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Acadia Healthcare Co (Acadia Healthcare Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $41.01 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Acadia Healthcare Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Acadia Healthcare Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $41.01. The stock price of Acadia Healthcare Co is $71.19. Therefore, Acadia Healthcare Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Acadia Healthcare Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ACHC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.97   Med: 1.58   Max: 1.93
Current: 1.74

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Acadia Healthcare Co was 1.93. The lowest was 0.97. And the median was 1.58.

ACHC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
64.26% of 305 companies
in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry
Industry Median: 1.29 vs ACHC: 1.74

Acadia Healthcare Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Acadia Healthcare Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Acadia Healthcare Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Acadia Healthcare Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 29.89 31.48 39.17 42.68 41.01

Acadia Healthcare Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 42.68 41.73 43.48 40.93 41.01

Competitive Comparison of Acadia Healthcare Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Acadia Healthcare Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Acadia Healthcare Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Acadia Healthcare Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Acadia Healthcare Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Acadia Healthcare Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Acadia Healthcare Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $159.22.

Acadia Healthcare Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*159.2192+2781.974*0.8)/91.240
=41.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Acadia Healthcare Co  (NAS:ACHC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Acadia Healthcare Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=71.19/41.006159193646
=1.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Acadia Healthcare Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Acadia Healthcare Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Acadia Healthcare Co (Acadia Healthcare Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6100 Tower Circle, Suite 1000, Franklin, TN, USA, 37067
Acadia Healthcare Co Inc acquires and develops behavioral healthcare facilities in the United States, United Kingdom, and Puerto Rico. Acute inpatient psychiatric facilities and specialty treatment facilities contribute the vast majority of Acadia's revenue in the United States. The U.S. facilities receive the largest proportion of payments from Medicaid, with the second-largest proportion from commercial payors. In the United Kingdom, the majority of Acadia's revenue comes from its healthcare facilities, and virtually all of the payment received is from the National Health Service.
Executives
Debra K Osteen director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 367 SOUTH GULPH ROAD, KING PRUSSIA PA 19406
John S. Hollinsworth officer: EVP of Operations 6100 TOWER CIRCLE, SUITE 1000, FRANKLIN TN 37067
Patrice A Harris director 514 MARKET ST., PARKERSBURG WV 26101
Brian Farley officer: EVP , GC and Secretary 222 MERCHANDISE MART PLAZA, SUITE 2024, CHICAGO IL 60654
Heather Brianne Dixon officer: Chief Financial Officer AETNA INC., 151 FARMINGTON AVENUE, HARTFORD CT 06156
William Grieco director 830 CRESCENT CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 610, FRANKLIN TN 37067
William M Petrie director 310 25TH AVENUE NORTH, SUITE 309, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Ralph David Kelly director 4005 WOOD LAKE DRIVE, PLANO TX 75093
Christopher H. Hunter director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 500 W MAIN STREET, LOUISVILLE KY 40202
Reeve B Waud director, 10 percent owner 300 N LASALLE ST, SUITE 4900, CHICAGO IL 60654
David M. Duckworth officer: Chief Financial Officer 830 CRESCENT CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 610, FRANKLIN TN 37067
Christopher L Howard 10 percent owner, officer: EVP, GC and Secretary 830 CRESCENT CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 610, FRANKLIN TN 37067
Michael Fucci director 6100 TOWER CIR #1000, FRANKLIN TN 37067
Jason Bernhard director 6100 TOWER CIRCLE, SUITE 1000, FRANKLIN TN 37067
Laurence L. Harrod officer: EVP of Finance 6100 TOWER CIRCLE, SUITE 1000, FRANKLIN TN 37067