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Toll Brothers (Toll Brothers) Graham Number

: $139.97 (As of Jan. 2024)
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Graham Number is a figure that measures a stock's fundamental value by taking into account the company's earnings per share and book value per share. The Graham number is the upper bound of the price range that a defensive investor should pay for the stock. According to the theory, any stock price below the Graham number is considered undervalued, and thus worth investing in.

As of today (2024-04-23), the stock price of Toll Brothers is $118.64. Toll Brothers's graham number for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 was $139.97. Therefore, Toll Brothers's Price to Graham Number ratio for today is 0.85.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toll Brothers's Graham Number or its related term are showing as below:

TOL' s Price-to-Graham-Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.39   Med: 0.78   Max: 1.36
Current: 0.85

During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Graham Number ratio of Toll Brothers was 1.36. The lowest was 0.39. And the median was 0.78.

TOL's Price-to-Graham-Number is ranked worse than
51.9% of 79 companies
in the Homebuilding & Construction industry
Industry Median: 0.78 vs TOL: 0.85

Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.


Toll Brothers Graham Number Historical Data

The historical data trend for Toll Brothers's Graham Number can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Toll Brothers Annual Data
Trend Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23
Graham Number
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 57.12 54.29 82.38 111.01 133.93

Toll Brothers Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Graham Number Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 114.45 122.67 133.46 134.10 139.97

Competitive Comparison

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Toll Brothers's Price-to-Graham-Number, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Graham-Number data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toll Brothers Price-to-Graham-Number Distribution

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Toll Brothers's Price-to-Graham-Number distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toll Brothers's Price-to-Graham-Number falls into.



Toll Brothers Graham Number Calculation

Graham Number is a concept based on Ben Graham's conservative valuation of companies.

Toll Brothers's Graham Number for the fiscal year that ended in Oct. 2023 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5* Tangible Book per Share *EPS without NRI)
=sqrt of (22.5*65.489*12.174)
=133.93

Toll Brothers's Graham Number for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5*Tangible Book per Share*EPS without NRI (TTM))
=sqrt of (22.5*67.292*12.94)
=139.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Toll Brothers  (NYSE:TOL) Graham Number Explanation

Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:

Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years.

Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)

Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.

In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.

Toll Brothers's Price to Graham number Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Graham number=Share Price (Today)/Graham number (Q: Jan. 2024 )
=118.64/139.97
=0.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Please keep these in mind:

1. Graham Number does not take growth into account. Therefore it underestimates the values of the companies that have good earnings growth. We feel that if the earnings per share grows more than 10% a year, Graham Number underestimates the value.
2. Graham Number punishes the companies that have temporarily low earnings. Therefore, an average of earnings makes more sense in the calculation of Graham Number.
3. Graham Numbers underestimates companies that are light with book.


Toll Brothers Graham Number Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Toll Brothers's Graham Number provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Toll Brothers (Toll Brothers) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1140 Virginia Drive, Fort Washington, PA, USA, 19034
Toll Brothers is the leading luxury homebuilder in the United States with an average sale price well above public competitors'. The company operates in over 60 markets across 24 states and caters to move-up, active-adult, and second-home buyers. Traditional homebuilding operations represent most of company's revenue. Toll Brothers also builds luxury for-sale and for-rent properties in urban centers across the U.S. It has its headquarters in Horsham, Pennsylvania.
Executives
Paul E Shapiro director
Martin P. Connor officer: Chief Financial Officer 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
John A Mclean director TOLL BROTHERS, INC., 1140 GIBRALTAR ROAD, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
Yearley Douglas C. Jr. officer: Executive Vice President 250 GIBRALTAR ROAD, HORSHAM PA 19044
Carl B Marbach director 17730 SCARSDALE WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33496
Robert Parahus officer: EVP,Co-Chief Operating Officer TOLL BROTHERS, INC., 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
Michael J. Grubb officer: Chief Accounting Officer TOLL BROTHERS, INC., 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
Christine Garvey director 14100 E 35TH PLACE, AURORA CO 80011
Derek T. Kan director TOLL BROTHERS, INC., 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
Richard J Braemer director 324 SPRUCE ST, PHILADELPHIA PA 19106
Scott D Stowell director
Robert I Toll director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19006
Edward G Boehne director 313 DEVON STATE ST, DEVON PA 19333
Stephen F. East director TOLL BROTHERS, INC., 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
James W. Boyd officer: EVP,Co-Chief Operating Officer TOLL BROTHERS, INC., 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034