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Douglas Dynamics Inc (NYSE:PLOW)
Piotroski F-Score
7 (As of Today)

Good Sign:

Piotroski F-Score of 7 is 7, indicating very healthy situation.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Douglas Dynamics Inc has an F-score of 7. It is a good or high score, which usually indicates a very healthy situation.

PLOW' s 10-Year Piotroski F-Score Range
Min: 5   Max: 7
Current: 7

5
7

During the past 8 years, the highest Piotroski F-Score of Douglas Dynamics Inc was 7. The lowest was 5. And the median was 7.


Definition

How is the Piotroski F-Score calculated?

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

This Year (Dec14) TTM:Last Year (Dec13) TTM:
Net Income was 1.575 + 14.593 + 10.762 + 13.031 = $40.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 10.224 + 2.033 + -30.39 + 71.88 = $53.7 Mil.
Revenue was 36.396 + 88.225 + 78.836 + 100.054 = $303.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was 14.125 + 34.415 + 29.09 + 38.696 = $116.3 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of this year (Dec13)
to the end of this year (Dec14) was
(364.339 + 345.23 + 365.247 + 404.389 + 480.443) / 5 = $391.9296 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of this year (Dec13) was $364.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $186.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $142.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $45.7 Mil.
Net Income was -3.404 + 5.909 + 0.603 + 8.531 = $11.6 Mil.

Revenue was 14.141 + 55.156 + 52.026 + 72.997 = $194.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4.326 + 18.878 + 15.044 + 27.402 = $65.7 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of last year (Dec12)
to the end of last year (Dec13) was
(338.371 + 328.13 + 362.908 + 388.325 + 364.339) / 5 = $356.4146 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of last year (Dec12) was $338.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $110.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $98.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $36.1 Mil.

Profitability

Question 1. Return on Assets (ROA)

Net income before extraordinary items for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Douglas Dynamics Inc's current net income (TTM) was 40.0. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 2. Cash Flow Return on Assets (CFROA)

Net cash flow from operating activities (operating cash flow) divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Douglas Dynamics Inc's current cash flow from operations (TTM) was 53.7. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 3. Change in Return on Assets

Compare this year’s return on assets (1) to last year’s return on assets.

Score 1 if it’s higher, 0 if it’s lower.

ROA (This Year)=Net Income (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Dec13)
=39.961/364.339
=0.10968082

ROA (Last Year)=Net Income (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Dec12)
=11.639/338.371
=0.03439716

Douglas Dynamics Inc's return on assets of this year was 0.10968082. Douglas Dynamics Inc's return on assets of last year was 0.03439716. ==> This year is higher. ==> Score 1.

Question 4. Quality of Earnings (Accrual)

Compare Cash flow return on assets (2) to return on assets (1)

Score 1 if CFROA > ROA, 0 if CFROA <= ROA.

Douglas Dynamics Inc's current net income (TTM) was 40.0. Douglas Dynamics Inc's current cash flow from operations (TTM) was 53.7. ==> 53.7 > 40.0 ==> CFROA > ROA ==> Score 1.

Funding

Question 5. Change in Gearing or Leverage

Compare this year’s gearing (long-term debt divided by average total assets) to last year’s gearing.

Score 0 if this year's gearing is higher, 1 otherwise.

Gearing (This Year: Dec14)=Long-Term Debt/Average Total Assets from Dec13 to Dec14
=186.471/391.9296
=0.47577677

Gearing (Last Year: Dec13)=Long-Term Debt/Average Total Assets from Dec12 to Dec13
=110.023/356.4146
=0.30869386

Douglas Dynamics Inc's gearing of this year was 0.47577677. Douglas Dynamics Inc's gearing of last year was 0.30869386. ==> Last year is lower than this year ==> Score 0.

Question 6. Change in Working Capital (Liquidity)

Compare this year’s current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) to last year’s current ratio.

