2893.546 + 2150.738 + 3073.001 + 2462.745 + 3134.82) / 5 = $2742.97 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of this year (Dec13) was $2,893.5 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $745.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,039.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,429.2 Mil.
Net Income was -22.345 + 91.729 + -30.131 + 90.753 = $130.0 Mil.

Revenue was 101.745 + 304.868 + 107.864 + 339.201 = $853.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was 92.596 + 269.61 + 78.168 + 298.403 = $738.8 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of last year (Dec12)
to the end of last year (Dec13) was
(2575.095 + 2270.52 + 2743.35 + 2029.547 + 2893.546) / 5 = $2502.4116 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of last year (Dec12) was $2,575.1 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $515.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,972.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,142.5 Mil.

Profitability

Question 1. Return on Assets (ROA)

Net income before extraordinary items for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Sothebys's current net income (TTM) was 117.8. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 2. Cash Flow Return on Assets (CFROA)

Net cash flow from operating activities (operating cash flow) divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Sothebys's current cash flow from operations (TTM) was 44.3. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 3. Change in Return on Assets

Compare this year’s return on assets (1) to last year’s return on assets.

Score 1 if it’s higher, 0 if it’s lower.

ROA (This Year)=Net Income (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Dec13)
=117.795/2893.546
=0.04070957

ROA (Last Year)=Net Income (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Dec12)
=130.006/2575.095
=0.0504859

Sothebys's return on assets of this year was 0.04070957. Sothebys's return on assets of last year was 0.0504859. ==> Last year is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 4. Quality of Earnings (Accrual)

Compare Cash flow return on assets (2) to return on assets (1)

Score 1 if CFROA > ROA, 0 if CFROA <= ROA.

Sothebys's current net income (TTM) was 117.8. Sothebys's current cash flow from operations (TTM) was 44.3. ==> 44.3 <= 117.8 ==> CFROA <= ROA ==> Score 0.

Funding

Question 5. Change in Gearing or Leverage

Compare this year’s gearing (long-term debt divided by average total assets) to last year’s gearing.

Score 0 if this year's gearing is higher, 1 otherwise.

Gearing (This Year: Dec14)=Long-Term Debt/Average Total Assets from Dec13 to Dec14
=745/2742.97
=0.27160341

Gearing (Last Year: Dec13)=Long-Term Debt/Average Total Assets from Dec12 to Dec13
=515.148/2502.4116
=0.20586062

Sothebys's gearing of this year was 0.27160341. Sothebys's gearing of last year was 0.20586062. ==> Last year is lower than this year ==> Score 0.

Question 6. Change in Working Capital (Liquidity)

Compare this year’s current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) to last year’s current ratio.

Score 1 if this year'’s current ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Current Ratio (This Year: Dec14)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=2039.522/1429.207
=1.42703051

Current Ratio (Last Year: Dec13)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=1972.273/1142.489
=1.72629496

Sothebys's current ratio of this year was 1.42703051. Sothebys's current ratio of last year was 1.72629496. ==> Last year's current ratio is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 7. Change in Shares in Issue

Compare the number of shares in issue this year, to the number in issue last year.

Score 0 if there is larger number of shares in issue this year, 1 otherwise.

Sothebys's number of shares in issue this year was 69.7. Sothebys's number of shares in issue last year was 69.8. ==> There is smaller number of shares in issue this year, or the same. ==> Score 1.

Efficiency

Question 8. Change in Gross Margin

Compare this year’s gross margin (gross profit divided by sales) to last year’s.

Score 1 if this year’s gross margin is higher, 0 if it’s lower.

Gross Margin (This Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=774.752/938.053
=0.82591495

Gross Margin (Last Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=738.777/853.678
=0.86540475

Sothebys's gross margin of this year was 0.82591495. Sothebys's gross margin of last year was 0.86540475. ==> Last year's gross margin is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 9. Change in asset turnover

Compare this year’s asset turnover (total sales for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year) to last year’s asset turnover ratio.

Score 1 if this year’s asset turnover ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Asset Turnover (This Year)=Revenue (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Dec13)
=938.053/2893.546
=0.32418804

Asset Turnover (Last Year)=Revenue (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Dec12)
=853.678/2575.095
=0.33151321

Sothebys's asset turnover of this year was 0.32418804. Sothebys's asset turnover of last year was 0.33151321. ==> Last year's asset turnover is higher ==> Score 0.

Evaluation

Piotroski F-Score= Que. 1+ Que. 2+ Que. 3+Que. 4+Que. 5+Que. 6+Que. 7+Que. 8+Que. 9
=1+1+0+0+0+0+1+0+0
=3

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Sothebys has an F-score of 3. It is a bad or low score, which usually implies poor business operation.


Explanation

The developer of the system is Joseph D. Piotroski is relatively unknown accounting professor who shuns publicity and rarely gives interviews.

He graduated from the University of Illinois with a B.S. in accounting in 1989, received an M.B.A. from Indiana University in 1994. Five years later, in 1999, after earning a Ph.D. in accounting from the University of Michigan, he became an associate professor of accounting at the University of Chicago.

In 2000, he wrote a research paper called "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers" (pdf).

He wanted to see if he can develop a system (using a simple nine-point scoring system) that can increase the returns of a strategy of investing in low price to book (referred to in the paper as high book to market) value companies.

What he found was something that exceeded his most optimistic expectations.

Buying only those companies that scored highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996 led to an average out-performance over the market of 13.4%.

Even more impressive were the results of a strategy of investing in the highest F-Score companies (8 or 9) and shorting companies with the lowest F-Score (0 or 1).

Over the same period from 1976 to 1996 (20 years) this strategy led to an average yearly return of 23%, substantially outperforming the average S&P 500 index return of 15.83% over the same period.


Related Terms

Net Income, Cash Flow from Operations, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Assets, Long-Term Debt, Total Current Assets, Total Current Liabilities


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Sothebys Annual Data

Dec05Dec06Dec07Dec08Dec09Dec10Dec11Dec12Dec13Dec14
Question 1 1111011111
Question 2 1100111011
Question 3 0110010010
Question 4 0100111010
Question 5 0110011010
Question 6 0111101000
Question 7 1001000100
Question 8 0100110000
Question 9 0100010010
F-score 3843475262

Sothebys Quarterly Data

Sep12Dec12Mar13Jun13Sep13Dec13Mar14Jun14Sep14Dec14
Question 1 1111111111
Question 2 0011111111
Question 3 0000011110
Question 4 0011110000
Question 5 0000110000
Question 6 0001101000
Question 7 0000000001
Question 8 0001000000
Question 9 0001010110
F-score 1136564443
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