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Adtran Holdings (Adtran Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $1.72 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), Adtran Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.72. The stock price of Adtran Holdings is $4.78. Therefore, Adtran Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Adtran Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ADTN' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.84   Med: 1.31   Max: 4.82
Current: 2.78

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Adtran Holdings was 4.82. The lowest was 0.84. And the median was 1.31.

ADTN's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
76.6% of 1620 companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 1.34 vs ADTN: 2.78

Adtran Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Adtran Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Adtran Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.14 5.88 4.74 7.99 1.72

Adtran Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.99 5.71 4.68 3.22 1.72

Competitive Comparison

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Adtran Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Adtran Holdings Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Adtran Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Adtran Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Adtran Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Adtran Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-33.13.

Adtran Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.265723347005*-33.12944+593.822*0.8)/78.530
=1.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Adtran Holdings  (NAS:ADTN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Adtran Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=4.78/1.7185780506659
=2.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Adtran Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Adtran Holdings (Adtran Holdings) Business Description

Industry
Address
901 Explorer Boulevard, Huntsville, AL, USA, 35806-2807
Adtran Inc is a provider of networking and communications platforms, software, and services focused on the broadband access market. It operates under two reportable segments: Network Solutions, which includes hardware and software products, and Services & Support, which includes a portfolio of network implementation services, support services, and cloud-hosted SaaS applications that complement the product portfolio and can be utilized to support other platforms as well. These two segments span across their three revenue categories: Access & Aggregation, Subscriber Solutions, and Optical Networking Solutions.
Executives
Ulrich Dopfer officer: Chief Financial Officer 901 EXPLORER BOULEVARD, HUNTSVILLE AL 35806
Thomas R Stanton officer: Vice President & Gen. Mgr. C/O ADTRAN, 901 EXPLORER BLVD., HUNTSVILLE AL 35806
Gregory James Mccray director 422 HANDEL COURT, WHEATON IL 60187
Wilson James Denson Jr officer: Chief Revenue Officer 901 EXPLORER BLVD, HUNTSVILLE AL 35806
Christoph Glingener officer: CEO of ADVA 901 EXPLORER BOULEVARD, HUNTSVILLE AL 35806
Michael Foliano officer: CFO 901 EXPLORER BLVD, HUNTSVILLE AL 35806
Brian Protiva director, officer: CEO of ADVA 901 EXPLORER BOULEVARD, HUNTSVILLE AL 35806
James Denson Wilson Jr Chief Revenue Officer
Nikos Theodosopoulos director C/O ARISTA NETWORKS, INC., 5453 GREAT AMERICA PARKWAY, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Johanna Hey director 901 EXPLORER BOULEVARD, HUNTSVILLE AL 35806
Marc Kimpe officer: SVP, Research & Development 131 HERITAGE LANE, MADISON AL 35758
Ray Harris officer: Chief Information Officer 9811 RITCHIE CT, IJAMSVILLE MD 21754
Balan Nair director 901 EXPLORER BOULEVARD, HUNTSVILLE AL 35806
Robert Conger officer: SVP, Technology & Strategy 901 EXPLORER BLVD, HUNTSVILLE AL 35806
Eduard Scheiterer officer: SVP, Research & Development 901 EXPLORER DRIVE, HUNTSVILLE AL 35806