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Dollar Tree Inc (NAS:DLTR)
Graham Number
\$N/A (As of Oct. 2016)

Graham Number is a figure that measures a stock's fundamental value by taking into account the company's earnings per share and book value per share. The Graham number is the upper bound of the price range that a defensive investor should pay for the stock. According to the theory, any stock price below the Graham number is considered undervalued, and thus worth investing in.

As of today, the stock price of Dollar Tree Inc is \$87.36. Dollar Tree Inc's graham number for the quarter that ended in Oct. 2016 was \$N/A. Therefore, Dollar Tree Inc's Price to Graham Number ratio for today is N/A.

During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Graham Number ratio of Dollar Tree Inc was 6.42. The lowest was 0.00. And the median was 2.17.

Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.

Definition

Graham Number is a concept based on Ben Graham's conservative valuation of companies.

Dollar Tree Inc's Graham Number for the fiscal year that ended in Jan. 2016 is calculated as

 Graham Number = sqrt of (22.5 * Tangible Book Value per Share * EPS without Non-Recurring Items (NRI)) = sqrt of (22.5 * -18.258 * 1.26) = N/A

Dollar Tree Inc's Graham Number for the quarter that ended in Oct. 2016 is calculated as

 Graham Number = sqrt of (22.5 * Tangible Book Value per Share * EPS without Non-Recurring Items (NRI) (TTM)) = sqrt of (22.5 * -15.159 * 3.44) = N/A

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

Explanation

Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:

Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years.

Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)

Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.

In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.

Dollar Tree Inc's Price to Graham number Ratio for today is calculated as

 Price to Graham number = Share Price (Today) / Graham number (Q: Oct. 2016 ) = 87.36 / N/A = N/A

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

Be Aware

Please keep these in mind:

1. Graham Number does not take growth into account. Therefore it underestimates the values of the companies that have good earnings growth. We feel that if the earnings per share grows more than 10% a year, Graham Number underestimates the value.
2. Graham Number punishes the companies that have temporarily low earnings. Therefore, an average of earnings makes more sense in the calculation of Graham Number.
3. Graham Numbers underestimates companies that are light with book.

Related Terms

Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

Dollar Tree Inc Annual Data

 Jan07 Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 Jan16 grahamnumber 6.89 7.06 8.83 11.47 13.48 15.14 19.76 16.70 22.66 0.00

Dollar Tree Inc Quarterly Data

 Jul14 Oct14 Jan15 Apr15 Jul15 Oct15 Jan16 Apr16 Jul16 Oct16 grahamnumber 19.87 21.15 22.66 21.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
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