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HollyFrontier Corp (NYSE:HFC)
Piotroski F-Score
4 (As of Today)

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Good or high score = 8 or 9
Bad or low score = 0 or 1

HollyFrontier Corp has an F-score of 4 indicating the company's financial situation is typical for a stable company.

HFC' s 10-Year Piotroski F-Score Range
Min: 2   Max: 9
Current: 4

2
9

During the past 13 years, the highest Piotroski F-Score of HollyFrontier Corp was 9. The lowest was 2. And the median was 6.


Definition

How is the Piotroski F-Score calculated?

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

This Year (Jun14) TTM:Last Year (Jun13) TTM:
Net Income was 176.429 + 152.061 + 62.902 + 82.29 = $474 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 326.55 + 394.929 + 67.011 + 350.648 = $1,139 Mil.
Revenue was 5372.6 + 4791.053 + 4826.801 + 5327.122 = $20,318 Mil.
Gross Profit was 426.1 + 378.467 + 202.016 + 260.814 = $1,267 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of this year (Jun13) was $10,494 Mil.
Total Assets was $10,458 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $1,028 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,236 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,968 Mil.
Net Income was 256.981 + 333.669 + 391.604 + 600.373 = $1,583 Mil.

Revenue was 5298.848 + 4707.789 + 5147.507 + 5204.798 = $20,359 Mil.
Gross Profit was 564.498 + 650.155 + 777.527 + 1072.203 = $3,064 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of last year (Jun12) was $9,383 Mil.
Total Assets was $10,494 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $990 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,448 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,880 Mil.

Profitability

Q1. Return on Assets (ROA)

Net income before extraordinary items for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

HollyFrontier Corp's current net income was 474. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Q2. Cash Flow Return on Assets (CFROA)

Net cash flow from operating activities (operating cash flow) divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

HollyFrontier Corp's current cash flow from operations was 1,139. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Q3. Change in Return on Assets

Compare this year’s return on assets (1) to last year’s return on assets.

Score 1 if it’s higher, 0 if it’s lower.

ROA (This Year)=Net Income/Total Assets at the beginning of this year (Jun13)
=473.682/10493.934
=0.04513865

ROA (Last Year)=Net Income/Total Assets at the beginning of last year (Jun12)
=1582.627/9382.532
=0.16867803

HollyFrontier Corp's return on assets of this year was 0.04513865. HollyFrontier Corp's return on assets of last year was 0.16867803. ==> Last year is higher ==> Score 0.

Q4. Quality of Earnings (Accrual)

Compare Cash flow return on assets (2) to return on assets (1)

Score 1 if CFROA > ROA, 0 if CFROA =< ROA.

HollyFrontier Corp's current net income was 474. HollyFrontier Corp's current cash flow from operations was 1,139. ==> 1,139 > 474 ==> CFROA > ROA ==> Score 1.

Funding

Q5. Change in Gearing or Leverage

Compare this year’s gearing (long-term debt divided by average total assets) to last year’s gearing.

Score 0 if this year's gearing is higher, 1 otherwise.

Gearing (This Year)=Long-Term Debt/Total Assets
=1027.885/10458.383
=0.09828336

Gearing (Last Year)=Long-Term Debt/Total Assets
=990.236/10493.934
=0.09436271

HollyFrontier Corp's gearing of this year was 0.09828336. HollyFrontier Corp's gearing of last year was 0.09436271. ==> Last year is lower than this year ==> Score 0.

Q6. Change in Working Capital (Liquidity)

Compare this year’s current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) to last year’s current ratio.

Score 1 if this year'’s current ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Current Ratio (This Year)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=4236.131/1967.695
=2.15283924

Current Ratio (Last Year)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=4448.152/1879.691
=2.36642725

HollyFrontier Corp's current ratio of this year was 2.15283924. HollyFrontier Corp's current ratio of last year was 2.36642725. ==> Last year's current ratio is higher ==> Score 0.

