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Forestar Group (Forestar Group) Graham Number

: $48.26 (As of Dec. 2023)
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Graham Number is a figure that measures a stock's fundamental value by taking into account the company's earnings per share and book value per share. The Graham number is the upper bound of the price range that a defensive investor should pay for the stock. According to the theory, any stock price below the Graham number is considered undervalued, and thus worth investing in.

As of today (2024-04-23), the stock price of Forestar Group is $31.47. Forestar Group's graham number for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $48.26. Therefore, Forestar Group's Price to Graham Number ratio for today is 0.65.

The historical rank and industry rank for Forestar Group's Graham Number or its related term are showing as below:

FOR' s Price-to-Graham-Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.26   Med: 0.72   Max: 1.21
Current: 0.65

During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Graham Number ratio of Forestar Group was 1.21. The lowest was 0.26. And the median was 0.72.

FOR's Price-to-Graham-Number is ranked better than
59.35% of 1139 companies
in the Real Estate industry
Industry Median: 0.77 vs FOR: 0.65

Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.


Forestar Group Graham Number Historical Data

The historical data trend for Forestar Group's Graham Number can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Forestar Group Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Graham Number
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.67 22.65 33.86 43.80 45.17

Forestar Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Graham Number Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 41.57 39.08 41.06 45.17 48.26

Competitive Comparison

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Forestar Group's Price-to-Graham-Number, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Graham-Number data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Forestar Group Price-to-Graham-Number Distribution

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Forestar Group's Price-to-Graham-Number distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Forestar Group's Price-to-Graham-Number falls into.



Forestar Group Graham Number Calculation

Graham Number is a concept based on Ben Graham's conservative valuation of companies.

Forestar Group's Graham Number for the fiscal year that ended in Sep. 2023 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5* Tangible Book per Share *EPS without NRI)
=sqrt of (22.5*27.431*3.306)
=45.17

Forestar Group's Graham Number for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5*Tangible Book per Share*EPS without NRI (TTM))
=sqrt of (22.5*28.207*3.67)
=48.26

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Forestar Group  (NYSE:FOR) Graham Number Explanation

Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:

Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years.

Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)

Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.

In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.

Forestar Group's Price to Graham number Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Graham number=Share Price (Today)/Graham number (Q: Dec. 2023 )
=31.47/48.26
=0.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Please keep these in mind:

1. Graham Number does not take growth into account. Therefore it underestimates the values of the companies that have good earnings growth. We feel that if the earnings per share grows more than 10% a year, Graham Number underestimates the value.
2. Graham Number punishes the companies that have temporarily low earnings. Therefore, an average of earnings makes more sense in the calculation of Graham Number.
3. Graham Numbers underestimates companies that are light with book.


Forestar Group Graham Number Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Forestar Group's Graham Number provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Forestar Group (Forestar Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2221 E. Lamar Boulevard, Suite 790, Arlington, TX, USA, 76006
Forestar Group Inc is a residential lot development company with operations across the United States. The core business segment for the company is real estate which generates all of it's revenues. The firm fundamentally acquires entitled real estate and develops it into finished residential lots for sale to homebuilders with a strategic focus on asset turns and efficiency. Single-family residential communities account for the majority of their real estate projects. The company utilizes a lower-risk business model mainly by investing in short duration, phased development projects.
Executives
Daniel C Bartok officer: CEO 2221 E. LAMAR BLVD., SUITE 790, ARLINGTON TX 76006
Ringler G.f. (rick) Iii director 2221 E. LAMAR BLVD., SUITE 790, ARLINGTON TX 76006
Elizabeth Parmer director 2221 E. LAMAR BLVD., SUITE 790, ARLINGTON TX 76006
Mark Stephen Walker officer: Chief Operating Officer 2221 E. LAMAR BLVD., SUITE 790, ARLINGTON TX 76006
James Douglas Allen officer: Chief Financial Officer 2221 E. LAMAR BLVD. SUITE 790, ARLINGTON TX 76006
Lisa H. Jamieson director 2221 E. LAMAR BLVD., SUITE 790, ARLINGTON TX 76006
Samuel R Fuller director 2221 E. LAMAR BLVD., SUITE 790, ARLINGTON TX 76006
Donald C Spitzer director 2221 E. LAMAR BLVD., SUITE 790, ARLINGTON TX 76006
Bill W Wheat officer: Principal Financial Officer 1361 HORTON CIRCLE, ARLINGTON TX 76011
Aron M. Odom officer: Principal Accounting Officer 1341 HORTON CIRCLE, ARLINGTON TX 76011
Charles D Jehl officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O OPEN LENDING CORPORATION, 1501 S. MOPAC EXPRESSWAY, SUITE 450, AUSTIN TX 78746
M Ashton Hudson director 9995 GATE PARKWAY, SUITE 330, JACKSONVILLE FL 32246
Donald J Tomnitz director, officer: Chairman 2221 E. LAMAR BLVD., SUITE 790, ARLINGTON TX 76006
Richard D. Squires director 3889 MAPLE AVENUE, SUITE 1525, DALLAS TX 75219
Michael J. Quinley officer: President 6300 BEE CAVE ROAD, BLDG 2, SUITE 500, AUSTIN TX 78746

Forestar Group (Forestar Group) Headlines