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United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) (NYSE:UPS)
Piotroski F-Score
7 (As of Today)

Good Sign:

Piotroski F-Score of 7 is 7, indicating very healthy situation.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Good or high score = 8 or 9
Bad or low score = 0 or 1

United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) has an F-score of 7 indicating the company's financial situation is typical for a stable company.

UPS' s 10-Year Piotroski F-Score Range
Min: 4   Max: 8
Current: 7

4
8

During the past 13 years, the highest Piotroski F-Score of United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) was 8. The lowest was 4. And the median was 6.


Definition

How is the Piotroski F-Score calculated?

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

This Year (Mar14) TTM:Last Year (Mar13) TTM:
Net Income was 911 + 1167 + 1097 + 1071 = $4,246 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2267 + 2244 + 1629 + 1673 = $7,813 Mil.
Revenue was 13779 + 14976 + 13521 + 13507 = $55,783 Mil.
Gross Profit was 10273 + 13353 + 10236 + 10475 = $44,337 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of this year (Mar13) was $38,005 Mil.
Total Assets was $37,085 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $9,860 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $14,620 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $9,193 Mil.
Net Income was 1037 + -1748 + 469 + 1116 = $874 Mil.

Revenue was 13434 + 14571 + 13071 + 13349 = $54,425 Mil.
Gross Profit was 10086 + 12909 + 9833 + 10299 = $43,127 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of last year (Mar12) was $35,963 Mil.
Total Assets was $38,005 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $11,051 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $14,481 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $8,034 Mil.

Profitability

Q1. Return on Assets (ROA)

Net income before extraordinary items for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)'s current net income was 4,246. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Q2. Cash Flow Return on Assets (CFROA)

Net cash flow from operating activities (operating cash flow) divided by total assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)'s current cash flow from operations was 7,813. ==> Positive ==> Score 1.

Q3. Change in Return on Assets

Compare this year’s return on assets (1) to last year’s return on assets.

Score 1 if it’s higher, 0 if it’s lower.

ROA (This Year)=Net Income/Total Assets at the beginning of this year (Mar13)
=4246/38005
=0.11172214

ROA (Last Year)=Net Income/Total Assets at the beginning of last year (Mar12)
=874/35963
=0.02430276

United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)'s return on assets of this year was 0.11172214. United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)'s return on assets of last year was 0.02430276. ==> This year is higher. ==> Score 1.

Q4. Quality of Earnings (Accrual)

Compare Cash flow return on assets (2) to return on assets (1)

Score 1 if CFROA > ROA, 0 if CFROA =< ROA.

United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)'s current net income was 4,246. United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)'s current cash flow from operations was 7,813. ==> 7,813 > 4,246 ==> CFROA > ROA ==> Score 1.

Funding

Q5. Change in Gearing or Leverage

Compare this year’s gearing (long-term debt divided by average total assets) to last year’s gearing.

Score 0 if this year's gearing is higher, 1 otherwise.

Gearing (This Year)=Long-Term Debt/Total Assets
=9860/37085
=0.26587569

Gearing (Last Year)=Long-Term Debt/Total Assets
=11051/38005
=0.29077753

United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)'s gearing of this year was 0.26587569. United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)'s gearing of last year was 0.29077753. ==> This year is lower or equal to last year. ==> Score 1.

Q6. Change in Working Capital (Liquidity)

Compare this year’s current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) to last year’s current ratio.

Score 1 if this year'’s current ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Current Ratio (This Year)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=14620/9193
=1.59034048

Current Ratio (Last Year)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=14481/8034
=1.80246453

United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)'s current ratio of this year was 1.59034048. United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)'s current ratio of last year was 1.80246453. ==> Last year's current ratio is higher ==> Score 0.

Q7. Change in Shares in Issue

Compare the number of shares in issue this year, to the number in issue last year.

Score 0 if there is larger number of shares in issue this year, 1 otherwise.

United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)'s number of shares in issue this year was 931. United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)'s number of shares in issue last year was 960. ==> There is smaller number of shares in issue this year, or the same. ==> Score 1.

Efficiency

Q8. Change in Gross Margin

Compare this year’s gross margin (gross profit divided by sales) to last year’s.

Score 1 if this year’s gross margin is higher, 0 if it’s lower.

Gross Margin (This Year)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=44337/55783
=0.79481204

Gross Margin (Last Year)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=43127/54425
=0.79241158

United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)'s gross margin of this year was 0.79481204. United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)'s gross margin of last year was 0.79241158. ==> This year's gross margin is higher. ==> Score 1.

Q9. Change in asset turnover

Compare this year’s asset turnover (total sales divided by total assets at the beginning of the year) to last year’s asset turnover ratio.

Score 1 if this year’s asset turnover ratio is higher, 0 if it’s lower

Asset Turnover (This Year)=Revenue/Total Assets at the beginning of this year (Mar13)
=55783/38005
=1.46778056

Asset Turnover (Last Year)=Revenue/Total Assets at the beginning of last year (Mar12)
=54425/35963
=1.51336095

United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)'s asset turnover of this year was 1.46778056. United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)'s asset turnover of last year was 1.51336095. ==> Last year's asset turnover is higher ==> Score 0.

Evaluation

Piotroski F-Score=Q1+Q2+Q3+Q4+Q5+Q6+Q7+Q8+Q9
=1+1+1+1+1+0+1+1+0
=7

Good or high score = 8 or 9

Bad or low score = 0 or 1

United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) has an F-score of 7 indicating the company's financial situation is typical for a stable company.


Explanation

The developer of the system is Joseph D. Piotroski is relatively unknown accounting professor who shuns publicity and rarely gives interviews.

He graduated from the University of Illinois with a B.S. in accounting in 1989, received an M.B.A. from Indiana University in 1994. Five years later, in 1999, after earning a Ph.D. in accounting from the University of Michigan, he became an associate professor of accounting at the University of Chicago.

In 2000, he wrote a research paper called "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers" (pdf).

He wanted to see if he can develop a system (using a simple nine-point scoring system) that can increase the returns of a strategy of investing in low price to book (referred to in the paper as high book to market) value companies.

What he found was something that exceeded his most optimistic expectations.

Buying only those companies that scored highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996 led to an average out-performance over the market of 13.4%.

Even more impressive were the results of a strategy of investing in the highest F-Score companies (8 or 9) and shorting companies with the lowest F-Score (0 or 1).

Over the same period from 1976 to 1996 (20 years) this strategy led to an average yearly return of 23%, substantially outperforming the average S&P 500 index return of 15.83% over the same period.


Related Terms

Net Income, Cash Flow from Operations, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Assets, Long-Term Debt, Total Current Assets, Total Current Liabilities


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) Annual Data

Dec04Dec05Dec06Dec07Dec08Dec09Dec10Dec11Dec12Dec13
Q1 1111111111
Q2 1111111111
Q3 1110101101
Q4 1111111111
Q5 1100000010
Q6 1000011001
Q7 0111111111
Q8 0010010011
Q9 0111011100
F-score 6775577667

United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) Quarterly Data

Dec11Mar12Jun12Sep12Dec12Mar13Jun13Sep13Dec13Mar14
Q1 1111111111
Q2 1111111111
Q3 1000000011
Q4 1111111111
Q5 0011111001
Q6 0110011110
Q7 1111111111
Q8 0000111101
Q9 1100000000
F-score 6665677667
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