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Flowers Foods Inc (NYSE:FLO)
Piotroski F-Score
4 (As of Today)

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Flowers Foods Inc has an F-score of 4 indicating the company's financial situation is typical for a stable company.

FLO' s Piotroski F-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3   Max: 8
Current: 4

3
8

During the past 13 years, the highest Piotroski F-Score of Flowers Foods Inc was 8. The lowest was 3. And the median was 6.


Definition

How is the Piotroski F-Score calculated?

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

This Year (Apr16) TTM:Last Year (Jun15) TTM:
Net Income was 43.796 + 32.246 + 0 + 0 = $76 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 64.608 + 43.691 + 0 + 0 = $108 Mil.
Revenue was 885.302 + 858.363 + 0 + 0 = $1,744 Mil.
Gross Profit was 421.257 + 402.424 + 0 + 0 = $824 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of this year (Jun15)
to the end of this year (Apr16) was
(2427.627 + 2752.243 + 2885.168 + 2815.672 + 2815.672) / 5 = $2739.2764 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of this year (Jun15) was $2,428 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $954 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $495 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $441 Mil.
Net Income was 44.599 + 28.01 + 61.389 + 51.76 = $186 Mil.

Revenue was 844.932 + 877.333 + 1146.045 + 888.795 = $3,757 Mil.
Gross Profit was 401.954 + 423.574 + 560.129 + 431.542 = $1,817 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of last year (Jun14)
to the end of last year (Jun15) was
(2484.087 + 2477.204 + 2408.974 + 2422.852 + 2427.627) / 5 = $2444.1488 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of last year (Jun14) was $2,484 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $659 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $516 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $344 Mil.

Profitability

Question 1. Return on Assets (ROA)

Net income before extraordinary items for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Flowers Foods Inc's current net income (TTM) was 76. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 2. Cash Flow Return on Assets (CFROA)

Net cash flow from operating activities (operating cash flow) divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Flowers Foods Inc's current cash flow from operations (TTM) was 108. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 3. Change in Return on Assets

Compare this year’s return on assets (1) to last year’s return on assets.

Score 1 if it’s higher, 0 if it’s lower.

ROA (This Year)=Net Income (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Jun15)
=76.042/2427.627
=0.03132359

ROA (Last Year)=Net Income (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Jun14)
=185.758/2484.087
=0.07477918

Flowers Foods Inc's return on assets of this year was 0.03132359. Flowers Foods Inc's return on assets of last year was 0.07477918. ==> Last year is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 4. Quality of Earnings (Accrual)

Compare Cash flow return on assets (2) to return on assets (1)

Score 1 if CFROA > ROA, 0 if CFROA <= ROA.

Flowers Foods Inc's current net income (TTM) was 76. Flowers Foods Inc's current cash flow from operations (TTM) was 108. ==> 108 > 76 ==> CFROA > ROA ==> Score 1.

Funding

Question 5. Change in Gearing or Leverage

Compare this year’s gearing (long-term debt divided by average total assets) to last year’s gearing.

Score 0 if this year's gearing is higher, 1 otherwise.

Gearing (This Year: Apr16)=Long-Term Debt/Average Total Assets from Jun15 to Apr16
=953.821/2739.2764
=0.34820181

Gearing (Last Year: Jun15)=Long-Term Debt/Average Total Assets from Jun14 to Jun15
=659.094/2444.1488
=0.26966198

Flowers Foods Inc's gearing of this year was 0.34820181. Flowers Foods Inc's gearing of last year was 0.26966198. ==> Last year is lower than this year ==> Score 0.

Question 6. Change in Working Capital (Liquidity)

Compare this year’s current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) to last year’s current ratio.

Score 1 if this year'’s current ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Current Ratio (This Year: Apr16)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=495.129/440.538
=1.12391894

Current Ratio (Last Year: Jun15)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=516.332/344.304
=1.49963985

Flowers Foods Inc's current ratio of this year was 1.12391894. Flowers Foods Inc's current ratio of last year was 1.49963985. ==> Last year's current ratio is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 7. Change in Shares in Issue

Compare the number of shares in issue this year, to the number in issue last year.

