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TIBCO Software Inc (NAS:TIBX)
Graham Number
\$1.76 (As of Aug. 2014)

Graham Number is a figure that measures a stock's fundamental value by taking into account the company's earnings per share and book value per share. The Graham number is the upper bound of the price range that a defensive investor should pay for the stock. According to the theory, any stock price below the Graham number is considered undervalued, and thus worth investing in.

As of today, the stock price of TIBCO Software Inc is \$24.03. TIBCO Software Inc's graham number for the quarter that ended in Aug. 2014 was \$1.76. Therefore, TIBCO Software Inc's Price to Graham Number ratio for today is 13.67.

Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.

Definition

Graham Number is a concept based on Ben Graham's conservative valuation of companies.

TIBCO Software Inc's Graham Number for the fiscal year that ended in Nov. 2013 is calculated as

 Graham Number = sqrt of (22.5 * Tangible Book Value per Share * EPS without Non-Recurring Items (NRI)) = sqrt of (22.5 * 1.536 * 0.5) = 4.16

TIBCO Software Inc's Graham Number for the quarter that ended in Aug. 2014 is calculated as

 Graham Number = sqrt of (22.5 * Tangible Book Value per Share * EPS without Non-Recurring Items (NRI) (TTM)) = sqrt of (22.5 * 0.371 * 0.37) = 1.76

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Explanation

Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:

Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years.

Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)

Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.

In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.

TIBCO Software Inc's Price to Graham number Ratio for today is calculated as

 Price to Graham number = Share Price (Today) / Graham number (Q: Aug. 2014 ) = 24.03 / 1.76 = 13.67

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Be Aware

1. Graham Number does not take growth into account. Therefore it underestimates the values of the companies that have good earnings growth. We feel that if the earnings per share grows more than 10% a year, Graham Number underestimates the value.
2. Graham Number punishes the companies that have temporarily low earnings. Therefore, an average of earnings makes more sense in the calculation of Graham Number.
3. Graham Numbers underestimates companies that are light with book.

Related Terms

Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

TIBCO Software Inc Annual Data

 Nov04 Nov05 Nov06 Nov07 Nov08 Nov09 Nov10 Nov11 Nov12 Nov13 grahamnumber 3.23 4.31 4.66 3.13 3.39 4.05 4.30 5.13 4.97 4.16

TIBCO Software Inc Quarterly Data

 May12 Aug12 Nov12 Feb13 May13 Aug13 Nov13 Feb14 May14 Aug14 grahamnumber 3.45 3.97 4.97 4.98 4.19 3.97 4.20 4.27 2.21 1.76
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