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GuruFocus has detected 7 Warning Signs with Seagate Technology PLC $STX.
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Seagate Technology PLC (NAS:STX)
Piotroski F-Score
7 (As of Today)

Good Sign:

Piotroski F-Score of 7 is 7, indicating very healthy situation.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Seagate Technology PLC has an F-score of 7. It is a good or high score, which usually indicates a very healthy situation.

STX' s Piotroski F-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3   Max: 9
Current: 7

3
9

During the past 13 years, the highest Piotroski F-Score of Seagate Technology PLC was 9. The lowest was 3. And the median was 6.


Definition

How is the Piotroski F-Score calculated?

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

This Year (Dec16) TTM:Last Year (Dec15) TTM:
Net Income was -21 + 70 + 167 + 297 = $513 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 205 + 269 + 592 + 655 = $1,721 Mil.
Revenue was 2595 + 2654 + 2797 + 2894 = $10,940 Mil.
Gross Profit was 524 + 662 + 801 + 891 = $2,878 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of this year (Dec15)
to the end of this year (Dec16) was
(8796 + 8374 + 8252 + 8495 + 8561) / 5 = $8495.6 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of this year (Dec15) was $8,796 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $4,093 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,140 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,681 Mil.
Net Income was 291 + 137 + 34 + 165 = $627 Mil.

Revenue was 3330 + 2928 + 2925 + 2986 = $12,169 Mil.
Gross Profit was 955 + 776 + 689 + 741 = $3,161 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of last year (Dec14)
to the end of last year (Dec15) was
(10814 + 10036 + 9845 + 9079 + 8796) / 5 = $9714 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of last year (Dec14) was $10,814 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $4,140 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,931 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,539 Mil.

Profitability

Question 1. Return on Assets (ROA)

Net income before extraordinary items for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Seagate Technology PLC's current net income (TTM) was 513. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 2. Cash Flow Return on Assets (CFROA)

Net cash flow from operating activities (operating cash flow) divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Seagate Technology PLC's current cash flow from operations (TTM) was 1,721. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Question 3. Change in Return on Assets

Compare this year’s return on assets (1) to last year’s return on assets.

Score 1 if it’s higher, 0 if it’s lower.

Seagate Technology PLC's return on assets of this year was 0.05832196. Seagate Technology PLC's return on assets of last year was 0.0579804. ==> This year is higher. ==> Score 1.

Question 4. Quality of Earnings (Accrual)

Compare Cash flow return on assets (2) to return on assets (1)

Score 1 if CFROA > ROA, 0 if CFROA <= ROA.

Seagate Technology PLC's current net income (TTM) was 513. Seagate Technology PLC's current cash flow from operations (TTM) was 1,721. ==> 1,721 > 513 ==> CFROA > ROA ==> Score 1.

Funding

Question 5. Change in Gearing or Leverage

Compare this year’s gearing (long-term debt divided by average total assets) to last year’s gearing.

Score 0 if this year's gearing is higher, 1 otherwise.

Gearing (This Year: Dec16)=Long-Term Debt/Average Total Assets from Dec15 to Dec16
=4093/8495.6
=0.4817788

Gearing (Last Year: Dec15)=Long-Term Debt/Average Total Assets from Dec14 to Dec15
=4140/9714
=0.42618901

Seagate Technology PLC's gearing of this year was 0.4817788. Seagate Technology PLC's gearing of last year was 0.42618901. ==> Last year is lower than this year ==> Score 0.

Question 6. Change in Working Capital (Liquidity)

Compare this year’s current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) to last year’s current ratio.

Score 1 if this year'’s current ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Current Ratio (This Year: Dec16)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=4140/2681
=1.54419993

Current Ratio (Last Year: Dec15)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=3931/2539
=1.54824734

Seagate Technology PLC's current ratio of this year was 1.54419993. Seagate Technology PLC's current ratio of last year was 1.54824734. ==> Last year's current ratio is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 7. Change in Shares in Issue

Compare the number of shares in issue this year, to the number in issue last year.

Score 0 if there is larger number of shares in issue this year, 1 otherwise.

Seagate Technology PLC's number of shares in issue this year was 298. Seagate Technology PLC's number of shares in issue last year was 301. ==> There is smaller number of shares in issue this year, or the same. ==> Score 1.

Efficiency

Question 8. Change in Gross Margin

Compare this year’s gross margin (gross profit divided by sales) to last year’s.

Score 1 if this year’s gross margin is higher, 0 if it’s lower.

Gross Margin (This Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=2878/10940
=0.2630713

Gross Margin (Last Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=3161/12169
=0.2597584

Seagate Technology PLC's gross margin of this year was 0.2630713. Seagate Technology PLC's gross margin of last year was 0.2597584. ==> This year's gross margin is higher. ==> Score 1.

Question 9. Change in asset turnover

Compare this year’s asset turnover (total sales for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year) to last year’s asset turnover ratio.

Score 1 if this year’s asset turnover ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Asset Turnover (This Year)=Revenue (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Dec15)
=10940/8796
=1.24374716

Asset Turnover (Last Year)=Revenue (TTM)/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Dec14)
=12169/10814
=1.12530054

Seagate Technology PLC's asset turnover of this year was 1.24374716. Seagate Technology PLC's asset turnover of last year was 1.12530054. ==> This year's asset turnover is higher. ==> Score 1.

Evaluation

Piotroski F-Score= Que. 1+ Que. 2+ Que. 3+Que. 4+Que. 5+Que. 6+Que. 7+Que. 8+Que. 9
=1+1+1+1+0+0+1+1+1
=7

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Seagate Technology PLC has an F-score of 7. It is a good or high score, which usually indicates a very healthy situation.


Explanation

The developer of the system is Joseph D. Piotroski is relatively unknown accounting professor who shuns publicity and rarely gives interviews.

He graduated from the University of Illinois with a B.S. in accounting in 1989, received an M.B.A. from Indiana University in 1994. Five years later, in 1999, after earning a Ph.D. in accounting from the University of Michigan, he became an associate professor of accounting at the University of Chicago.

In 2000, he wrote a research paper called "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers" (pdf).

He wanted to see if he can develop a system (using a simple nine-point scoring system) that can increase the returns of a strategy of investing in low price to book (referred to in the paper as high book to market) value companies.

What he found was something that exceeded his most optimistic expectations.

Buying only those companies that scored highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996 led to an average out-performance over the market of 13.4%.

Even more impressive were the results of a strategy of investing in the highest F-Score companies (8 or 9) and shorting companies with the lowest F-Score (0 or 1).

Over the same period from 1976 to 1996 (20 years) this strategy led to an average yearly return of 23%, substantially outperforming the average S&P 500 index return of 15.83% over the same period.


Related Terms

Net Income, Cash Flow from Operations, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Assets, Long-Term Debt, Total Current Assets, Total Current Liabilities


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

Seagate Technology PLC Annual Data

Jun07Jun08Jun09Jun10Jun11Jun12Jun13Jun14Jun15Jun16
Question 1 1101111111
Question 2 1111111111
Question 3 0101010010
Question 4 1111111111
Question 5 0100011010
Question 6 1011111100
Question 7 0110111111
Question 8 0101010100
Question 9 0101010100
F-score 4847596764

Seagate Technology PLC Quarterly Data

Sep14Dec14Mar15Jun15Sep15Dec15Mar16Jun16Sep16Dec16
Question 1 1111111111
Question 2 1111111111
Question 3 0111000001
Question 4 1111111111
Question 5 0011000000
Question 6 0100000000
Question 7 1111111111
Question 8 1110000001
Question 9 1010000001
F-score 6786444447
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