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Old Republic International Corporation (NYSE:ORI)
Piotroski F-Score
1 (As of Today)

Warning Sign:

Piotroski F-Score of 1 is low, which usually implies poor business operation.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Old Republic International Corporation has an F-score of 1. It is a bad or low score, which usually implies poor business operation.

ORI' s 10-Year Piotroski F-Score Range
Min: 1   Max: 7
Current: 1

1
7

During the past 13 years, the highest Piotroski F-Score of Old Republic International Corporation was 7. The lowest was 1. And the median was 5.


Definition

How is the Piotroski F-Score calculated?

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

This Year (Mar15) TTM:Last Year (Mar14) TTM:
Net Income was 66.1 + 86 + 63.2 + 103.4 = $319 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 36.9 + -542.3 + 188.8 + 190.8 = $-126 Mil.
Revenue was 1333.9 + 1390.8 + 1375.3 + 1330 = $5,430 Mil.
Gross Profit was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of this year (Mar14)
to the end of this year (Mar15) was
(16811 + 17183.9 + 16986 + 16988.1 + 17201.3) / 5 = $17034.06 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of this year (Mar14) was $16,811 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $962 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $0 Mil.
Net Income was 193.9 + 102.9 + 94.5 + 194.4 = $586 Mil.

Revenue was 1461.5 + 1379.2 + 1331.8 + 1430.4 = $5,603 Mil.
Gross Profit was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of last year (Mar13)
to the end of last year (Mar14) was
(16410.7 + 16299.3 + 16526.4 + 16534.4 + 16811) / 5 = $16516.36 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of last year (Mar13) was $16,411 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $566 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $0 Mil.

Profitability

Question 1. Return on Assets (ROA)

Net income before extraordinary items for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Old Republic International Corporation's current net income (TTM) was 319. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 2. Cash Flow Return on Assets (CFROA)

Net cash flow from operating activities (operating cash flow) divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Old Republic International Corporation's current cash flow from operations (TTM) was -126. ==> Negative ==> Score 0.

Question 3. Change in Return on Assets

Compare this year’s return on assets (1) to last year’s return on assets.

Score 1 if it’s higher, 0 if it’s lower.

ROA (This Year)=Net Income (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Mar14)
=318.7/16811
=0.01895783

ROA (Last Year)=Net Income (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Mar13)
=585.7/16410.7
=0.03569013

Old Republic International Corporation's return on assets of this year was 0.01895783. Old Republic International Corporation's return on assets of last year was 0.03569013. ==> Last year is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 4. Quality of Earnings (Accrual)

Compare Cash flow return on assets (2) to return on assets (1)

Score 1 if CFROA > ROA, 0 if CFROA <= ROA.

Old Republic International Corporation's current net income (TTM) was 319. Old Republic International Corporation's current cash flow from operations (TTM) was -126. ==> -126 <= 319 ==> CFROA <= ROA ==> Score 0.

Funding

Question 5. Change in Gearing or Leverage

Compare this year’s gearing (long-term debt divided by average total assets) to last year’s gearing.

Score 0 if this year's gearing is higher, 1 otherwise.

Gearing (This Year: Mar15)=Long-Term Debt/Average Total Assets from Mar14 to Mar15
=961.7/17034.06
=0.05645747

Gearing (Last Year: Mar14)=Long-Term Debt/Average Total Assets from Mar13 to Mar14
=566.2/16516.36
=0.03428116

Old Republic International Corporation's gearing of this year was 0.05645747. Old Republic International Corporation's gearing of last year was 0.03428116. ==> Last year is lower than this year ==> Score 0.

Question 6. Change in Working Capital (Liquidity)

Compare this year’s current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) to last year’s current ratio.

Score 1 if this year'’s current ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Current Ratio (This Year: Mar15)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=0/0
=

Current Ratio (Last Year: Mar14)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=0/0
=

Old Republic International Corporation's current ratio of this year was . Old Republic International Corporation's current ratio of last year was . ==> Last year's current ratio is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 7. Change in Shares in Issue

Compare the number of shares in issue this year, to the number in issue last year.

Score 0 if there is larger number of shares in issue this year, 1 otherwise.

Old Republic International Corporation's number of shares in issue this year was 295.5. Old Republic International Corporation's number of shares in issue last year was 294.5. ==> There is larger number of shares in issue this year. ==> Score 0.

Efficiency

Question 8. Change in Gross Margin

Compare this year’s gross margin (gross profit divided by sales) to last year’s.

Score 1 if this year’s gross margin is higher, 0 if it’s lower.

Gross Margin (This Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=0/5430
=0

Gross Margin (Last Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=0/5602.9
=0

Old Republic International Corporation's gross margin of this year was 0. Old Republic International Corporation's gross margin of last year was 0. ==> Last year's gross margin is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 9. Change in asset turnover

Compare this year’s asset turnover (total sales for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year) to last year’s asset turnover ratio.

Score 1 if this year’s asset turnover ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Asset Turnover (This Year)=Revenue (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Mar14)
=5430/16811
=0.3230028

Asset Turnover (Last Year)=Revenue (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Mar13)
=5602.9/16410.7
=0.34141749

Old Republic International Corporation's asset turnover of this year was 0.3230028. Old Republic International Corporation's asset turnover of last year was 0.34141749. ==> Last year's asset turnover is higher ==> Score 0.

Evaluation

Piotroski F-Score= Que. 1+ Que. 2+ Que. 3+Que. 4+Que. 5+Que. 6+Que. 7+Que. 8+Que. 9
=1+0+0+0+0+0+0+0+0
=1

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Old Republic International Corporation has an F-score of 1. It is a bad or low score, which usually implies poor business operation.


Explanation

The developer of the system is Joseph D. Piotroski is relatively unknown accounting professor who shuns publicity and rarely gives interviews.

He graduated from the University of Illinois with a B.S. in accounting in 1989, received an M.B.A. from Indiana University in 1994. Five years later, in 1999, after earning a Ph.D. in accounting from the University of Michigan, he became an associate professor of accounting at the University of Chicago.

In 2000, he wrote a research paper called "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers" (pdf).

He wanted to see if he can develop a system (using a simple nine-point scoring system) that can increase the returns of a strategy of investing in low price to book (referred to in the paper as high book to market) value companies.

What he found was something that exceeded his most optimistic expectations.

Buying only those companies that scored highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996 led to an average out-performance over the market of 13.4%.

Even more impressive were the results of a strategy of investing in the highest F-Score companies (8 or 9) and shorting companies with the lowest F-Score (0 or 1).

Over the same period from 1976 to 1996 (20 years) this strategy led to an average yearly return of 23%, substantially outperforming the average S&P 500 index return of 15.83% over the same period.


Related Terms

Net Income, Cash Flow from Operations, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Assets, Long-Term Debt, Total Current Assets, Total Current Liabilities


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Old Republic International Corporation Annual Data

Dec05Dec06Dec07Dec08Dec09Dec10Dec11Dec12Dec13Dec14
Question 1 1110010011
Question 2 1111100110
Question 3 1000110110
Question 4 1111101110
Question 5 1110000110
Question 6 0000000000
Question 7 0011000000
Question 8 0000000000
Question 9 1000111110
F-score 6453432561

Old Republic International Corporation Quarterly Data

Dec12Mar13Jun13Sep13Dec13Mar14Jun14Sep14Dec14Mar15
Question 1 0011111111
Question 2 1111111000
Question 3 1111111100
Question 4 1111111000
Question 5 1111111000
Question 6 0000000000
Question 7 0000000010
Question 8 0000000000
Question 9 1111111000
F-score 5566666221
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