Score 0 if there is larger number of shares in issue this year, 1 otherwise.

Flowers Foods Inc's number of shares in issue this year was 0. Flowers Foods Inc's number of shares in issue last year was 212.9. ==> There is smaller number of shares in issue this year, or the same. ==> Score 1.

Efficiency

Question 8. Change in Gross Margin

Compare this year’s gross margin (gross profit divided by sales) to last year’s.

Score 1 if this year’s gross margin is higher, 0 if it’s lower.

Gross Margin (This Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=823.681/1743.665
=0.47238489

Gross Margin (Last Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=1817.199/3757.105
=0.48367001

Flowers Foods Inc's gross margin of this year was 0.47238489. Flowers Foods Inc's gross margin of last year was 0.48367001. ==> Last year's gross margin is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 9. Change in asset turnover

Compare this year’s asset turnover (total sales for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year) to last year’s asset turnover ratio.

Score 1 if this year’s asset turnover ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Asset Turnover (This Year)=Revenue (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Jun15)
=1743.665/2427.627
=0.71825902

Asset Turnover (Last Year)=Revenue (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Jun14)
=3757.105/2484.087
=1.51246917

Flowers Foods Inc's asset turnover of this year was 0.71825902. Flowers Foods Inc's asset turnover of last year was 1.51246917. ==> Last year's asset turnover is higher ==> Score 0.

Evaluation

Piotroski F-Score= Que. 1+ Que. 2+ Que. 3+Que. 4+Que. 5+Que. 6+Que. 7+Que. 8+Que. 9
=1+1+0+1+0+0+1+0+0
=4

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Flowers Foods Inc has an F-score of 4 indicating the company's financial situation is typical for a stable company.


Explanation

The developer of the system is Joseph D. Piotroski is relatively unknown accounting professor who shuns publicity and rarely gives interviews.

He graduated from the University of Illinois with a B.S. in accounting in 1989, received an M.B.A. from Indiana University in 1994. Five years later, in 1999, after earning a Ph.D. in accounting from the University of Michigan, he became an associate professor of accounting at the University of Chicago.

In 2000, he wrote a research paper called "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers" (pdf).

He wanted to see if he can develop a system (using a simple nine-point scoring system) that can increase the returns of a strategy of investing in low price to book (referred to in the paper as high book to market) value companies.

What he found was something that exceeded his most optimistic expectations.

Buying only those companies that scored highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996 led to an average out-performance over the market of 13.4%.

Even more impressive were the results of a strategy of investing in the highest F-Score companies (8 or 9) and shorting companies with the lowest F-Score (0 or 1).

Over the same period from 1976 to 1996 (20 years) this strategy led to an average yearly return of 23%, substantially outperforming the average S&P 500 index return of 15.83% over the same period.


Related Terms

Net Income, Cash Flow from Operations, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Assets, Long-Term Debt, Total Current Assets, Total Current Liabilities


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Flowers Foods Inc Annual Data

Dec06Dec07Dec08Dec09Dec10Dec11Dec12Dec13Dec14Dec15
Question 1 1111111111
Question 2 1111111111
Question 3 1110100101
Question 4 1101111111
Question 5 0101100010
Question 6 0011010100
Question 7 1101110000
Question 8 0000100111
Question 9 1110010001
F-score 6756763656

Flowers Foods Inc Quarterly Data

Mar14Jun14Sep14Dec14Mar15Jun15Sep15Dec15Mar16Apr16
Question 1 1111111111
Question 2 1111111111
Question 3 0000001100
Question 4 1111111111
Question 5 0011110000
Question 6 0000010000
Question 7 0000110011
Question 8 1011111100
Question 9 0000001100
F-score 4355676644
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