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AGNC Investment (AGNC Investment) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $25.03 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), AGNC Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $25.03. The stock price of AGNC Investment is $9.15. Therefore, AGNC Investment's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for AGNC Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AGNC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.28   Med: 0.38   Max: 0.43
Current: 0.37

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of AGNC Investment was 0.43. The lowest was 0.28. And the median was 0.38.

AGNC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
82.91% of 550 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 0.65 vs AGNC: 0.37

AGNC Investment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for AGNC Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Array ( [0] => - [1] => - [2] => - [3] => - [4] => - [5] => 41.31 [6] => 39.76 [7] => 40.29 [8] => 32.96 [9] => 25.03 )
AGNC Investment Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 41.31 39.76 40.29 32.96 25.03

AGNC Investment Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 32.96 31.48 29.38 26.94 25.03

Competitive Comparison

For the REIT - Mortgage subindustry, AGNC Investment's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AGNC Investment Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, AGNC Investment's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AGNC Investment's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



AGNC Investment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get AGNC Investment's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,088.00.

AGNC Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*1088+8257*0.8)/677.800
=25.03

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


AGNC Investment  (NAS:AGNC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

AGNC Investment's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=9.15/25.027652015948
=0.37

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


AGNC Investment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of AGNC Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


AGNC Investment (AGNC Investment) Business Description

Industry
Address
2 Bethesda Metro Center, 12th Floor, Bethesda, MD, USA, 20814
AGNC Investment Corp is a real estate investment trust that invests in agency residential mortgage-backed securities. The firm's asset portfolio is comprised of residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by a U.S. Government-sponsored enterprise, such as the Federal National Mortgage Association and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, or by a U.S. Government agency, such as the Government National Mortgage Association. It also invests in other types of mortgage and mortgage-related residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities or other investments in or related to, the housing, mortgage or real estate markets.
Executives
Bernice Bell officer: EVP, CFO AMERICAN CAPITAL AGENCY CORP., 7373 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Christopher Kuehl officer: EVP, Chief Investment Officer AMERICAN CAPITAL AGENCY CORP., 7373 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 22ND FL, BETHESDA MD 20814
Morris A. Davis director C/O AGNC INVESTMENT CORP., 7373 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Sean Reid officer: EVP AGNC INVESTMENT CORP., 7373 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Prue Larocca director AMERICAN CAPITAL AGENCY CORP., 7373 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Gary D Kain director, officer: Director, Executive Chair AMERICAN CAPITAL, LTD., 7373 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Paul E Mullings director AGNC INVESTMENT CORP., 7373 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Donna Blank director AGNC INVESTMENT CORP., 7373 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Kenneth L. Pollack officer: EVP and General Counsel AMERICAN CAPITAL AGENCY CORP., 2 BETHESDA METRO CENTER, 12TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Frances Spark director C/O AGNC INVESTMENT CORP., 2 BETHESDA METRO CENTER, 12TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
John D Fisk director C/O AGNC INVESTMENT CORP., 7373 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Johnson Andrew A Jr director 690 LEE ROAD, WAYNE PA 19087
Peter J Federico director, officer: Director, President and CEO AMERICAN CAPITAL MORTGAGE INVESTMENT COR, 2 BETHESDA METRO CENTER, 12TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Aaron Pas officer: Senior Vice President AMERICAN CAPITAL MORTGAGE INVESTMENT COR, 2 BETHESDA METRO CENTER, 12TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Larry K Harvey director AMERICAN CAPITAL AGENCY CORP., 2 BETHESDA METRO, 12TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814