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Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX)
Piotroski F-Score
2 (As of Today)

Warning Sign:

Piotroski F-Score of 2 is low, which usually implies poor business operation.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Chevron Corp has an F-score of 2. It is a bad or low score, which usually implies poor business operation.

CVX' s Piotroski F-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2   Max: 9
Current: 2

2
9

During the past 13 years, the highest Piotroski F-Score of Chevron Corp was 9. The lowest was 2. And the median was 6.


Definition

How is the Piotroski F-Score calculated?

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

This Year (Sep16) TTM:Last Year (Sep15) TTM:
Net Income was -588 + -725 + -1470 + 1283 = $-1,500 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 4557 + 1141 + 2531 + 5311 = $13,540 Mil.
Revenue was 29247 + 23553 + 29282 + 30140 = $112,222 Mil.
Gross Profit was 8707 + 6924 + 12220 + 9632 = $37,483 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of this year (Sep15)
to the end of this year (Sep16) was
(268449 + 264540 + 263842 + 261478 + 259863) / 5 = $263634.4 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of this year (Sep15) was $268,449 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $39,528 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $28,873 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $24,744 Mil.
Net Income was 3471 + 2567 + 571 + 2037 = $8,646 Mil.

Revenue was 46088 + 34558 + 40357 + 34315 = $155,318 Mil.
Gross Profit was 15253 + 11970 + 17851 + 11276 = $56,350 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of last year (Sep14)
to the end of last year (Sep15) was
(265431 + 266026 + 269604 + 266455 + 268449) / 5 = $267193 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of last year (Sep14) was $265,431 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $29,296 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $39,819 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $30,144 Mil.

Profitability

Question 1. Return on Assets (ROA)

Net income before extraordinary items for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Chevron Corp's current net income (TTM) was -1,500. ==> Negative ==> Score 0.

Question 2. Cash Flow Return on Assets (CFROA)

Net cash flow from operating activities (operating cash flow) divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Chevron Corp's current cash flow from operations (TTM) was 13,540. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 3. Change in Return on Assets

Compare this year’s return on assets (1) to last year’s return on assets.

Score 1 if it’s higher, 0 if it’s lower.

ROA (This Year)=Net Income (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Sep15)
=-1500/268449
=-0.00558765

ROA (Last Year)=Net Income (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Sep14)
=8646/265431
=0.03257344

Chevron Corp's return on assets of this year was -0.00558765. Chevron Corp's return on assets of last year was 0.03257344. ==> Last year is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 4. Quality of Earnings (Accrual)

Compare Cash flow return on assets (2) to return on assets (1)

Score 1 if CFROA > ROA, 0 if CFROA <= ROA.

Chevron Corp's current net income (TTM) was -1,500. Chevron Corp's current cash flow from operations (TTM) was 13,540. ==> 13,540 > -1,500 ==> CFROA > ROA ==> Score 1.

Funding

Question 5. Change in Gearing or Leverage

Compare this year’s gearing (long-term debt divided by average total assets) to last year’s gearing.

Score 0 if this year's gearing is higher, 1 otherwise.

Gearing (This Year: Sep16)=Long-Term Debt/Average Total Assets from Sep15 to Sep16
=39528/263634.4
=0.14993491

Gearing (Last Year: Sep15)=Long-Term Debt/Average Total Assets from Sep14 to Sep15
=29296/267193
=0.10964359

Chevron Corp's gearing of this year was 0.14993491. Chevron Corp's gearing of last year was 0.10964359. ==> Last year is lower than this year ==> Score 0.

Question 6. Change in Working Capital (Liquidity)

Compare this year’s current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) to last year’s current ratio.

Score 1 if this year'’s current ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Current Ratio (This Year: Sep16)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=28873/24744
=1.16686874

Current Ratio (Last Year: Sep15)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=39819/30144
=1.32095939

Chevron Corp's current ratio of this year was 1.16686874. Chevron Corp's current ratio of last year was 1.32095939. ==> Last year's current ratio is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 7. Change in Shares in Issue

Compare the number of shares in issue this year, to the number in issue last year.

Score 0 if there is larger number of shares in issue this year, 1 otherwise.

Chevron Corp's number of shares in issue this year was 1883.3. Chevron Corp's number of shares in issue last year was 1872.4. ==> There is larger number of shares in issue this year. ==> Score 0.

Efficiency

Question 8. Change in Gross Margin

Compare this year’s gross margin (gross profit divided by sales) to last year’s.

Score 1 if this year’s gross margin is higher, 0 if it’s lower.

Gross Margin (This Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=37483/112222
=0.33400759

Gross Margin (Last Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=56350/155318
=0.36280405

Chevron Corp's gross margin of this year was 0.33400759. Chevron Corp's gross margin of last year was 0.36280405. ==> Last year's gross margin is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 9. Change in asset turnover

Compare this year’s asset turnover (total sales for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year) to last year’s asset turnover ratio.

Score 1 if this year’s asset turnover ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Asset Turnover (This Year)=Revenue (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Sep15)
=112222/268449
=0.41803844

Asset Turnover (Last Year)=Revenue (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Sep14)
=155318/265431
=0.58515396

Chevron Corp's asset turnover of this year was 0.41803844. Chevron Corp's asset turnover of last year was 0.58515396. ==> Last year's asset turnover is higher ==> Score 0.

Evaluation

Piotroski F-Score= Que. 1+ Que. 2+ Que. 3+Que. 4+Que. 5+Que. 6+Que. 7+Que. 8+Que. 9
=0+1+0+1+0+0+0+0+0
=2

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Chevron Corp has an F-score of 2. It is a bad or low score, which usually implies poor business operation.


Explanation

The developer of the system is Joseph D. Piotroski is relatively unknown accounting professor who shuns publicity and rarely gives interviews.

He graduated from the University of Illinois with a B.S. in accounting in 1989, received an M.B.A. from Indiana University in 1994. Five years later, in 1999, after earning a Ph.D. in accounting from the University of Michigan, he became an associate professor of accounting at the University of Chicago.

In 2000, he wrote a research paper called "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers" (pdf).

He wanted to see if he can develop a system (using a simple nine-point scoring system) that can increase the returns of a strategy of investing in low price to book (referred to in the paper as high book to market) value companies.

What he found was something that exceeded his most optimistic expectations.

Buying only those companies that scored highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996 led to an average out-performance over the market of 13.4%.

Even more impressive were the results of a strategy of investing in the highest F-Score companies (8 or 9) and shorting companies with the lowest F-Score (0 or 1).

Over the same period from 1976 to 1996 (20 years) this strategy led to an average yearly return of 23%, substantially outperforming the average S&P 500 index return of 15.83% over the same period.


Related Terms

Net Income, Cash Flow from Operations, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Assets, Long-Term Debt, Total Current Assets, Total Current Liabilities


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

Chevron Corp Annual Data

Dec06Dec07Dec08Dec09Dec10Dec11Dec12Dec13Dec14Dec15
Question 1 1111111111
Question 2 1111111111
Question 3 0110110000
Question 4 1111111111
Question 5 1110010000
Question 6 0001101001
Question 7 0111011111
Question 8 1000111011
Question 9 0010110000
F-score 5675786456

Chevron Corp Quarterly Data

Jun14Sep14Dec14Mar15Jun15Sep15Dec15Mar16Jun16Sep16
Question 1 1111111100
Question 2 1111111111
Question 3 0000000000
Question 4 1111111111
Question 5 0000000000
Question 6 0001111000
Question 7 1111111110
Question 8 1110111100
Question 9 0000000000
F-score 5555666532
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