Score 1 if this year'’s current ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Current Ratio (This Year: Dec14)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=142.521/45.694
=3.11903094

Current Ratio (Last Year: Dec13)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=98.372/36.098
=2.72513713

Douglas Dynamics Inc's current ratio of this year was 3.11903094. Douglas Dynamics Inc's current ratio of last year was 2.72513713. ==> This year's current ratio is higher. ==> Score 1.

Question 7. Change in Shares in Issue

Compare the number of shares in issue this year, to the number in issue last year.

Score 0 if there is larger number of shares in issue this year, 1 otherwise.

Douglas Dynamics Inc's number of shares in issue this year was 22.2. Douglas Dynamics Inc's number of shares in issue last year was 22.1. ==> There is larger number of shares in issue this year. ==> Score 0.

Efficiency

Question 8. Change in Gross Margin

Compare this year’s gross margin (gross profit divided by sales) to last year’s.

Score 1 if this year’s gross margin is higher, 0 if it’s lower.

Gross Margin (This Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=116.326/303.511
=0.38326782

Gross Margin (Last Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=65.65/194.32
=0.33784479

Douglas Dynamics Inc's gross margin of this year was 0.38326782. Douglas Dynamics Inc's gross margin of last year was 0.33784479. ==> This year's gross margin is higher. ==> Score 1.

Question 9. Change in asset turnover

Compare this year’s asset turnover (total sales for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year) to last year’s asset turnover ratio.

Score 1 if this year’s asset turnover ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Asset Turnover (This Year)=Revenue (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Dec13)
=303.511/364.339
=0.8330456

Asset Turnover (Last Year)=Revenue (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Dec12)
=194.32/338.371
=0.57428089

Douglas Dynamics Inc's asset turnover of this year was 0.8330456. Douglas Dynamics Inc's asset turnover of last year was 0.57428089. ==> This year's asset turnover is higher. ==> Score 1.

Evaluation

Piotroski F-Score= Que. 1+ Que. 2+ Que. 3+Que. 4+Que. 5+Que. 6+Que. 7+Que. 8+Que. 9
=1+1+1+1+0+1+0+1+1
=7

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Douglas Dynamics Inc has an F-score of 7. It is a good or high score, which usually indicates a very healthy situation.


Explanation

The developer of the system is Joseph D. Piotroski is relatively unknown accounting professor who shuns publicity and rarely gives interviews.

He graduated from the University of Illinois with a B.S. in accounting in 1989, received an M.B.A. from Indiana University in 1994. Five years later, in 1999, after earning a Ph.D. in accounting from the University of Michigan, he became an associate professor of accounting at the University of Chicago.

In 2000, he wrote a research paper called "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers" (pdf).

He wanted to see if he can develop a system (using a simple nine-point scoring system) that can increase the returns of a strategy of investing in low price to book (referred to in the paper as high book to market) value companies.

What he found was something that exceeded his most optimistic expectations.

Buying only those companies that scored highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996 led to an average out-performance over the market of 13.4%.

Even more impressive were the results of a strategy of investing in the highest F-Score companies (8 or 9) and shorting companies with the lowest F-Score (0 or 1).

Over the same period from 1976 to 1996 (20 years) this strategy led to an average yearly return of 23%, substantially outperforming the average S&P 500 index return of 15.83% over the same period.


Related Terms

Net Income, Cash Flow from Operations, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Assets, Long-Term Debt, Total Current Assets, Total Current Liabilities


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Douglas Dynamics Inc Annual Data

Dec07Dec08Dec09Dec10Dec11Dec12Dec13Dec14
Question 1 1111
Question 2 1111
Question 3 1011
Question 4 1111
Question 5 1010
Question 6 0101
Question 7 0000
Question 8 1011
Question 9 1011
F-score 7477

Douglas Dynamics Inc Quarterly Data

Sep12Dec12Mar13Jun13Sep13Dec13Mar14Jun14Sep14Dec14
Question 1 1111111111
Question 2 1111111111
Question 3 0000011111
Question 4 1111111111
Question 5 1000111110
Question 6 1110000111
Question 7 0100000000
Question 8 0000011111
Question 9 0000011111
F-score 5543477887
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