Q7. Change in Shares in Issue

Compare the number of shares in issue this year, to the number in issue last year.

Score 0 if there is larger number of shares in issue this year, 1 otherwise.

HollyFrontier Corp's number of shares in issue this year was 198.4. HollyFrontier Corp's number of shares in issue last year was 201.9. ==> There is smaller number of shares in issue this year, or the same. ==> Score 1.

Efficiency

Q8. Change in Gross Margin

Compare this year’s gross margin (gross profit divided by sales) to last year’s.

Score 1 if this year’s gross margin is higher, 0 if it’s lower.

Gross Margin (This Year)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=1267.397/20317.576
=0.06237934

Gross Margin (Last Year)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=3064.383/20358.942
=0.15051779

HollyFrontier Corp's gross margin of this year was 0.06237934. HollyFrontier Corp's gross margin of last year was 0.15051779. ==> Last year's gross margin is higher ==> Score 0.

Q9. Change in asset turnover

Compare this year’s asset turnover (total sales divided by total assets at the beginning of the year) to last year’s asset turnover ratio.

Score 1 if this year’s asset turnover ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Asset Turnover (This Year)=Revenue/Total Assets at the beginning of this year (Jun13)
=20317.576/10493.934
=1.93612577

Asset Turnover (Last Year)=Revenue/Total Assets at the beginning of last year (Jun12)
=20358.942/9382.532
=2.16987717

HollyFrontier Corp's asset turnover of this year was 1.93612577. HollyFrontier Corp's asset turnover of last year was 2.16987717. ==> Last year's asset turnover is higher ==> Score 0.

Evaluation

Piotroski F-Score=Q1+Q2+Q3+Q4+Q5+Q6+Q7+Q8+Q9
=1+1+0+1+0+0+1+0+0
=4

Good or high score = 8 or 9

Bad or low score = 0 or 1

HollyFrontier Corp has an F-score of 4 indicating the company's financial situation is typical for a stable company.


Explanation

The developer of the system is Joseph D. Piotroski is relatively unknown accounting professor who shuns publicity and rarely gives interviews.

He graduated from the University of Illinois with a B.S. in accounting in 1989, received an M.B.A. from Indiana University in 1994. Five years later, in 1999, after earning a Ph.D. in accounting from the University of Michigan, he became an associate professor of accounting at the University of Chicago.

In 2000, he wrote a research paper called "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers" (pdf).

He wanted to see if he can develop a system (using a simple nine-point scoring system) that can increase the returns of a strategy of investing in low price to book (referred to in the paper as high book to market) value companies.

What he found was something that exceeded his most optimistic expectations.

Buying only those companies that scored highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996 led to an average out-performance over the market of 13.4%.

Even more impressive were the results of a strategy of investing in the highest F-Score companies (8 or 9) and shorting companies with the lowest F-Score (0 or 1).

Over the same period from 1976 to 1996 (20 years) this strategy led to an average yearly return of 23%, substantially outperforming the average S&P 500 index return of 15.83% over the same period.


Related Terms

Net Income, Cash Flow from Operations, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Assets, Long-Term Debt, Total Current Assets, Total Current Liabilities


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

HollyFrontier Corp Annual Data

Dec04Dec05Dec06Dec07Dec08Dec09Dec10Dec11Dec12Dec13
Q1 1111111111
Q2 1111111111
Q3 1111001100
Q4 1101111101
Q5 0111001101
Q6 1010010110
Q7 0111100001
Q8 1001010110
Q9 1111001100
F-score 7778456845

HollyFrontier Corp Quarterly Data

Mar12Jun12Sep12Dec12Mar13Jun13Sep13Dec13Mar14Jun14
Q1 1111111111
Q2 1111111111
Q3 1100000000
Q4 1000011111
Q5 1100111110
Q6 1111101000
Q7 0011111111
Q8 1111110000
Q9 1100000000
F-score 8755666554
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