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Dollar Tree Inc (NAS:DLTR)
Piotroski F-Score
5 (As of Today)

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Dollar Tree Inc has an F-score of 5 indicating the company's financial situation is typical for a stable company.

DLTR' s Piotroski F-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3   Max: 9
Current: 5

3
9

During the past 13 years, the highest Piotroski F-Score of Dollar Tree Inc was 9. The lowest was 3. And the median was 6.


Definition

How is the Piotroski F-Score calculated?

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

This Year (Oct15) TTM:Last Year (Oct14) TTM:
Net Income was 206.5 + 69.5 + -98 + 81.9 = $260 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 538.3 + 129.8 + -175.5 + -4.8 = $488 Mil.
Revenue was 2475.6 + 2176.7 + 3011.2 + 4945.2 = $12,609 Mil.
Gross Profit was 918.1 + 748.9 + 855.2 + 1400 = $3,922 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of this year (Oct14)
to the end of this year (Oct15) was
(3367.7 + 3567 + 10869.2 + 16565.1 + 16699) / 5 = $10213.6 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of this year (Oct14) was $3,368 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $8,248 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,628 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,161 Mil.
Net Income was 213.1 + 138.3 + 121.5 + 133 = $606 Mil.

Revenue was 2234.9 + 2000.3 + 2031.1 + 2095.2 = $8,362 Mil.
Gross Profit was 825.2 + 696.6 + 694.1 + 725.3 = $2,941 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of last year (Oct13)
to the end of last year (Oct14) was
(2882.8 + 2771.9 + 2958 + 3146.7 + 3367.7) / 5 = $3025.42 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of last year (Oct13) was $2,883 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $757 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,796 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $867 Mil.

Profitability

Question 1. Return on Assets (ROA)

Net income before extraordinary items for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Dollar Tree Inc's current net income (TTM) was 260. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 2. Cash Flow Return on Assets (CFROA)

Net cash flow from operating activities (operating cash flow) divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Dollar Tree Inc's current cash flow from operations (TTM) was 488. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 3. Change in Return on Assets

Compare this year’s return on assets (1) to last year’s return on assets.

Score 1 if it’s higher, 0 if it’s lower.

ROA (This Year)=Net Income (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Oct14)
=259.9/3367.7
=0.07717433

ROA (Last Year)=Net Income (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Oct13)
=605.9/2882.8
=0.21017761

Dollar Tree Inc's return on assets of this year was 0.07717433. Dollar Tree Inc's return on assets of last year was 0.21017761. ==> Last year is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 4. Quality of Earnings (Accrual)

Compare Cash flow return on assets (2) to return on assets (1)

Score 1 if CFROA > ROA, 0 if CFROA <= ROA.

Dollar Tree Inc's current net income (TTM) was 260. Dollar Tree Inc's current cash flow from operations (TTM) was 488. ==> 488 > 260 ==> CFROA > ROA ==> Score 1.

Funding

Question 5. Change in Gearing or Leverage

Compare this year’s gearing (long-term debt divided by average total assets) to last year’s gearing.

Score 0 if this year's gearing is higher, 1 otherwise.

Gearing (This Year: Oct15)=Long-Term Debt/Average Total Assets from Oct14 to Oct15
=8248/10213.6
=0.80755072

Gearing (Last Year: Oct14)=Long-Term Debt/Average Total Assets from Oct13 to Oct14
=757/3025.42
=0.25021319

Dollar Tree Inc's gearing of this year was 0.80755072. Dollar Tree Inc's gearing of last year was 0.25021319. ==> Last year is lower than this year ==> Score 0.

Question 6. Change in Working Capital (Liquidity)

Compare this year’s current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) to last year’s current ratio.

Score 1 if this year'’s current ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Current Ratio (This Year: Oct15)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=4628/2161.2
=2.14140292

Current Ratio (Last Year: Oct14)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=1796.1/866.5
=2.0728217

Dollar Tree Inc's current ratio of this year was 2.14140292. Dollar Tree Inc's current ratio of last year was 2.0728217. ==> This year's current ratio is higher. ==> Score 1.

Question 7. Change in Shares in Issue

Compare the number of shares in issue this year, to the number in issue last year.

Score 0 if there is larger number of shares in issue this year, 1 otherwise.

Dollar Tree Inc's number of shares in issue this year was 235.7. Dollar Tree Inc's number of shares in issue last year was 206.6. ==> There is larger number of shares in issue this year. ==> Score 0.

Efficiency

Question 8. Change in Gross Margin

Compare this year’s gross margin (gross profit divided by sales) to last year’s.

Score 1 if this year’s gross margin is higher, 0 if it’s lower.

Gross Margin (This Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=3922.2/12608.7
=0.31107093

Gross Margin (Last Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=2941.2/8361.5
=0.35175507

Dollar Tree Inc's gross margin of this year was 0.31107093. Dollar Tree Inc's gross margin of last year was 0.35175507. ==> Last year's gross margin is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 9. Change in asset turnover

Compare this year’s asset turnover (total sales for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year) to last year’s asset turnover ratio.

Score 1 if this year’s asset turnover ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Asset Turnover (This Year)=Revenue (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Oct14)
=12608.7/3367.7
=3.74400926

Asset Turnover (Last Year)=Revenue (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Oct13)
=8361.5/2882.8
=2.9004787

Dollar Tree Inc's asset turnover of this year was 3.74400926. Dollar Tree Inc's asset turnover of last year was 2.9004787. ==> This year's asset turnover is higher. ==> Score 1.

Evaluation

Piotroski F-Score= Que. 1+ Que. 2+ Que. 3+Que. 4+Que. 5+Que. 6+Que. 7+Que. 8+Que. 9
=1+1+0+1+0+1+0+0+1
=5

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Dollar Tree Inc has an F-score of 5 indicating the company's financial situation is typical for a stable company.


Explanation

The developer of the system is Joseph D. Piotroski is relatively unknown accounting professor who shuns publicity and rarely gives interviews.

He graduated from the University of Illinois with a B.S. in accounting in 1989, received an M.B.A. from Indiana University in 1994. Five years later, in 1999, after earning a Ph.D. in accounting from the University of Michigan, he became an associate professor of accounting at the University of Chicago.

In 2000, he wrote a research paper called "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers" (pdf).

He wanted to see if he can develop a system (using a simple nine-point scoring system) that can increase the returns of a strategy of investing in low price to book (referred to in the paper as high book to market) value companies.

What he found was something that exceeded his most optimistic expectations.

Buying only those companies that scored highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996 led to an average out-performance over the market of 13.4%.

Even more impressive were the results of a strategy of investing in the highest F-Score companies (8 or 9) and shorting companies with the lowest F-Score (0 or 1).

Over the same period from 1976 to 1996 (20 years) this strategy led to an average yearly return of 23%, substantially outperforming the average S&P 500 index return of 15.83% over the same period.


Related Terms

Net Income, Cash Flow from Operations, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Assets, Long-Term Debt, Total Current Assets, Total Current Liabilities


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Dollar Tree Inc Annual Data

Jan07Jan08Jan09Jan10Jan11Jan12Jan13Jan14Jan15Jan16
Question 1 1111111111
Question 2 1111111111
Question 3 1111111000
Question 4 1111111111
Question 5 1011111010
Question 6 0011001010
Question 7 1111111110
Question 8 0101011000
Question 9 1110011011
F-score 7788689474

Dollar Tree Inc Quarterly Data

Oct13Jan14Apr14Jul14Oct14Jan15Apr15Jul15Oct15Jan16
Question 1 1111111111
Question 2 1111111111
Question 3 0000000000
Question 4 1111111111
Question 5 0000110000
Question 6 0000111110
Question 7 1111111000
Question 8 1000000000
Question 9 1000011111
F-score 6444676554
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